Team Pages/Big Ten/Michigan State
Michigan State logo
BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON

Michigan State

Record 24-32vs line 11–14 ATSLast L 0–7 at USCPostseason did not qualify
#106
BBMI rank
+0.51
Rating
+0.2
Run margin
#107
RPI

Next game

Game Picks →
Central Michigan logo
Central Michigan
#272 • -1.83 • Mid-American
TUE MAR 31 • 2:30 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Michigan State
#106 • +0.51 • home
Michigan State logo
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
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Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Louisville logoat Louisville
W 13–4#457.3–8.737%
Feb 15
Louisville logoat Louisville
L 1–9#457.3–8.737%
Feb 20
Texas logoat Texas
L 1–8#24.5–6.032%
Feb 21
Texas logoat Texas
L 1–3#24.5–6.032%
Feb 22
Texas logoat Texas
L 0–4#24.5–6.032%
Feb 27
Illinois logovs Illinois
L 4–5#716.6–6.551%
Feb 28
Albany logovs Albany
W 4–1#2894.6–4.651%
Mar 1
James Madison logovs James Madison
L 2–4#1417.1–6.556%
Mar 3
Winthrop logovs Winthrop
L 2–5#1096.9–6.852%
Mar 4
Clemson logoat Clemson
L 1–12#225.7–7.135%
Mar 6
Nebraska logoat Nebraska
L 4–5#195.3–6.735%
Mar 7
Nebraska logoat Nebraska
L 1–3#195.3–6.735%
Mar 8
Nebraska logoat Nebraska
L 2–12#195.3–6.735%
Mar 10
Eastern Michigan logoat Eastern Michigan
W 13–5#2817.5–7.153%
Mar 13
Rutgers logoat Rutgers
L 4–9#965.5–6.341%
Mar 14
Rutgers logoat Rutgers
W 9–3#965.5–6.341%
Mar 15
Rutgers logoat Rutgers
L 6–8#965.5–6.341%
Mar 18
Michigan logoat Michigan
L 0–2#765.9–6.939%
Mar 20
Iowa logovs Iowa
W 2–0#397.1–7.250%
Mar 21
Iowa logovs Iowa
W 15–5#396.5–6.650%
Mar 21
Iowa logovs Iowa
L 3–8#396.9–6.950%
Mar 24
Central Michigan logoat Central Michigan
W 19–8#2727.6–7.749%
Mar 27
Purdue logovs Purdue
W 4–3#546.8–6.850%
Mar 28
Purdue logovs Purdue
L 13–16#546.5–6.550%
Mar 29
Purdue logovs Purdue
L 4–11#546.7–6.552%
Mar 31
Central Michigan logovs Central Michigan
—#272
Apr 3
Northwestern logoat Northwestern
W 5–1#1697.1–7.249%
Apr 4
Northwestern logoat Northwestern
L 9–10#1696.8–7.147%
Apr 5
Northwestern logoat Northwestern
L 6–8#1696.8–7.147%
Apr 8
Notre Dame logoat Notre Dame
W 7–4#486.0–7.336%
Apr 10
Michigan logovs Michigan
L 2–4#766.7–6.553%
Apr 11
Michigan logovs Michigan
L 4–6#766.4–6.153%
Apr 12
Michigan logovs Michigan
W 10–5#766.6–6.255%
Apr 14
Oakland logovs Oakland
L 9–11#2976.8–6.553%
Apr 15
Western Michigan logoat Western Michigan
W 14–4#2057.3–7.745%
Apr 17
Washington logoat Washington
W 6–4#956.1–7.139%
Apr 18
Washington logoat Washington
W 13–8#956.2–7.239%
Apr 19
Washington logoat Washington
L 5–8#955.9–6.939%
Apr 22
Notre Dame logovs Notre Dame
L 2–3#487.0–7.050%
Apr 24
Maryland logovs Maryland
L 10–18#707.5–7.253%
Apr 25
Maryland logovs Maryland
W 12–4#707.1–6.953%
Apr 26
Maryland logovs Maryland
W 13–1#707.1–6.953%
May 1
UCLA logovs UCLA
L 1–4#46.1–6.843%
May 2
UCLA logovs UCLA
L 3–4#46.1–6.843%
May 3
UCLA logovs UCLA
L 11–13#46.1–6.843%
May 5
Bowling Green logovs Bowling Green
W 12–4#1567.0–6.457%
May 6
Western Michigan logovs Western Michigan
W 8–3#2057.5–6.759%
May 8
Ohio State logoat Ohio State
L 5–15#1157.1–7.942%
May 9
Ohio State logoat Ohio State
W 7–4#1157.1–7.942%
May 10
Ohio State logoat Ohio State
L 2–3#1157.1–7.942%
May 12
Eastern Michigan logovs Eastern Michigan
W 5–2#2818.1–6.566%
May 14
Illinois State logovs Illinois State
W 10–0#2357.0–6.358%
May 15
Illinois State logovs Illinois State
L 3–6#2357.0–6.358%
May 16
Illinois State logovs Illinois State
W 18–8#2357.0–6.358%
May 19
Purdue logoat Purdue
W 8–4#545.8–7.235%
May 20
Iowa logoat Iowa
W 4–3#395.8–7.235%
May 22
USC logoat USC
L 0–7#245.1–6.435%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#89#99#109#119#129#130
#106
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game6.1#200
Runs allowed per game5.9#96
Starter FIP5.90#206
Team OPS.785#199
Team wOBA.355#173
Run margin+0.2#142
Strength of schedule#49
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Michigan State

2026 • ATS
8–6
Picks on Michigan State
3–8
Picks against
-4.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 25 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.