Team Pages/Conference USA/Middle Tennessee
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CONFERENCE USA • 2026 SEASON

Middle Tennessee

Record 26-31vs line 4–2 ATSLast L 3–9 vs Jacksonville StatePostseason did not qualify
#198
BBMI rank
-0.78
Rating
+0.2
Run margin
#224
RPI

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Middle Tennessee logo
Middle Tennessee
#198 • -0.78 • Conference USA
TUE MAY 5 • 6:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Lipscomb
#189 • -0.61 • home
Lipscomb logo
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
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Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Bellarmine logovs Bellarmine
L 3–6#2767.0–6.160%
Feb 14
Bellarmine logovs Bellarmine
W 15–5#2767.3–6.460%
Feb 17
Alabama A&M logovs Alabama A&M
W 19–2#3007.7–6.563%
Feb 20
SB
vs Saint Bonaventure
W 2–1#2774.8–4.357%
Feb 21
SB
vs Saint Bonaventure
L 5–6#2774.8–4.357%
Feb 22
SB
vs Saint Bonaventure
W 7–0#2774.8–4.357%
Feb 24
Tennessee Tech logovs Tennessee Tech
W 11–1#2327.4–6.559%
Feb 27
Illinois State logovs Illinois State
W 13–3#2357.0–6.556%
Feb 28
Illinois State logovs Illinois State
W 8–2#2357.0–6.556%
Mar 1
Illinois State logovs Illinois State
L 7–14#2357.0–6.556%
Mar 3
Murray State logovs Murray State
W 5–2#2437.2–6.558%
Mar 4
Belmont logovs Belmont
L 7–8#2266.9–6.357%
Mar 6
UAB logoat UAB
L 2–12#786.8–7.839%
Mar 7
UAB logoat UAB
L 8–9#786.3–7.339%
Mar 7
UAB logoat UAB
L 14–16#786.6–7.639%
Mar 10
Eastern Kentucky logovs Eastern Kentucky
W 17–0#2677.7–6.464%
Mar 13
Kennesaw State logovs Kennesaw State
L 1–6#1327.0–6.357%
Mar 14
Kennesaw State logovs Kennesaw State
W 13–2#1327.0–6.357%
Mar 15
Kennesaw State logovs Kennesaw State
W 4–3#1327.0–6.357%
Mar 17
Murray State logovs Murray State
L 3–5#2437.2–6.558%
Mar 20
Missouri State logoat Missouri State
L 4–6#727.2–8.537%
Mar 21
Missouri State logoat Missouri State
L 4–14#727.0–8.336%
Mar 22
Missouri State logoat Missouri State
L 9–10#727.0–8.138%
Mar 24
Alabama A&M logoat Alabama A&M
W 10–2#3007.3–7.250%
Mar 27
New Mexico State logovs New Mexico State
W 7–5#2458.1–6.764%
Mar 28
New Mexico State logovs New Mexico State
W 8–7#2457.7–6.662%
Mar 29
New Mexico State logovs New Mexico State
W 9–6#2457.9–6.465%
Mar 31
Southern Indiana logovs Southern Indiana
L 2–7#2077.0–6.259%
Apr 2
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
L 5–6#665.4–6.636%
Apr 3
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
L 6–7#665.2–6.435%
Apr 4
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
L 1–3#665.3–6.437%
Apr 7
Lipscomb logovs Lipscomb
W 5–3#1897.2–6.855%
Apr 10
Louisiana Tech logoat Louisiana Tech
L 1–8#525.3–6.437%
Apr 11
Louisiana Tech logoat Louisiana Tech
L 2–8#525.3–6.537%
Apr 12
Louisiana Tech logoat Louisiana Tech
L 3–5#525.3–6.537%
Apr 14
Belmont logoat Belmont
W 10–8#2265.8–6.344%
Apr 17
Delaware logovs Delaware
W 8–7#2017.5–6.858%
Apr 18
Delaware logovs Delaware
W 4–3#2017.5–6.858%
Apr 19
Delaware logovs Delaware
W 4–0#2017.0–6.357%
Apr 21
Tennessee Tech logoat Tennessee Tech
L 6–12#2327.7–8.146%
Apr 24
Sam Houston State logoat Sam Houston State
L 3–6#1806.0–6.445%
Apr 25
Sam Houston State logoat Sam Houston State
W 12–8#1805.5–5.945%
Apr 26
Sam Houston State logoat Sam Houston State
L 4–9#1805.5–5.945%
Apr 28
Vanderbilt logoat Vanderbilt
L 1–9#286.5–8.034%
May 1
Western Kentucky logovs Western Kentucky
W 7–1#1366.8–6.455%
May 2
Western Kentucky logovs Western Kentucky
L 0–11#1366.8–6.455%
May 3
Western Kentucky logovs Western Kentucky
L 8–9#1366.8–6.455%
May 5
Lipscomb logoat Lipscomb
—#189
May 8
F
at FIU
W 11–9#1786.3–6.944%
May 9
F
at FIU
L 5–7#1786.3–6.944%
May 10
F
at FIU
L 2–10#1786.3–6.944%
May 12
Memphis logovs Memphis
W 10–9#1116.9–6.554%
May 14
Liberty logovs Liberty
W 8–1#316.0–6.545%
May 15
Liberty logovs Liberty
L 2–10#316.0–6.545%
May 16
Liberty logovs Liberty
L 7–8#316.0–6.545%
May 20
Western Kentucky logoat Western Kentucky
L 2–8#1365.4–6.142%
May 21
Jacksonville State logovs Jacksonville State
L 3–9#665.6–5.848%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#111#135#159#183#205
#198
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game6.4#167
Runs allowed per game6.2#129
Starter FIP6.20#227
Team OPS.800#168
Team wOBA.364#137
Run margin+0.2#146
Strength of schedule#197
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Middle Tennessee

2026 • ATS
3–2
Picks on Middle Tennessee
1–0
Picks against
+1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.