BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON
Minnesota
#23
BBMI rank
+2.01
Rating
+2.9
Run margin
#95
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →
Nebraska
SAT MAY 16 • 1:05 PM CT
14 – 11
final score
Minnesota
-2.5
Model run line
+2.5
Market run line
+5.0
Edge · ATS
57%
Win probability
Minnesota 57%Nebraska 43%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14W 8–0#1466.8–6.454%
SJ
at Saint John'sFeb 15
vs Ball StateW 8–0#2487.9–6.070%
vs Ball StateFeb 18L 5–6#1266.8–7.146%
F
at FGCUFeb 21
vs NortheasternW 12–2#587.2–6.557%
vs NortheasternFeb 22vs NortheasternW 15–5#587.2–6.557%
vs NortheasternFeb 25
vs KansasL 7–8#376.8–6.059%
vs KansasFeb 27vs KansasW 12–5#376.8–6.059%
vs KansasFeb 28vs KansasW 10–3#376.8–6.059%
vs KansasMar 1vs KansasL 3–8#376.8–6.059%
vs KansasMar 3
vs MilwaukeeW 14–4#2557.8–6.267%
vs MilwaukeeMar 4vs MilwaukeeW 6–2#2557.8–6.267%
vs MilwaukeeMar 6
vs UNLVW 10–0#2087.6–6.363%
vs UNLVMar 7
vs South Dakota StateW 3–2#2828.2–6.072%
vs South Dakota StateMar 8
vs OmahaW 6–4#2447.5–6.066%
vs OmahaMar 10
vs GonzagaW 11–8#946.9–6.159%
vs GonzagaMar 11vs GonzagaW 6–2#946.9–6.159%
vs GonzagaMar 13
at IllinoisL 1–2#716.2–6.447%
at IllinoisMar 14at IllinoisW 1–0#715.7–6.047%
at IllinoisMar 14at IllinoisL 2–4#716.0–6.347%
at IllinoisMar 17
vs North Dakota StateL 4–7#2908.3–5.974%
vs North Dakota StateMar 20
at IndianaL 6–8#797.2–7.150%
at IndianaMar 21at IndianaL 2–7#796.9–6.752%
at IndianaMar 22at IndianaW 14–2#797.4–7.152%
at IndianaMar 25W 15–5#2957.5–5.868%
ST
vs Saint ThomasMar 27
vs Ohio StateL 3–4#1157.1–5.865%
vs Ohio StateMar 28vs Ohio StateL 3–9#1157.3–5.965%
vs Ohio StateMar 29vs Ohio StateL 9–12#1157.3–5.965%
vs Ohio StateApr 3
at IowaW 9–4#397.0–7.446%
at IowaApr 4at IowaL 2–3#396.9–7.246%
at IowaApr 5at IowaL 4–5#396.9–7.346%
at IowaApr 8vs South Dakota StateW 16–7#2828.7–6.373%
vs South Dakota StateApr 10
vs WashingtonL 7–11#956.7–5.662%
vs WashingtonApr 10vs WashingtonL 7–11#956.4–5.362%
vs WashingtonApr 11vs WashingtonW 5–4#957.2–6.163%
vs WashingtonApr 14W 24–2#2956.8–6.553%
ST
at Saint ThomasApr 17
at UCLAL 2–4#45.6–6.540%
at UCLAApr 18at UCLAL 4–6#45.6–6.540%
at UCLAApr 19at UCLAL 2–5#45.6–6.540%
at UCLAApr 21vs North Dakota StateW 12–3#2908.2–5.874%
vs North Dakota StateApr 24
vs NorthwesternW 13–1#1697.6–5.869%
vs NorthwesternApr 25vs NorthwesternW 7–3#1697.7–5.870%
vs NorthwesternApr 26vs NorthwesternW 7–2#1697.7–5.870%
vs NorthwesternApr 28W 12–1#2957.3–5.767%
ST
vs Saint ThomasMay 2
at Penn StateW 5–4#1976.7–5.859%
at Penn StateMay 2at Penn StateW 5–3#1977.1–6.160%
at Penn StateMay 3at Penn StateL 3–4#1977.3–6.360%
at Penn StateMay 8
vs MichiganW 13–1#767.0–5.863%
vs MichiganMay 9vs MichiganL 8–9#766.9–5.862%
vs MichiganMay 10vs MichiganL 5–8#767.0–5.863%
vs MichiganMay 14vs NebraskaL 7–12#196.7–6.157%
vs NebraskaMay 15vs NebraskaL 6–7#196.8–6.257%
vs NebraskaMay 16vs NebraskaL 11–14#196.7–6.157%
vs NebraskaRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#19#30#41#52#63#64
#24
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game7.7#44
Runs allowed per game4.8#18
Starter FIP3.63#36
Team OPS.892#34
Team wOBA.387#57
Run margin+2.9#16
Strength of schedule#97
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Minnesota
2026 • ATS9–6
Picks on Minnesota
4–0
Picks against
+5.8u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 19 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.