Team Pages/ACC/Miami (FL)
Miami (FL) logo
ACC • 2026 SEASON

Miami (FL)

Record 39-20vs line 5–7 ATSLast L 6–9 at TroyPostseason Regional
#26
BBMI rank
+1.91
Rating
+2.5
Run margin
#34
RPI
Florida logo
Florida
#9 • +2.38 • SEC
SUN MAR 1 • 12:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Miami (FL)
#26 • +1.91home
Miami (FL) logo
Model run line
+1.5
Market run line
Edge
Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Lehigh logovs Lehigh
W 17–11#2497.9–6.070%
Feb 15
Lehigh logovs Lehigh
W 27–3#2497.9–6.070%
Feb 17
UCF logovs UCF
W 8–7#356.9–6.060%
Feb 18
Indiana State logovs Indiana State
W 6–2#2048.1–6.368%
Feb 20
Lafayette logovs Lafayette
W 15–2#2698.3–6.172%
Feb 21
Lafayette logovs Lafayette
W 14–4#2697.7–5.671%
Feb 21
Lafayette logovs Lafayette
W 14–3#2698.0–5.972%
Feb 22
Lafayette logovs Lafayette
W 30–5#2698.3–6.172%
Feb 25
F
at FAU
W 11–7#1477.1–6.556%
Feb 27
Florida logovs Florida
L 2–7#96.7–6.157%
Feb 28
Florida logovs Florida
L 4–8#96.7–6.157%
Mar 1
Florida logovs Florida
#9
Mar 4
Bethune-Cookman logovs Bethune-Cookman
W 5–2#1497.7–6.860%
Mar 6
Boston College logovs Boston College
L 7–8#347.0–6.259%
Mar 7
Boston College logovs Boston College
W 5–3#347.0–6.259%
Mar 8
Boston College logovs Boston College
L 5–9#347.0–6.259%
Mar 11
UCF logoat UCF
W 9–5#355.6–5.946%
Mar 13
Duke logoat Duke
L 0–4#576.6–6.451%
Mar 14
Duke logoat Duke
W 9–0#576.6–6.451%
Mar 15
Duke logoat Duke
L 10–20#576.6–6.451%
Mar 18
F
at FIU
W 10–3#1787.0–6.456%
Mar 20
Creighton logovs Creighton
W 9–4#858.0–6.764%
Mar 21
Creighton logovs Creighton
W 11–1#858.0–6.862%
Mar 22
Creighton logovs Creighton
W 15–5#858.2–6.765%
Mar 24
F
vs FAU
W 10–6#1478.2–6.369%
Mar 26
Clemson logoat Clemson
W 8–3#226.4–6.944%
Mar 27
Clemson logoat Clemson
L 6–7#226.5–6.847%
Mar 28
Clemson logoat Clemson
W 8–6#226.1–6.545%
Mar 31
F
vs FGCU
W 12–4#1267.8–6.761%
Apr 3
Virginia Tech logovs Virginia Tech
W 19–1#607.8–6.662%
Apr 4
Virginia Tech logovs Virginia Tech
W 8–6#607.8–6.464%
Apr 5
Virginia Tech logovs Virginia Tech
L 3–6#607.8–6.464%
Apr 7
F
vs FIU
W 9–7#1788.4–6.570%
Apr 10
Wake Forest logovs Wake Forest
W 3–1#137.4–6.857%
Apr 11
Wake Forest logovs Wake Forest
L 1–3#137.4–6.857%
Apr 12
Wake Forest logovs Wake Forest
W 8–0#137.4–6.857%
Apr 15
South Florida logovs South Florida
L 2–4#1077.9–6.465%
Apr 17
Stanford logoat Stanford
W 6–3#937.6–7.552%
Apr 18
Stanford logoat Stanford
W 4–3#937.3–7.252%
Apr 19
Stanford logoat Stanford
L 6–14#937.4–7.252%
Apr 22
F
at FAU
W 5–4#1477.5–6.956%
Apr 24
California logovs California
L 2–9#387.4–6.164%
Apr 25
California logovs California
W 4–3#387.0–5.863%
Apr 26
California logovs California
W 4–1#387.0–5.863%
May 1
NCS
at North Carolina State
W 12–9#626.2–6.448%
May 1
NCS
at North Carolina State
W 12–9#626.6–6.748%
May 2
NCS
at North Carolina State
L 7–12#626.8–6.948%
May 5
F
vs FIU
#178
May 7
Louisville logovs Louisville
W 13–8#457.6–6.561%
May 8
Louisville logovs Louisville
L 9–16#457.6–6.561%
May 9
Louisville logovs Louisville
W 10–8#457.6–6.561%
May 14
Florida State logoat Florida State
L 6–7#296.2–6.645%
May 15
Florida State logoat Florida State
L 1–11#296.2–6.645%
May 16
Florida State logoat Florida State
W 7–4#296.2–6.645%
May 20
Stanford logovs Stanford
W 11–2#937.2–5.865%
May 21
Boston College logoat Boston College
W 8–2#346.0–6.545%
May 23
Georgia Tech logoat Georgia Tech
L 3–9#15.9–7.137%
May 29
Troy logovs Troy
W 10–5#426.6–6.057%
May 30
Florida logoat Florida
L 10–22#96.0–6.346%
May 31
Troy logovs Troy
L 6–9#426.7–6.255%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#7#15#23#31#37
#26
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
2
Regional seed
National seed
Regional
Gainesville Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game8.5#15
Runs allowed per game6.0#101
Starter FIP4.11#70
Team OPS.903#23
Team wOBA.392#44
Run margin+2.5#23
Strength of schedule#53
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Miami (FL)

2026 • ATS
24
Picks on Miami (FL)
33
Picks against
-2.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 12 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.