Team Pages/Mountain West/Nevada
Nevada logo
MOUNTAIN WEST • 2026 SEASON

Nevada

Record 22-27vs line 1–3 ATSLast L 4–13 vs New MexicoPostseason did not qualify
#165
BBMI rank
-0.38
Rating
-0.9
Run margin
#164
RPI
New Mexico logo
New Mexico
#209 • -0.96 • Mountain West
THU MAY 21 • 8:05 PM CT
13 4
final score
Nevada
#165 • -0.38home
Nevada logo
-2.5
Model run line
+1.5
Market run line
+4.0
Edge · ATS
58%
Win probability
Nevada 58%New Mexico 42%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Ole Miss logoat Ole Miss
L 1–5#154.2–5.039%
Feb 15
Ole Miss logoat Ole Miss
L 2–13#154.2–5.039%
Feb 27
UC Davis logoat UC Davis
L 4–5#1214.4–4.450%
Feb 28
UC Davis logoat UC Davis
L 5–7#1214.4–4.450%
Mar 1
UC Davis logoat UC Davis
W 11–5#1214.4–4.450%
Mar 2
Stanford logoat Stanford
W 9–6#935.1–4.952%
Mar 11
Stanford logoat Stanford
L 8–13#935.1–4.952%
Apr 7
UC Davis logovs UC Davis
L 9–11#1216.7–5.761%
May 7
USC logoat USC
L 0–8#244.6–5.539%
May 8
USC logoat USC
L 3–11#244.3–5.535%
May 9
USC logoat USC
L 4–12#244.7–5.639%
May 21
New Mexico logovs New Mexico
L 4–13#2095.4–4.858%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#152#164#176#188#200#201
#165
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game7.5#60
Runs allowed per game8.0#255
Starter FIP5.25#173
Team OPS.907#21
Team wOBA.393#43
Run margin-0.9#212
Strength of schedule#137
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Nevada

2026 • ATS
13
Picks on Nevada
00
Picks against
-2.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 4 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.