Team Pages/Missouri Valley/Murray State
Murray State logo
MISSOURI VALLEY • 2026 SEASON

Murray State

Record 32-27vs line 4–1 ATSLast L 7–9 vs Southern IllinoisPostseason did not qualify
#243
BBMI rank
-1.31
Rating
+0.2
Run margin
#166
RPI

Last game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Southern Illinois logo
Southern Illinois
#247 • -1.37 • Troy Shepard
SAT MAY 23 • 7:15 PM CT
9 – 7
final score
Murray State
#243 • -1.31 • home • Drew Deremer
Murray State logo
-1.5
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
55%
Win probability
Murray State 55%Southern Illinois 45%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 18
North Alabama logoat North Alabama
L 5–15#1827.2–8.042%
Feb 20
Butler logovs Butler
W 6–0#2507.5–6.859%
Feb 21
Butler logovs Butler
W 6–4#2507.0–6.259%
Feb 21
Butler logovs Butler
W 3–2#2507.3–6.559%
Mar 3
Middle Tennessee logoat Middle Tennessee
L 2–5#1986.5–7.242%
Mar 6
UCF logoat UCF
L 3–8#355.4–6.834%
Mar 7
UCF logoat UCF
L 0–4#355.4–6.834%
Mar 8
UCF logoat UCF
L 9–10#355.4–6.834%
Mar 17
Middle Tennessee logoat Middle Tennessee
W 5–3#1986.5–7.242%
Mar 24
Kentucky logoat Kentucky
L 4–14#215.6–7.133%
Apr 7
Bellarmine logoat Bellarmine
W 8–7#2766.9–7.346%
Apr 21
Ole Miss logoat Ole Miss
L 2–19#156.0–7.931%
Apr 26
Southern Illinois logoat Southern Illinois
W 7–5#2476.6–7.144%
Apr 28
Memphis logovs Memphis
W 9–5#1117.1–6.853%
May 1
Purdue logoat Purdue
L 5–7#546.8–8.334%
May 2
Purdue logoat Purdue
L 4–11#546.8–8.334%
May 3
Purdue logoat Purdue
L 8–17#546.8–8.334%
May 12
North Alabama logovs North Alabama
W 9–5#1827.4–6.955%
May 20
Illinois State logovs Illinois State
W 6–4#2357.0–6.555%
May 21
Indiana State logoat Indiana State
W 3–2#2046.6–7.343%
May 23
U
at UIC
L 5–6#2416.1–7.040%
May 23
Southern Illinois logovs Southern Illinois
L 7–9#2476.7–6.255%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#200#220#240
#243
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game6.6#146
Runs allowed per game6.4#142
Starter FIP6.40#236
Team OPS.808#154
Team wOBA.370#115
Run margin+0.2#147
Strength of schedule#257
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Murray State

2026 • ATS
1–0
Picks on Murray State
3–1
Picks against
+2.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 5 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.