SEC • 2026 SEASON
Mississippi State
#11
BBMI rank
+2.32
Rating
+4.1
Run margin
#10
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Georgia
SUN JUN 7 • 11:00 AM CT
11 – 9
final score
Mississippi State
+0.5
Model run line
+1.5
Market run line
+1.0
Edge
49%
Win probability
Mississippi State 49%Georgia 51%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs HofstraW 6–1#1297.6–6.066%
vs HofstraFeb 14vs HofstraW 7–5#1298.0–6.466%
vs HofstraFeb 17
vs TroyW 13–7#427.7–6.562%
vs TroyFeb 18
vs Alcorn StateW 19–0#30810.3–6.086%
vs Alcorn StateFeb 20
vs DelawareW 9–2#2018.2–6.370%
vs DelawareFeb 21vs DelawareW 10–0#2018.2–6.370%
vs DelawareFeb 22vs DelawareW 7–3#2018.2–6.370%
vs DelawareFeb 24
vs Austin PeayW 16–3#1548.2–6.765%
vs Austin PeayFeb 27
vs Arizona StateW 8–4#556.7–5.761%
vs Arizona StateFeb 28
at Virginia TechW 15–8#606.0–6.050%
at Virginia TechMar 1
vs UCLAL 7–8#46.0–5.754%
vs UCLAMar 3
at Southern MissL 6–7#446.1–6.347%
at Southern MissMar 5
vs LipscombW 8–3#1898.2–6.567%
vs LipscombMar 6vs LipscombW 9–4#1898.2–6.567%
vs LipscombMar 7vs LipscombW 26–0#1898.2–6.567%
vs LipscombMar 10
vs TulaneW 11–7#1197.4–6.065%
vs TulaneMar 13
at ArkansasL 4–5#145.4–5.945%
at ArkansasMar 14at ArkansasW 7–2#145.0–5.444%
at ArkansasMar 14at ArkansasL 3–7#145.3–5.744%
at ArkansasMar 17
vs Jackson StateW 17–1#2869.0–6.772%
vs Jackson StateMar 20
vs VanderbiltW 4–2#288.1–7.061%
vs VanderbiltMar 21vs VanderbiltW 7–2#288.1–7.259%
vs VanderbiltMar 22vs VanderbiltW 17–7#287.7–6.760%
vs VanderbiltMar 24vs Southern MissW 12–0#447.7–6.761%
vs Southern MissMar 27
at Ole MissW 5–4#156.8–7.344%
at Ole MissMar 28at Ole MissW 6–1#156.4–7.043%
at Ole MissMar 29at Ole MissW 7–1#156.5–6.846%
at Ole MissMar 31
vs Grambling StateW 12–0#2748.1–6.071%
vs Grambling StateApr 2vs GeorgiaL 9–10#38.2–7.557%
vs GeorgiaApr 3vs GeorgiaL 1–3#37.8–7.356%
vs GeorgiaApr 4vs GeorgiaL 5–8#38.0–7.159%
vs GeorgiaApr 7
vs UABW 5–3#788.2–6.765%
vs UABApr 10
vs TennesseeL 5–6#167.7–6.860%
vs TennesseeApr 11vs TennesseeL 2–6#167.4–6.659%
vs TennesseeApr 12vs TennesseeL 2–7#167.6–6.561%
vs TennesseeApr 14
at SamfordW 11–1#877.1–6.952%
at SamfordApr 17
at South CarolinaW 5–3#735.8–5.751%
at South CarolinaApr 18at South CarolinaW 9–0#735.8–5.652%
at South CarolinaApr 19at South CarolinaW 4–3#735.7–5.552%
at South CarolinaApr 21
vs MemphisW 6–2#1118.2–6.667%
vs MemphisApr 24
vs LSUW 10–8#278.0–7.061%
vs LSUApr 25vs LSUW 9–8#277.5–6.561%
vs LSUApr 26vs LSUW 13–8#277.5–6.561%
vs LSUApr 28vs Ole MissW 7–3#156.8–6.158%
vs Ole MissMay 1
at TexasL 1–3#24.9–5.741%
at TexasMay 2at TexasW 7–4#24.9–5.741%
at TexasMay 3at TexasL 6–11#24.9–5.741%
at TexasMay 5
vs NichollsW 21–6#887.8–6.564%
vs NichollsMay 7
vs AuburnW 10–3#66.9–6.555%
vs AuburnMay 8vs AuburnL 4–5#66.9–6.555%
vs AuburnMay 9vs AuburnL 2–13#66.9–6.555%
vs AuburnMay 14
at Texas A&MW 18–11#106.1–6.744%
at Texas A&MMay 15at Texas A&ML 9–11#106.1–6.744%
at Texas A&MMay 16at Texas A&ML 6–7#106.1–6.744%
at Texas A&MMay 20
vs MissouriW 12–2#566.9–5.763%
vs MissouriMay 21at GeorgiaL 3–5#36.0–7.139%
at GeorgiaMay 29vs LipscombW 10–1#1898.2–5.874%
vs LipscombMay 30
vs CincinnatiW 10–5#206.8–6.356%
vs CincinnatiMay 31
vs LouisianaW 19–5#407.4–6.262%
vs LouisianaJun 6at GeorgiaL 12–13#36.0–7.138%
at GeorgiaJun 7vs GeorgiaL 9–11#36.5–6.649%
vs GeorgiaRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#5#10#15
#11
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
1
Regional seed
14
National seed
Super regional
Starkville Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game8.8#7
Runs allowed per game4.7#14
Starter FIP4.70#122
Team OPS.932#9
Team wOBA.445#4
Run margin+4.1#4
Strength of schedule#8
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Mississippi State
2026 • ATS4–1
Picks on Mississippi State
7–5
Picks against
+4.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 17 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.