
ACC • 2026 SEASON
Miami (FL)
#26
BBMI rank
+1.91
Rating
+2.5
Run margin
#34
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Florida
SUN MAR 1 • 12:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Miami (FL)
—
Model run line
+1.5
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs LehighW 17–11#2497.9–6.070%
Feb 15
vs LehighW 27–3#2497.9–6.070%
Feb 17
vs UCFW 8–7#356.9–6.060%
Feb 18
vs Indiana StateW 6–2#2048.1–6.368%
Feb 20
vs LafayetteW 15–2#2698.3–6.172%
Feb 21
vs LafayetteW 14–4#2697.7–5.671%
Feb 21
vs LafayetteW 14–3#2698.0–5.972%
Feb 22
vs LafayetteW 30–5#2698.3–6.172%
Feb 25W 11–7#1477.1–6.556%
F
at FAUFeb 27
vs FloridaL 2–7#96.7–6.157%
Feb 28
vs FloridaL 4–8#96.7–6.157%
Mar 1
vs Florida—#9
Mar 4
vs Bethune-CookmanW 5–2#1497.7–6.860%
Mar 6
vs Boston CollegeL 7–8#347.0–6.259%
Mar 7
vs Boston CollegeW 5–3#347.0–6.259%
Mar 8
vs Boston CollegeL 5–9#347.0–6.259%
Mar 11
at UCFW 9–5#355.6–5.946%
Mar 13
at DukeL 0–4#576.6–6.451%
Mar 14
at DukeW 9–0#576.6–6.451%
Mar 15
at DukeL 10–20#576.6–6.451%
Mar 18W 10–3#1787.0–6.456%
F
at FIUMar 20
vs CreightonW 9–4#858.0–6.764%
Mar 21
vs CreightonW 11–1#858.0–6.862%
Mar 22
vs CreightonW 15–5#858.2–6.765%
Mar 24W 10–6#1478.2–6.369%
F
vs FAUMar 26
at ClemsonW 8–3#226.4–6.944%
Mar 27
at ClemsonL 6–7#226.5–6.847%
Mar 28
at ClemsonW 8–6#226.1–6.545%
Mar 31W 12–4#1267.8–6.761%
F
vs FGCUApr 3
vs Virginia TechW 19–1#607.8–6.662%
Apr 4
vs Virginia TechW 8–6#607.8–6.464%
Apr 5
vs Virginia TechL 3–6#607.8–6.464%
Apr 7W 9–7#1788.4–6.570%
F
vs FIUApr 10
vs Wake ForestW 3–1#137.4–6.857%
Apr 11
vs Wake ForestL 1–3#137.4–6.857%
Apr 12
vs Wake ForestW 8–0#137.4–6.857%
Apr 15
vs South FloridaL 2–4#1077.9–6.465%
Apr 17
at StanfordW 6–3#937.6–7.552%
Apr 18
at StanfordW 4–3#937.3–7.252%
Apr 19
at StanfordL 6–14#937.4–7.252%
Apr 22W 5–4#1477.5–6.956%
F
at FAUApr 24
vs CaliforniaL 2–9#387.4–6.164%
Apr 25
vs CaliforniaW 4–3#387.0–5.863%
Apr 26
vs CaliforniaW 4–1#387.0–5.863%
May 1W 12–9#626.2–6.448%
NCS
at North Carolina StateMay 1W 12–9#626.6–6.748%
NCS
at North Carolina StateMay 2L 7–12#626.8–6.948%
NCS
at North Carolina StateMay 5—#178
F
vs FIUMay 7
vs LouisvilleW 13–8#457.6–6.561%
May 8
vs LouisvilleL 9–16#457.6–6.561%
May 9
vs LouisvilleW 10–8#457.6–6.561%
May 14
at Florida StateL 6–7#296.2–6.645%
May 15
at Florida StateL 1–11#296.2–6.645%
May 16
at Florida StateW 7–4#296.2–6.645%
May 20
vs StanfordW 11–2#937.2–5.865%
May 21
at Boston CollegeW 8–2#346.0–6.545%
May 23
at Georgia TechL 3–9#15.9–7.137%
May 29
vs TroyW 10–5#426.6–6.057%
May 30
at FloridaL 10–22#96.0–6.346%
May 31
vs TroyL 6–9#426.7–6.255%
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 308#7#15#23#31#37
#26
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →2
Regional seed
—
National seed
Regional
Gainesville Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game8.5#15
Runs allowed per game6.0#101
Starter FIP4.11#70
Team OPS.903#23
Team wOBA.392#44
Run margin+2.5#23
Strength of schedule#53
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Miami (FL)
2026 • ATS2–4
Picks on Miami (FL)
3–3
Picks against
-2.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 12 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.