Team Pages/Big Ten/Penn State
Penn State logo
BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON

Penn State

Record 16-35vs line 1–5 ATSLast L 4–6 at MarylandPostseason did not qualify
#197
BBMI rank
-0.73
Rating
-2.3
Run margin
#199
RPI
Last updated: (data published)
Penn State logo
Penn State
#197 • -0.73 • Big Ten
SUN FEB 22 • 12:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Richmond
#98 • +0.60 • home
Richmond logo
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Model run line
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Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Grand Canyon logoat Grand Canyon
W 9–3#1485.8–7.136%
Feb 15
Kansas State logovs Kansas State
L 5–24#685.2–5.547%
Feb 20
Richmond logoat Richmond
W 5–0#986.4–8.033%
Feb 21
Richmond logoat Richmond
L 0–3#985.9–7.533%
Feb 21
Richmond logoat Richmond
L 3–4#986.2–7.833%
Feb 22
Richmond logoat Richmond
—#98
Feb 27
Indiana State logovs Indiana State
L 5–8#2047.3–7.351%
Feb 28
Indiana State logoat Indiana State
L 1–2#2046.7–7.838%
Mar 1
Indiana State logovs Indiana State
W 9–8#2047.3–7.351%
Mar 3
SJ
vs Saint John's
—#146
Mar 4
SJ
vs Saint John's
W 12–2#1467.1–7.150%
Mar 6
Texas Tech logoat Texas Tech
L 7–15#1127.4–9.431%
Mar 7
Texas Tech logoat Texas Tech
L 6–21#1127.4–9.431%
Mar 8
Texas Tech logoat Texas Tech
L 4–14#1127.4–9.431%
Mar 10
Georgetown logoat Georgetown
L 2–8#2026.4–7.835%
Mar 11
Georgetown logoat Georgetown
L 4–5#2026.4–7.835%
Mar 13
Iowa logovs Iowa
W 11–6#396.7–7.442%
Mar 14
Iowa logovs Iowa
L 4–13#396.7–7.442%
Mar 15
Iowa logovs Iowa
L 4–12#396.7–7.442%
Mar 17
West Virginia logoat West Virginia
—#7
Mar 20
Purdue logoat Purdue
L 7–12#546.5–8.530%
Mar 21
Purdue logoat Purdue
L 1–2#546.4–8.430%
Mar 22
Purdue logoat Purdue
W 14–9#546.6–8.431%
Mar 24
SB
vs Saint Bonaventure
W 8–6#2776.7–7.543%
Mar 25
Bucknell logovs Bucknell
L 0–9#2277.2–7.151%
Mar 27
Illinois logovs Illinois
W 9–8#716.6–7.244%
Mar 28
Illinois logovs Illinois
L 5–16#716.2–6.844%
Mar 29
Illinois logovs Illinois
L 0–6#716.3–6.845%
Apr 1
UCF logovs UCF
—#35
Apr 3
Nebraska logoat Nebraska
—#19
Apr 4
Nebraska logoat Nebraska
L 7–8#194.9–6.829%
Apr 4
Nebraska logoat Nebraska
L 7–8#194.6–6.529%
Apr 5
Nebraska logoat Nebraska
L 6–8#195.1–7.128%
Apr 7
Fairleigh Dickinson logovs Fairleigh Dickinson
W 11–5#2337.4–7.648%
Apr 10
Ohio State logoat Ohio State
W 10–6#1157.0–8.534%
Apr 11
Ohio State logoat Ohio State
L 2–3#1156.9–8.434%
Apr 12
Ohio State logoat Ohio State
L 10–15#1156.9–8.534%
Apr 15
West Virginia logoat West Virginia
L 1–3#75.5–8.024%
Apr 17
Rutgers logovs Rutgers
L 11–13#966.8–7.246%
Apr 18
Rutgers logovs Rutgers
L 1–4#966.6–7.046%
Apr 19
Rutgers logovs Rutgers
W 14–13#966.7–7.146%
Apr 21
Bucknell logovs Bucknell
W 9–7#2276.9–6.851%
Apr 24
Oregon logoat Oregon
L 4–5#85.7–7.927%
Apr 25
Oregon logoat Oregon
L 4–5#85.5–7.727%
Apr 26
Oregon logoat Oregon
L 0–5#85.5–7.727%
Apr 29
West Virginia logovs West Virginia
—#7
May 2
Minnesota logovs Minnesota
L 4–5#235.8–6.741%
May 2
Minnesota logovs Minnesota
L 3–5#236.1–7.140%
May 3
Minnesota logovs Minnesota
W 4–3#236.3–7.340%
May 8
Washington logovs Washington
L 4–5#956.2–6.745%
May 8
Washington logovs Washington
L 4–5#955.9–6.346%
May 9
Washington logovs Washington
W 4–0#956.4–6.945%
May 12
Pittsburgh logoat Pittsburgh
L 7–11#336.2–8.131%
May 14
Maryland logoat Maryland
W 13–3#707.4–9.432%
May 15
Maryland logoat Maryland
L 2–12#707.4–9.432%
May 16
Maryland logoat Maryland
L 4–6#707.4–9.432%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#200#220#240#260
#197
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game5.5#258
Runs allowed per game7.8#247
Starter FIP7.80#277
Team OPS.754#258
Team wOBA.335#259
Run margin-2.3#271
Strength of schedule#70
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Penn State

2026 • ATS
0–0
Picks on Penn State
1–5
Picks against
-4.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.