Team Pages/ACC/North Carolina State
NCS
ACC • 2026 SEASON

North Carolina State

Record 32-24vs line 11–9 ATSLast L 13–17 vs AuburnPostseason Regional
#62
BBMI rank
+1.16
Rating
+1.9
Run margin
#59
RPI
Last updated: (data published)
NCS
North Carolina State
#62 • +1.16 • ACC
SUN FEB 15 • 10:00 AM CT
not projected
projected runs
Seton Hall
#237 • -1.22 • home
Seton Hall logo
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
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Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Indiana State logovs Indiana State
W 10–4#2046.7–5.663%
Feb 15
Seton Hall logoat Seton Hall
—#237
Feb 18
Winthrop logovs Winthrop
W 7–3#1097.4–6.758%
Feb 20
Princeton logovs Princeton
W 6–4#2797.9–6.267%
Feb 21
Princeton logovs Princeton
W 16–1#2797.4–5.867%
Feb 21
Princeton logovs Princeton
L 0–1#2797.7–6.167%
Feb 24
Richmond logovs Richmond
W 27–0#987.7–6.958%
Feb 25
Akron logovs Akron
W 18–3#2568.3–6.865%
Feb 27
Sacred Heart logovs Sacred Heart
W 17–4#2618.3–6.667%
Feb 28
Sacred Heart logovs Sacred Heart
W 15–5#2618.3–6.667%
Mar 1
Sacred Heart logovs Sacred Heart
W 13–0#2618.3–6.667%
Mar 3
Coastal Carolina logovs Coastal Carolina
W 6–4#327.1–6.755%
Mar 4
Q
vs Queens
W 9–2#2808.3–6.073%
Mar 6
Lafayette logovs Lafayette
L 6–11#2698.2–6.567%
Mar 7
Lafayette logovs Lafayette
W 10–4#2698.2–6.567%
Mar 8
Lafayette logovs Lafayette
W 14–4#2698.2–6.567%
Mar 10
Elon logovs Elon
L 0–2#1877.6–6.562%
Mar 13
Boston College logovs Boston College
W 4–2#346.9–6.654%
Mar 14
Boston College logovs Boston College
L 5–12#346.9–6.654%
Mar 15
Boston College logovs Boston College
W 5–1#346.9–6.654%
Mar 17
U
at UNCW
W 14–2#614.8–4.554%
Mar 20
Florida State logoat Florida State
W 6–4#296.5–7.441%
Mar 21
Florida State logoat Florida State
L 5–11#296.6–7.342%
Mar 22
Florida State logoat Florida State
L 5–15#296.8–7.740%
Mar 24
Campbell logovs Campbell
L 2–7#497.2–7.251%
Mar 27
Georgia Tech logoat Georgia Tech
L 1–3#17.4–9.332%
Mar 28
Georgia Tech logoat Georgia Tech
L 4–6#17.0–8.436%
Mar 29
Georgia Tech logoat Georgia Tech
L 0–10#16.9–8.434%
Mar 31
Liberty logovs Liberty
L 5–7#317.3–6.954%
Apr 2
Notre Dame logovs Notre Dame
W 7–3#487.7–7.354%
Apr 3
Notre Dame logovs Notre Dame
W 7–3#487.8–7.257%
Apr 4
Notre Dame logovs Notre Dame
W 7–6#487.6–7.156%
Apr 7
U
vs UNCW
W 7–4#617.1–6.755%
Apr 10
Duke logovs Duke
W 10–4#577.5–6.660%
Apr 11
Duke logovs Duke
W 18–5#577.6–6.660%
Apr 12
Duke logovs Duke
L 2–3#577.6–6.760%
Apr 14
East Carolina logoat East Carolina
W 10–3#175.7–6.540%
Apr 17
Wake Forest logoat Wake Forest
L 1–22#136.7–8.036%
Apr 18
Wake Forest logoat Wake Forest
L 7–18#136.7–7.938%
Apr 19
Wake Forest logoat Wake Forest
W 6–5#136.5–7.738%
Apr 24
Virginia Tech logoat Virginia Tech
L 0–4#606.5–6.945%
Apr 25
Virginia Tech logoat Virginia Tech
W 14–7#606.5–6.945%
Apr 26
Virginia Tech logoat Virginia Tech
L 4–5#606.5–6.945%
Apr 28
East Carolina logovs East Carolina
W 12–2#176.9–6.753%
May 1
Miami (FL) logovs Miami (FL)
L 9–12#266.4–6.252%
May 1
Miami (FL) logovs Miami (FL)
L 9–12#266.7–6.652%
May 2
Miami (FL) logovs Miami (FL)
W 12–7#266.9–6.852%
May 5
North Carolina A&T logovs North Carolina A&T
—#284
May 8
Stanford logoat Stanford
L 5–6#937.3–7.646%
May 9
Stanford logoat Stanford
W 12–7#937.3–7.646%
May 10
Stanford logoat Stanford
L 5–9#937.3–7.646%
May 14
North Carolina logovs North Carolina
L 4–9#56.6–6.551%
May 15
North Carolina logovs North Carolina
L 7–17#56.6–6.551%
May 16
North Carolina logovs North Carolina
W 7–2#56.6–6.551%
May 19
Duke logovs Duke
L 12–21#577.2–6.359%
May 30
UCF logovs UCF
L 3–9#355.6–6.144%
May 30
Auburn logovs Auburn
L 13–17#66.3–6.153%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#40#50#60
#62
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
3
Regional seed
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National seed
Regional
Auburn Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game8.2#23
Runs allowed per game6.2#123
Starter FIP6.20#224
Team OPS.896#33
Team wOBA.423#10
Run margin+1.9#47
Strength of schedule#40
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on North Carolina State

2026 • ATS
2–3
Picks on North Carolina State
9–6
Picks against
+1.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 20 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.