Team Pages/ASUN/North Florida
North Florida logo
ASUN • 2026 SEASON

North Florida

Record 31-24vs line 1–3 ATSLast L 1–3 vs FGCUPostseason did not qualify
#120
BBMI rank
+0.33
Rating
+0.7
Run margin
#159
RPI

Last game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
F
FGCU
#126 • +0.25 • Evan Dempsey
FRI MAY 22 • 9:00 AM CT
3 – 1
final score
North Florida
#120 • +0.33 • home • Dakota Stone
North Florida logo
-2.5
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
59%
Win probability
North Florida 59%FGCU 41%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Sacred Heart logovs Sacred Heart
W 16–3#2617.3–5.866%
Feb 15
Sacred Heart logovs Sacred Heart
W 12–2#2617.3–5.866%
Feb 17
Charleston Southern logovs Charleston Southern
L 4–12#1627.1–6.260%
Feb 18
Florida A&M logoat Florida A&M
W 15–4#1776.3–6.746%
Feb 20
Quinnipiac logovs Quinnipiac
W 10–0#2036.6–5.860%
Feb 21
Quinnipiac logovs Quinnipiac
L 3–6#2036.1–5.360%
Feb 21
Quinnipiac logovs Quinnipiac
W 5–4#2036.4–5.660%
Feb 24
SCU
vs South Carolina Upstate
L 3–7#836.7–6.157%
Feb 25
Florida State logoat Florida State
L 9–14#296.2–7.239%
Feb 27
PC
vs Presbyterian College
W 15–6#2704.6–4.552%
Feb 28
PC
vs Presbyterian College
W 12–11#2704.6–4.552%
Mar 1
PC
vs Presbyterian College
W 12–2#2704.6–4.552%
Mar 4
Villanova logovs Villanova
L 0–4#2296.9–5.863%
Mar 6
Alabama logoat Alabama
L 2–7#185.8–6.740%
Mar 7
Alabama logoat Alabama
L 3–9#185.8–6.740%
Mar 8
Alabama logoat Alabama
L 2–12#185.8–6.740%
Mar 10
Bethune-Cookman logovs Bethune-Cookman
L 4–7#1496.6–6.354%
Mar 13
Stetson logoat Stetson
L 2–7#1395.7–6.244%
Mar 14
Stetson logoat Stetson
W 12–1#1395.7–6.244%
Mar 15
Stetson logoat Stetson
W 4–1#1395.7–6.244%
Mar 17
Charleston Southern logoat Charleston Southern
L 6–11#1626.8–7.047%
Mar 20
F
vs FGCU
W 5–4#1266.3–6.053%
Mar 21
F
vs FGCU
W 7–6#1266.3–6.055%
Mar 22
F
vs FGCU
W 6–4#1266.7–6.157%
Mar 27
Jacksonville logoat Jacksonville
W 4–2#1375.2–5.545%
Mar 28
Jacksonville logoat Jacksonville
W 11–4#1375.2–5.545%
Mar 29
Jacksonville logoat Jacksonville
W 12–6#1375.3–5.547%
Mar 31
Georgia Southern logovs Georgia Southern
L 2–3#2128.3–6.271%
Apr 2
Q
vs Queens
L 3–7#2807.8–5.771%
Apr 3
Q
vs Queens
W 5–2#2807.9–5.574%
Apr 4
Q
vs Queens
W 10–6#2807.4–5.372%
Apr 10
West Georgia logoat West Georgia
W 7–3#2597.2–6.458%
Apr 11
West Georgia logoat West Georgia
W 5–3#2597.2–6.458%
Apr 12
West Georgia logoat West Georgia
L 2–7#2597.2–6.458%
Apr 14
Florida A&M logovs Florida A&M
W 11–2#1776.8–5.960%
Apr 17
Stetson logovs Stetson
W 3–1#1396.5–6.056%
Apr 18
Stetson logovs Stetson
W 2–1#1396.5–5.858%
Apr 19
Stetson logovs Stetson
L 3–7#1396.5–5.858%
Apr 21
Florida State logovs Florida State
L 1–4#296.5–6.353%
Apr 24
F
at FGCU
W 5–3#1266.4–7.341%
Apr 25
F
at FGCU
L 3–5#1266.0–6.841%
Apr 26
F
at FGCU
L 3–13#1266.0–6.841%
May 1
Jacksonville logovs Jacksonville
W 5–4#1376.4–5.759%
May 2
Jacksonville logovs Jacksonville
L 3–4#1376.4–5.759%
May 3
Jacksonville logovs Jacksonville
W 10–0#1376.4–5.759%
May 5
Florida logoat Florida
L 1–11#95.9–7.137%
May 8
Q
at Queens
W 10–6#2805.8–5.059%
May 9
Q
at Queens
L 3–4#2805.8–5.059%
May 10
Q
at Queens
W 12–1#2805.8–5.059%
May 14
West Georgia logovs West Georgia
W 6–5#2597.2–5.470%
May 15
West Georgia logovs West Georgia
W 4–1#2597.2–5.470%
May 16
West Georgia logovs West Georgia
W 5–1#2597.2–5.470%
May 21
North Alabama logovs North Alabama
L 4–11#1826.7–5.564%
May 22
F
vs FGCU
L 1–3#1265.8–5.159%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#90#100#110#120#130
#121
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game5.9#224
Runs allowed per game5.1#38
Starter FIP2.73#3
Team OPS.779#214
Team wOBA.347#208
Run margin+0.7#107
Strength of schedule#207
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on North Florida

2026 • ATS
1–3
Picks on North Florida
0–0
Picks against
-2.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 4 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.