ACC • 2026 SEASON
North Carolina
#5
BBMI rank
+2.73
Rating
+3.9
Run margin
#2
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Q
Queens
WED APR 29 • 5:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
North Carolina
—
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs IndianaW 12–2#796.0–4.865%
vs IndianaFeb 14vs IndianaW 4–3#796.3–5.065%
vs IndianaFeb 17
vs RichmondW 10–0#986.8–5.664%
vs RichmondFeb 18
vs LongwoodW 5–3#1236.6–5.463%
vs LongwoodFeb 20
at East CarolinaW 10–0#175.6–5.946%
at East CarolinaFeb 21vs East CarolinaL 3–10#176.9–6.159%
vs East CarolinaFeb 22vs East CarolinaL 3–3#176.1–5.459%
vs East CarolinaFeb 24
vs North Carolina A&TW 9–1#2847.7–5.177%
vs North Carolina A&TFeb 25
vs VCUW 13–3#536.5–5.561%
vs VCUFeb 27
vs Le MoyneW 16–3#2878.1–5.774%
vs Le MoyneFeb 28vs Le MoyneW 12–2#2878.1–5.774%
vs Le MoyneMar 1vs Le MoyneW 21–1#2878.1–5.774%
vs Le MoyneMar 3
vs ElonW 5–1#1876.8–5.367%
vs ElonMar 6
vs VirginiaL 3–13#256.2–5.460%
vs VirginiaMar 7vs VirginiaL 2–9#255.7–4.960%
vs VirginiaMar 7vs VirginiaW 8–7#256.0–5.260%
vs VirginiaMar 10
vs BucknellW 13–3#2276.9–5.269%
vs BucknellMar 13
at CaliforniaW 8–1#385.5–5.451%
at CaliforniaMar 14at CaliforniaW 6–2#385.5–5.451%
at CaliforniaMar 15at CaliforniaW 10–2#385.5–5.451%
at CaliforniaMar 18W 8–2#1635.1–4.163%
U
vs UNCGMar 20
vs LouisvilleW 11–1#456.8–5.663%
vs LouisvilleMar 21vs LouisvilleL 0–2#456.9–5.763%
vs LouisvilleMar 22vs LouisvilleW 7–6#456.8–5.960%
vs LouisvilleMar 24
vs South CarolinaW 9–1#736.8–5.367%
vs South CarolinaMar 28
at Notre DameW 6–5#486.2–6.249%
at Notre DameMar 28at Notre DameW 13–7#486.5–6.550%
at Notre DameMar 29at Notre DameW 15–10#486.6–6.847%
at Notre DameMar 31
vs CampbellW 5–4#497.0–6.258%
vs CampbellApr 2
vs Boston CollegeL 1–6#346.7–5.762%
vs Boston CollegeApr 3vs Boston CollegeW 5–2#346.7–5.762%
vs Boston CollegeApr 4vs Boston CollegeW 8–7#346.7–5.860%
vs Boston CollegeApr 7
vs CharlotteW 8–4#636.5–5.364%
vs CharlotteApr 10
at ClemsonL 5–9#226.0–6.347%
at ClemsonApr 11at ClemsonW 6–4#226.1–6.347%
at ClemsonApr 12at ClemsonW 12–5#226.0–6.445%
at ClemsonApr 14W 14–5#616.5–5.561%
U
vs UNCWApr 17
vs Georgia TechW 5–2#16.3–6.053%
vs Georgia TechApr 18vs Georgia TechW 14–4#16.3–6.153%
vs Georgia TechApr 19vs Georgia TechL 2–5#16.2–5.953%
vs Georgia TechApr 21
vs High PointW 9–2#506.5–5.759%
vs High PointApr 23
at DukeW 3–1#576.6–6.353%
at DukeApr 24at DukeL 1–3#576.6–6.353%
at DukeApr 25at DukeW 22–5#576.5–6.353%
at DukeApr 28
vs Coastal CarolinaL 2–12#326.3–5.461%
vs Coastal CarolinaApr 29—#280
Q
vs QueensMay 3vs DukeW 13–0#576.6–5.365%
vs DukeMay 6
vs Winthrop—#109
vs WinthropMay 8
vs PittsburghW 4–1#336.6–5.662%
vs PittsburghMay 9vs PittsburghW 12–2#336.6–5.662%
vs PittsburghMay 10vs PittsburghW 7–3#336.6–5.662%
vs PittsburghMay 12W 13–7#616.5–6.748%
U
at UNCWMay 14W 9–4#626.5–6.649%
NCS
at North Carolina StateMay 15W 17–7#626.5–6.649%
NCS
at North Carolina StateMay 16L 2–7#626.5–6.649%
NCS
at North Carolina StateMay 22
vs Virginia TechW 10–4#606.8–5.268%
vs Virginia TechMay 23vs PittsburghW 13–5#336.8–5.961%
vs PittsburghMay 24vs Georgia TechL 6–13#16.1–7.040%
vs Georgia TechMay 29vs VCUW 8–0#535.8–5.159%
vs VCUMay 30vs East CarolinaW 7–5#175.3–5.250%
vs East CarolinaMay 31vs East CarolinaW 9–3#175.9–5.357%
vs East CarolinaJun 5
vs USCL 5–9#245.5–4.760%
vs USCJun 6vs USCW 4–0#245.6–5.353%
vs USCJun 7vs USCW 4–3#245.4–5.254%
vs USCJun 12
vs Ole MissW 6–2#15
vs Ole MissJun 14
vs West VirginiaW 5–2#7
vs West VirginiaJun 17vs West VirginiaW 12–7#75.9–6.049%
vs West VirginiaJun 20
vs OklahomaL 3–9#126.3–6.152%
vs OklahomaJun 21vs OklahomaW 6–2#126.1–6.447%
vs OklahomaJun 22vs OklahomaL 2–13#12
vs OklahomaRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#1#5#10#15#20
#5
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
1
Regional seed
5
National seed
Championship series
Chapel Hill Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game8.1#25
Runs allowed per game4.1#6
Starter FIP2.97#8
Team OPS.889#39
Team wOBA.389#50
Run margin+3.9#5
Strength of schedule#9
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on North Carolina
2026 • ATS4–3
Picks on North Carolina
5–13
Picks against
-7.8u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 25 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.