SEC • 2026 SEASON
Ole Miss
#15
BBMI rank
+2.24
Rating
+1.8
Run margin
#11
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Troy
SUN JUN 14 • 1:00 PM CT
12 – 8
final score
Ole Miss
-1.5
Model run line
-1.5
Market run line
0.0
Edge
54%
Win probability
Ole Miss 54%Troy 46%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs NevadaW 5–1#1655.0–4.261%
vs NevadaFeb 15vs NevadaW 13–2#1655.0–4.261%
vs NevadaFeb 17
vs Arkansas StateW 7–6#597.1–6.162%
vs Arkansas StateFeb 18
vs Jackson StateW 18–3#2868.5–6.471%
vs Jackson StateFeb 20
vs Missouri StateW 11–6#727.7–6.562%
vs Missouri StateFeb 21vs Missouri StateW 6–3#727.7–6.562%
vs Missouri StateFeb 22vs Missouri StateW 3–2#727.7–6.562%
vs Missouri StateFeb 24
vs Southeast MissouriW 13–3#1055.0–4.261%
vs Southeast MissouriFeb 27
vs BaylorL 5–6#756.8–5.762%
vs BaylorFeb 28
at Ohio StateW 8–0#1156.5–6.352%
at Ohio StateMar 1
vs Coastal CarolinaL 2–9#326.7–6.059%
vs Coastal CarolinaMar 3
vs MemphisW 7–1#1117.6–6.266%
vs MemphisMar 4
vs North AlabamaW 8–5#1828.0–6.367%
vs North AlabamaMar 6
vs EvansvilleW 7–2#1955.0–4.261%
vs EvansvilleMar 6vs EvansvilleW 14–2#1955.0–4.261%
vs EvansvilleMar 8vs EvansvilleW 8–3#1955.0–4.261%
vs EvansvilleMar 10
at Southern MissL 1–2#445.8–6.245%
at Southern MissMar 13
at TexasW 9–8#24.7–5.539%
at TexasMar 14at TexasL 2–11#24.7–5.539%
at TexasMar 15at TexasL 2–8#24.7–5.539%
at TexasMar 17
vs Austin PeayW 9–5#1547.7–6.464%
vs Austin PeayMar 19
vs KentuckyW 5–0#217.0–6.358%
vs KentuckyMar 20vs KentuckyL 1–3#217.3–6.658%
vs KentuckyMar 21vs KentuckyW 12–9#217.1–6.556%
vs KentuckyMar 24at MemphisL 2–6#1117.5–7.154%
at MemphisMar 27
vs Mississippi StateL 4–5#117.3–6.856%
vs Mississippi StateMar 28vs Mississippi StateL 1–6#117.0–6.457%
vs Mississippi StateMar 29vs Mississippi StateL 1–7#116.8–6.554%
vs Mississippi StateMar 31
vs Little RockW 7–4#898.1–6.764%
vs Little RockApr 2
at FloridaW 6–4#96.2–7.140%
at FloridaApr 3at FloridaL 0–2#96.1–6.842%
at FloridaApr 4at FloridaW 5–2#95.9–6.740%
at FloridaApr 7
vs Alcorn StateW 11–1#3089.8–5.785%
vs Alcorn StateApr 10
vs LSUW 6–3#277.1–6.359%
vs LSUApr 11vs LSUW 12–2#277.1–6.359%
vs LSUApr 12vs LSUW 8–7#277.2–6.558%
vs LSUApr 14vs Southern MissW 10–3#446.7–5.959%
vs Southern MissApr 17
at TennesseeW 7–4#165.7–6.442%
at TennesseeApr 18at TennesseeW 8–1#165.8–6.444%
at TennesseeApr 19at TennesseeL 5–13#165.4–5.944%
at TennesseeApr 21
vs Murray StateW 19–2#2437.9–6.069%
vs Murray StateApr 25
vs GeorgiaW 10–8#37.0–6.556%
vs GeorgiaApr 25vs GeorgiaW 10–8#36.7–6.256%
vs GeorgiaApr 26vs GeorgiaL 1–5#37.2–6.756%
vs GeorgiaApr 28at Mississippi StateL 3–7#116.1–6.842%
at Mississippi StateMay 1
at ArkansasL 2–12#145.2–5.743%
at ArkansasMay 2at ArkansasW 11–4#145.2–5.743%
at ArkansasMay 3at ArkansasL 4–5#145.2–5.743%
at ArkansasMay 8
vs Texas A&MW 5–3#107.1–6.656%
vs Texas A&MMay 9vs Texas A&ML 5–18#106.9–6.456%
vs Texas A&MMay 9vs Texas A&ML 5–18#106.6–6.156%
vs Texas A&MMay 12
vs Tennessee-MartinW 17–6#2587.4–5.965%
vs Tennessee-MartinMay 14
at AlabamaL 4–5#185.5–5.944%
at AlabamaMay 15at AlabamaW 9–0#185.5–5.944%
at AlabamaMay 16at AlabamaL 2–6#185.5–5.944%
at AlabamaMay 19
vs MissouriL 8–10#566.6–5.463%
vs MissouriMay 29
vs Arizona StateW 7–6#555.8–5.554%
vs Arizona StateMay 31
at NebraskaW 6–3#195.0–5.741%
at NebraskaMay 31vs Arizona StateW 5–4#556.0–5.556%
vs Arizona StateJun 5
at AuburnW 6–4#6
at AuburnJun 6vs AuburnW 5–3#65.5–6.144%
vs AuburnJun 12
vs North CarolinaL 2–6#5
vs North CarolinaJun 14vs TroyL 8–12#426.4–6.054%
vs TroyRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#10#15
#15
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
2
Regional seed
—
National seed
College World Series
Lincoln Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.8#116
Runs allowed per game4.9#21
Starter FIP4.29#89
Team OPS.851#86
Team wOBA.375#98
Run margin+1.8#48
Strength of schedule#3
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Ole Miss
2026 • ATS4–4
Picks on Ole Miss
3–4
Picks against
-1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 15 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.