CONFERENCE USA • 2026 SEASON
Sam Houston State
#180
BBMI rank
-0.52
Rating
-0.8
Run margin
#175
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Liberty
THU MAY 21 • 9:00 AM CT
10 – 4
final score
Sam Houston State
+1.5
Model run line
+3.5
Market run line
+2.0
Edge · ATS
44%
Win probability
Sam Houston State 44%Liberty 56%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
at McNeeseW 11–2#744.6–5.836%
at McNeeseFeb 15at McNeeseW 8–5#744.6–5.836%
at McNeeseFeb 17
at Houston ChristianW 4–3#1576.6–7.738%
at Houston ChristianFeb 20L 0–2#2415.8–5.554%
U
vs UICFeb 21L 1–2#2415.8–5.554%
U
vs UICFeb 22W 6–4#2415.8–5.554%
U
vs UICFeb 24
vs HoustonL 4–5#695.6–5.750%
vs HoustonFeb 27
at Oklahoma StateL 1–5#676.5–7.936%
at Oklahoma StateFeb 28at Oklahoma StateL 0–20#676.5–7.936%
at Oklahoma StateMar 1at Oklahoma StateL 0–1#676.5–7.936%
at Oklahoma StateMar 3at HoustonW 5–2#696.0–7.236%
at HoustonMar 6
vs Prairie View A&MW 4–1#3026.5–5.167%
vs Prairie View A&MMar 6vs Prairie View A&MW 13–3#3026.8–5.367%
vs Prairie View A&MMar 7vs Prairie View A&MW 16–1#3027.0–5.567%
vs Prairie View A&MMar 10
at BaylorL 5–13#755.4–6.537%
at BaylorMar 13
vs Jacksonville StateL 1–3#665.3–5.746%
vs Jacksonville StateMar 14vs Jacksonville StateL 7–18#665.3–5.746%
vs Jacksonville StateMar 15vs Jacksonville StateL 3–4#665.3–5.746%
vs Jacksonville StateMar 17
at LamarW 7–4#1346.0–7.039%
at LamarMar 20
at FIUW 3–2#1786.5–7.242%
at FIUMar 21at FIUL 11–12#1786.7–7.344%
at FIUMar 22at FIUW 7–1#1786.6–7.342%
at FIUMar 24W 7–5#1795.9–5.753%
U
vs UTAMar 27
vs Western KentuckyW 1–0#1366.1–5.953%
vs Western KentuckyMar 28vs Western KentuckyW 11–5#1365.8–5.555%
vs Western KentuckyMar 29vs Western KentuckyL 2–8#1365.8–5.555%
vs Western KentuckyMar 31
at Texas A&ML 2–16#106.3–8.132%
at Texas A&MApr 3
at Missouri StateL 8–9#727.0–8.436%
at Missouri StateApr 4at Missouri StateL 5–15#726.8–8.236%
at Missouri StateApr 5at Missouri StateL 0–12#726.5–7.836%
at Missouri StateApr 7vs HoustonL 4–5#695.6–5.750%
vs HoustonApr 10L 4–6#826.3–6.351%
DB
vs Dallas BaptistApr 11L 3–14#826.3–6.351%
DB
vs Dallas BaptistApr 12L 4–5#826.3–6.351%
DB
vs Dallas BaptistApr 14L 5–8#1135.5–5.650%
U
vs UTRGVApr 15
at RiceL 3–5#915.9–7.037%
at RiceApr 17
at New Mexico StateW 8–7#2457.3–7.349%
at New Mexico StateApr 18at New Mexico StateW 4–3#2457.3–7.349%
at New Mexico StateApr 19at New Mexico StateW 12–10#2457.3–7.449%
at New Mexico StateApr 21vs BaylorW 7–5#756.0–6.049%
vs BaylorApr 24
vs Middle TennesseeW 6–3#1986.4–6.055%
vs Middle TennesseeApr 25vs Middle TennesseeL 8–12#1985.9–5.555%
vs Middle TennesseeApr 26vs Middle TennesseeW 9–4#1985.9–5.555%
vs Middle TennesseeApr 28
at TexasL 14–15#24.5–6.329%
at TexasMay 1
at Kennesaw StateL 5–6#1325.6–6.242%
at Kennesaw StateMay 2at Kennesaw StateL 6–7#1325.6–6.242%
at Kennesaw StateMay 3at Kennesaw StateL 1–12#1325.6–6.242%
at Kennesaw StateMay 5vs LamarL 14–15#1345.7–5.553%
vs LamarMay 8
vs DelawareW 13–2#2015.9–5.556%
vs DelawareMay 9vs DelawareW 5–4#2015.9–5.556%
vs DelawareMay 10vs DelawareW 8–1#2015.9–5.556%
vs DelawareMay 12vs Houston ChristianL 3–4#1575.8–5.652%
vs Houston ChristianMay 14
at Louisiana TechL 1–2#524.9–6.235%
at Louisiana TechMay 15at Louisiana TechL 2–8#524.9–6.235%
at Louisiana TechMay 16at Louisiana TechW 6–0#524.9–6.235%
at Louisiana TechMay 20at Louisiana TechW 14–13#524.7–6.133%
at Louisiana TechMay 21vs LibertyL 4–10#315.4–5.944%
vs LibertyRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#170#180#190#200#210
#180
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game5.8#236
Runs allowed per game6.5#152
Starter FIP6.50#242
Team OPS.759#251
Team wOBA.342#227
Run margin-0.8#207
Strength of schedule#124
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Sam Houston State
2026 • ATS2–1
Picks on Sam Houston State
2–2
Picks against
+0.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.