SUN BELT • 2026 SEASON
South Alabama
#64
BBMI rank
+1.14
Rating
+1.3
Run margin
#65
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Alabama State
TUE MAY 5 • 6:30 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
South Alabama
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Model run line
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Market run line
—
Edge
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Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14L 7–10#836.7–6.058%
SCU
vs South Carolina UpstateFeb 15W 7–3#836.7–6.058%
SCU
vs South Carolina UpstateFeb 17
at NichollsW 7–5#885.6–6.046%
at NichollsFeb 20
at CharlestonW 16–2#1924.9–4.851%
at CharlestonFeb 21at CharlestonW 3–1#1924.9–4.851%
at CharlestonFeb 22at CharlestonL 6–7#1924.9–4.851%
at CharlestonFeb 24
at Southeastern LouisianaW 9–7#1254.3–4.646%
at Southeastern LouisianaFeb 25
vs TulaneL 2–15#1196.5–5.660%
vs TulaneFeb 27
vs West GeorgiaW 7–4#2597.5–5.571%
vs West GeorgiaFeb 28vs West GeorgiaW 21–6#2597.5–5.571%
vs West GeorgiaMar 1vs West GeorgiaW 2–1#2597.5–5.571%
vs West GeorgiaMar 3
vs UABW 11–1#787.2–6.360%
vs UABMar 6
vs Louisiana TechW 9–3#526.2–5.657%
vs Louisiana TechMar 7vs Louisiana TechL 2–6#526.2–5.657%
vs Louisiana TechMar 8vs Louisiana TechL 1–6#526.2–5.657%
vs Louisiana TechMar 11vs Southeastern LouisianaW 10–3#1254.7–4.257%
vs Southeastern LouisianaMar 13
at LouisianaW 3–2#404.5–5.142%
at LouisianaMar 14at LouisianaL 3–4#404.5–5.142%
at LouisianaMar 15at LouisianaL 1–3#404.5–5.142%
at LouisianaMar 17
vs AlabamaW 6–3#186.2–5.954%
vs AlabamaMar 20W 5–4#1427.0–6.259%
U
vs ULMMar 21L 6–9#1426.9–5.961%
U
vs ULMMar 22W 16–4#1426.9–6.061%
U
vs ULMMar 24
at AuburnL 0–10#65.7–6.936%
at AuburnMar 27
vs Old DominionW 10–3#1026.9–6.060%
vs Old DominionMar 28vs Old DominionL 0–2#1026.6–5.760%
vs Old DominionMar 29vs Old DominionW 12–1#1026.6–5.760%
vs Old DominionMar 31
vs New OrleansL 1–2#1607.3–6.164%
vs New OrleansApr 2
at Coastal CarolinaL 2–12#326.0–6.841%
at Coastal CarolinaApr 3at Coastal CarolinaW 15–2#326.0–6.841%
at Coastal CarolinaApr 4at Coastal CarolinaL 7–8#326.2–6.843%
at Coastal CarolinaApr 8at Alabama StateL 5–7#2607.4–7.054%
at Alabama StateApr 10
at Georgia SouthernL 3–5#2128.5–7.460%
at Georgia SouthernApr 11at Georgia SouthernW 13–5#2128.5–7.460%
at Georgia SouthernApr 12at Georgia SouthernW 13–12#2128.5–7.460%
at Georgia SouthernApr 14vs NichollsW 4–3#886.9–6.159%
vs NichollsApr 17
vs MarshallL 2–6#1707.0–6.061%
vs MarshallApr 18vs MarshallW 7–3#1706.9–6.160%
vs MarshallApr 19vs MarshallW 4–1#1706.5–5.760%
vs MarshallApr 22
vs LamarW 6–1#1347.0–5.962%
vs LamarApr 24
vs Southern MissL 3–4#446.5–6.056%
vs Southern MissApr 25vs Southern MissL 7–16#446.1–5.655%
vs Southern MissApr 26vs Southern MissW 4–3#446.1–5.655%
vs Southern MissApr 29at New OrleansW 4–2#1606.5–6.550%
at New OrleansMay 1
at Texas StateW 6–2#926.4–6.747%
at Texas StateMay 2at Texas StateW 6–4#926.4–6.747%
at Texas StateMay 3at Texas StateW 7–4#926.4–6.747%
at Texas StateMay 5vs Alabama State—#260
vs Alabama StateMay 8
at TroyW 12–1#426.3–6.943%
at TroyMay 9at TroyL 5–10#426.3–6.943%
at TroyMay 10at TroyL 1–8#426.3–6.943%
at TroyMay 14
vs Arkansas StateL 0–10#596.1–5.558%
vs Arkansas StateMay 15vs Arkansas StateW 7–2#596.1–5.558%
vs Arkansas StateMay 16vs Arkansas StateW 6–2#596.1–5.558%
vs Arkansas StateMay 21at TroyL 3–11#425.9–6.544%
at TroyMay 21
vs Georgia StateW 7–4#1537.0–5.765%
vs Georgia StateMay 23at TroyL 10–11#425.8–6.542%
at TroyRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#50#60#70
#64
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.5#152
Runs allowed per game5.1#36
Starter FIP4.35#95
Team OPS.818#133
Team wOBA.356#165
Run margin+1.3#74
Strength of schedule#76
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on South Alabama
2026 • ATS7–3
Picks on South Alabama
1–0
Picks against
+4.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 11 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.