ACC • 2026 SEASON
Notre Dame
#48
BBMI rank
+1.39
Rating
+1.6
Run margin
#71
RPI
Next game
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Central Michigan
WED MAR 18 • 3:30 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Notre Dame
—
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14W 14–1#1477.0–6.752%
F
at FAUFeb 15W 7–1#1477.0–6.752%
F
at FAUFeb 20
vs UCFL 2–4#356.3–5.856%
vs UCFFeb 21
at LSUL 4–9#276.0–6.643%
at LSUFeb 22
vs IndianaW 9–8#796.8–5.861%
vs IndianaFeb 27
at Alabama A&MW 19–2#3008.3–7.459%
at Alabama A&MFeb 28W 14–3#2418.0–6.664%
U
vs UICMar 1
at Tennessee TechW 11–0#2328.0–7.555%
at Tennessee TechMar 3
vs Eastern MichiganW 11–1#2818.6–6.372%
vs Eastern MichiganMar 6
at DukeW 10–4#576.5–6.748%
at DukeMar 7at DukeL 5–6#576.5–6.748%
at DukeMar 8at DukeW 2–0#576.5–6.748%
at DukeMar 10W 11–6#2806.5–5.561%
Q
at QueensMar 13
at LouisvilleW 14–11#457.9–8.444%
at LouisvilleMar 14at LouisvilleL 7–8#457.9–8.444%
at LouisvilleMar 15at LouisvilleL 12–21#457.9–8.444%
at LouisvilleMar 18vs Central Michigan—#272
vs Central MichiganMar 20
vs ClemsonW 6–0#227.1–6.656%
vs ClemsonMar 21vs ClemsonW 8–7#227.2–6.755%
vs ClemsonMar 22vs ClemsonW 7–4#227.0–6.556%
vs ClemsonMar 24
vs Western MichiganW 14–3#2057.9–6.367%
vs Western MichiganMar 28
vs North CarolinaL 5–6#56.2–6.251%
vs North CarolinaMar 28vs North CarolinaL 7–13#56.5–6.550%
vs North CarolinaMar 29vs North CarolinaL 10–15#56.8–6.653%
vs North CarolinaApr 2L 3–7#627.3–7.746%
NCS
at North Carolina StateApr 3L 3–7#627.2–7.843%
NCS
at North Carolina StateApr 4L 6–7#627.1–7.644%
NCS
at North Carolina StateApr 8
vs Michigan StateL 4–7#1067.3–6.064%
vs Michigan StateApr 10
vs VirginiaL 4–8#257.2–6.755%
vs VirginiaApr 11vs VirginiaW 5–3#256.8–6.455%
vs VirginiaApr 12vs VirginiaL 5–20#256.8–6.355%
vs VirginiaApr 14
vs ValparaisoW 6–1#2548.2–6.468%
vs ValparaisoApr 17
at Florida StateL 0–11#296.6–7.244%
at Florida StateApr 18at Florida StateL 7–9#296.5–7.242%
at Florida StateApr 19at Florida StateL 4–6#296.5–7.242%
at Florida StateApr 22at Michigan StateW 3–2#1067.0–7.050%
at Michigan StateApr 24
vs Boston CollegeW 12–2#347.2–6.755%
vs Boston CollegeApr 25vs Boston CollegeL 1–16#346.9–6.455%
vs Boston CollegeApr 26vs Boston CollegeL 6–7#346.9–6.455%
vs Boston CollegeApr 28vs Central MichiganW 5–3#2728.4–6.668%
vs Central MichiganApr 29
vs MilwaukeeW 16–2#2558.1–6.665%
vs MilwaukeeMay 1
vs StanfordW 6–2#937.3–6.361%
vs StanfordMay 2vs StanfordW 10–7#937.3–6.361%
vs StanfordMay 3vs StanfordW 18–13#937.3–6.361%
vs StanfordMay 8
vs OaklandW 2–0#2977.3–5.866%
vs OaklandMay 9vs OaklandW 15–5#2977.3–6.163%
vs OaklandMay 10vs OaklandW 9–3#2977.3–6.163%
vs OaklandMay 12
vs DaytonW 16–6#1528.0–7.060%
vs DaytonMay 14
at PittsburghL 3–6#336.6–7.145%
at PittsburghMay 15at PittsburghW 6–4#336.6–7.145%
at PittsburghMay 16at PittsburghW 21–10#336.6–7.145%
at PittsburghMay 19vs ClemsonW 5–4#226.4–6.055%
vs ClemsonMay 20
at Virginia TechL 10–17#606.4–6.648%
at Virginia TechRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#19#31#43#55#66
#48
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game7.9#34
Runs allowed per game6.3#130
Starter FIP4.31#92
Team OPS.922#15
Team wOBA.399#29
Run margin+1.6#57
Strength of schedule#85
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Notre Dame
2026 • ATS6–6
Picks on Notre Dame
4–3
Picks against
+0.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 19 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.