CONFERENCE USA • 2026 SEASON
Missouri State
#72
BBMI rank
+0.97
Rating
+1.6
Run margin
#28
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Arkansas State
TUE MAR 17 • 3:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Missouri State
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Model run line
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Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
at LouisianaW 13–12#404.8–5.541%
at LouisianaFeb 15at LouisianaL 7–9#404.8–5.541%
at LouisianaFeb 17
at Oral RobertsW 11–0#1715.8–6.145%
at Oral RobertsFeb 20
at Ole MissL 6–11#156.5–7.738%
at Ole MissFeb 21at Ole MissL 3–6#156.5–7.738%
at Ole MissFeb 22at Ole MissL 2–3#156.5–7.738%
at Ole MissFeb 24vs Oral RobertsW 13–1#1717.6–6.859%
vs Oral RobertsFeb 27
vs Little RockW 8–5#897.6–6.858%
vs Little RockFeb 28vs Little RockW 7–5#897.1–6.359%
vs Little RockFeb 28vs Little RockW 9–4#897.4–6.658%
vs Little RockMar 3
at Oklahoma StateL 7–8#677.2–7.943%
at Oklahoma StateMar 6
vs MemphisW 12–5#1117.8–6.960%
vs MemphisMar 7vs MemphisW 14–5#1117.8–6.960%
vs MemphisMar 8vs MemphisW 13–12#1117.8–6.960%
vs MemphisMar 10
at Southeast MissouriL 6–13#1054.5–5.043%
at Southeast MissouriMar 13
at LibertyW 4–3#316.2–7.437%
at LibertyMar 14at LibertyW 12–11#316.2–7.437%
at LibertyMar 15at LibertyL 3–9#316.2–7.437%
at LibertyMar 17vs Arkansas State—#59
vs Arkansas StateMar 20
vs Middle TennesseeW 6–4#1988.5–7.263%
vs Middle TennesseeMar 21vs Middle TennesseeW 14–4#1988.3–7.064%
vs Middle TennesseeMar 22vs Middle TennesseeW 10–9#1988.1–7.062%
vs Middle TennesseeMar 24vs Oklahoma StateW 16–2#678.0–7.655%
vs Oklahoma StateMar 27L 4–5#829.2–9.844%
DB
at Dallas BaptistMar 28W 8–2#828.7–9.344%
DB
at Dallas BaptistMar 29L 5–8#828.7–9.344%
DB
at Dallas BaptistMar 31
vs ArkansasW 15–14#147.7–7.849%
vs ArkansasApr 3
vs Sam Houston StateW 9–8#1808.4–7.064%
vs Sam Houston StateApr 4vs Sam Houston StateW 15–5#1808.2–6.864%
vs Sam Houston StateApr 5vs Sam Houston StateW 12–0#1807.8–6.564%
vs Sam Houston StateApr 7
at MissouriL 2–5#566.4–7.143%
at MissouriApr 10
at DelawareW 14–1#2016.5–6.550%
at DelawareApr 11at DelawareW 15–10#2016.5–6.550%
at DelawareApr 12at DelawareW 9–6#2016.4–6.450%
at DelawareApr 15vs Missouri—#56
vs MissouriApr 17
vs Western KentuckyW 15–10#1368.0–6.961%
vs Western KentuckyApr 18vs Western KentuckyW 8–6#1367.8–6.860%
vs Western KentuckyApr 19vs Western KentuckyL 5–10#1367.7–6.760%
vs Western KentuckyApr 21at ArkansasL 4–12#145.7–6.838%
at ArkansasApr 25
at Louisiana TechL 2–8#525.5–6.142%
at Louisiana TechApr 25at Louisiana TechL 5–6#525.2–5.842%
at Louisiana TechApr 26at Louisiana TechL 8–9#525.6–6.342%
at Louisiana TechApr 28
at Saint Louis—#221
at Saint LouisMay 1
vs Jacksonville StateW 10–2#667.2–7.053%
vs Jacksonville StateMay 2vs Jacksonville StateL 2–10#667.2–7.053%
vs Jacksonville StateMay 3vs Jacksonville StateL 4–11#667.2–7.053%
vs Jacksonville StateMay 5
vs Kansas State—#68
vs Kansas StateMay 8
vs New Mexico StateW 14–8#2458.8–6.969%
vs New Mexico StateMay 9vs New Mexico StateW 9–1#2458.8–6.969%
vs New Mexico StateMay 10vs New Mexico StateW 7–6#2458.8–6.969%
vs New Mexico StateMay 14
at Kennesaw StateW 5–3#1326.0–6.049%
at Kennesaw StateMay 15at Kennesaw StateW 5–3#1326.0–6.049%
at Kennesaw StateMay 16at Kennesaw StateL 6–12#1326.0–6.049%
at Kennesaw StateMay 21vs Kennesaw StateL 4–6#1327.7–6.563%
vs Kennesaw StateMay 22W 9–8#826.8–5.861%
DB
vs Dallas BaptistMay 24vs LibertyL 4–6#315.7–6.244%
vs LibertyMay 29vs ArkansasL 5–9#146.6–7.244%
vs ArkansasMay 30
vs NortheasternL 1–5#586.5–7.739%
vs NortheasternRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#40#50#60#70
#72
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
3
Regional seed
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National seed
Regional
Lawrence Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game8.1#28
Runs allowed per game6.5#145
Starter FIP6.50#239
Team OPS.892#35
Team wOBA.420#14
Run margin+1.6#59
Strength of schedule#42
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Missouri State
2026 • ATS2–1
Picks on Missouri State
7–2
Picks against
+5.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 12 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.