Team Pages/Big Ten/Michigan
Michigan logo
BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON

Michigan

Record 34-24vs line 9–13 ATSLast L 4–6 at NebraskaPostseason did not qualify
#76
BBMI rank
+0.89
Rating
+0.6
Run margin
#52
RPI

Next game

Game Picks →
Toledo logo
Toledo
#104 • +0.54 • Mid-American
TUE MAR 17 • 3:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Michigan
#76 • +0.89 • home
Michigan logo
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
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Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Stanford logoat Stanford
W 7–6#935.8–6.345%
Feb 15
Arizona logovs Arizona
W 4–1#1016.0–5.359%
Feb 16
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 4–5#415.5–6.539%
Feb 20
Florida State logoat Florida State
L 1–6#295.2–6.039%
Feb 21
Louisville logovs Louisville
W 8–5#456.3–5.954%
Feb 22
Kansas State logoat Kansas State
L 6–10#685.8–6.345%
Feb 27
San Diego logoat San Diego
L 5–6#1906.2–6.447%
Feb 28
San Diego logoat San Diego
W 9–0#1906.2–6.447%
Mar 1
San Diego logoat San Diego
W 9–2#1906.2–6.447%
Mar 3
Cal State Northridge logoat Cal State Northridge
L 8–9#1857.4–7.549%
Mar 5
Pepperdine logoat Pepperdine
W 17–4#1765.6–5.749%
Mar 6
Pepperdine logoat Pepperdine
L 8–9#1765.6–5.749%
Mar 7
Pepperdine logoat Pepperdine
W 5–2#1765.6–5.749%
Mar 10
Western Michigan logovs Western Michigan
W 3–2#2057.5–6.363%
Mar 13
UCLA logoat UCLA
L 5–10#45.1–6.534%
Mar 14
UCLA logoat UCLA
L 0–2#45.1–6.534%
Mar 15
UCLA logoat UCLA
L 2–7#45.1–6.534%
Mar 17
Toledo logovs Toledo
—#104
Mar 18
Michigan State logovs Michigan State
W 2–0#1066.9–5.961%
Mar 20
Nebraska logovs Nebraska
W 2–1#196.4–6.351%
Mar 21
Nebraska logovs Nebraska
L 0–10#196.6–6.551%
Mar 22
Nebraska logovs Nebraska
L 5–9#196.7–6.850%
Mar 24
Oakland logovs Oakland
L 6–7#2976.8–6.158%
Mar 25
Toledo logovs Toledo
W 5–2#1046.8–6.653%
Mar 27
Rutgers logoat Rutgers
L 3–4#965.6–6.144%
Mar 28
Rutgers logoat Rutgers
W 11–5#965.3–5.744%
Mar 29
Rutgers logoat Rutgers
W 6–2#965.3–5.843%
Apr 2
Oregon logovs Oregon
W 10–0#86.5–6.451%
Apr 3
Oregon logovs Oregon
L 2–5#86.6–6.651%
Apr 4
Oregon logovs Oregon
W 4–3#86.6–6.749%
Apr 6
Eastern Michigan logoat Eastern Michigan
W 15–4#2817.3–6.557%
Apr 7
Central Michigan logovs Central Michigan
W 6–4#2727.7–6.265%
Apr 10
Michigan State logoat Michigan State
W 4–2#1066.5–6.747%
Apr 11
Michigan State logoat Michigan State
W 6–4#1066.1–6.447%
Apr 12
Michigan State logoat Michigan State
L 5–10#1066.2–6.645%
Apr 14
Toledo logoat Toledo
W 6–4#1046.7–7.739%
Apr 15
Eastern Michigan logovs Eastern Michigan
—#281
Apr 17
Northwestern logovs Northwestern
W 7–6#1697.5–6.165%
Apr 18
Northwestern logovs Northwestern
W 8–3#1697.4–6.165%
Apr 19
Northwestern logovs Northwestern
W 2–1#1697.1–5.765%
Apr 21
Miami (OH) logoat Miami (OH)
L 10–12#656.6–7.738%
Apr 22
Bowling Green logovs Bowling Green
W 9–6#1567.0–6.161%
Apr 24
Washington logovs Washington
W 8–7#956.9–6.357%
Apr 25
Washington logovs Washington
W 4–3#956.5–5.957%
Apr 26
Washington logovs Washington
L 5–7#956.5–5.957%
May 1
Maryland logoat Maryland
W 2–1#707.8–8.543%
May 2
Maryland logoat Maryland
W 17–5#707.8–8.543%
May 3
Maryland logoat Maryland
W 8–7#707.8–8.543%
May 5
Xavier logoat Xavier
—#110
May 8
Minnesota logoat Minnesota
L 1–13#235.8–7.037%
May 9
Minnesota logoat Minnesota
W 9–8#235.8–6.938%
May 10
Minnesota logoat Minnesota
W 8–5#235.8–7.037%
May 12
Kent State logoat Kent State
L 3–5#1306.5–7.142%
May 14
Ohio State logovs Ohio State
L 2–13#1156.7–5.960%
May 15
Ohio State logovs Ohio State
L 3–7#1156.7–5.960%
May 16
Ohio State logovs Ohio State
L 1–8#1156.7–5.960%
May 19
Rutgers logovs Rutgers
W 10–0#966.4–5.857%
May 20
Washington logovs Washington
L 1–7#956.4–5.857%
May 21
Ohio State logoat Ohio State
W 3–0#1156.2–6.546%
May 22
Nebraska logoat Nebraska
L 4–6#195.2–6.931%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#51#59#67#75#82
#76
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game5.7#242
Runs allowed per game5.1#37
Starter FIP4.83#135
Team OPS.766#237
Team wOBA.340#240
Run margin+0.6#112
Strength of schedule#68
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Michigan

2026 • ATS
2–3
Picks on Michigan
7–10
Picks against
-4.8u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 22 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.