Team Pages/Western Athletic/Sacramento State
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WESTERN ATHLETIC • 2026 SEASON

Sacramento State

Record 29-32vs line 2–2 ATSLast L 11–21 vs Tarleton StatePostseason did not qualify
#108
BBMI rank
+0.47
Rating
+0.6
Run margin
#101
RPI
Last updated: (data published)
Sacramento State logo
Sacramento State
#108 • +0.47 • Kurt Marton
SAT MAY 23 • 9:00 PM CT • GAME 2 OF THE SERIES
not projected
projected runs
Tarleton State
#116 • +0.39 • home • Cort Lowry
Tarleton State logo
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
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Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
UC Irvine logovs UC Irvine
L 3–7#995.9–5.554%
Feb 14
UC Irvine logovs UC Irvine
L 2–6#996.2–5.854%
Feb 27
California logoat California
L 4–5#385.4–6.241%
Feb 28
California logovs California
L 2–8#386.7–6.454%
Mar 1
California logoat California
L 2–3#385.4–6.241%
Mar 6
LSU logoat LSU
L 4–15#276.0–7.038%
Mar 7
LSU logoat LSU
W 5–4#276.0–7.038%
Mar 8
LSU logoat LSU
W 6–1#276.0–7.038%
Mar 24
Kansas logoat Kansas
L 1–11#376.9–8.138%
Mar 25
Kansas logoat Kansas
W 7–4#376.8–7.938%
Mar 27
Creighton logoat Creighton
L 2–6#855.9–6.741%
Mar 28
Creighton logoat Creighton
W 7–4#856.0–6.841%
Mar 29
Creighton logoat Creighton
L 3–4#856.2–6.843%
Apr 22
UC Davis logoat UC Davis
W 7–1#1214.8–5.244%
Apr 24
UCLA logoat UCLA
L 5–6#45.4–7.033%
Apr 25
UCLA logoat UCLA
L 3–5#45.4–6.933%
Apr 26
UCLA logoat UCLA
W 9–6#45.4–7.033%
May 5
UC Davis logoat UC Davis
L 1–3#1214.6–5.044%
May 20
Abilene Christian logovs Abilene Christian
W 9–4#1597.0–6.457%
May 21
Tarleton State logoat Tarleton State
L 0–9#1166.4–6.944%
May 22
Utah Tech logovs Utah Tech
W 5–3#1616.7–6.157%
May 23
Tarleton State logovs Tarleton State
L 11–21#1166.6–6.254%
May 23
Tarleton State logoat Tarleton State
—#116

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#100#120#140#160
#109
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game6.4#163
Runs allowed per game5.7#85
Starter FIP5.70#195
Team OPS.798#173
Team wOBA.364#135
Run margin+0.6#114
Strength of schedule#75
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Sacramento State

2026 • ATS
1–2
Picks on Sacramento State
1–0
Picks against
-0.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 4 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.