Team Pages/Southern/Mercer
Mercer logo
SOUTHERN • 2026 SEASON

Mercer

Record 44-15vs line 2–3 ATSLast L 4–14 vs The CitadelPostseason did not qualify
#36
BBMI rank
+1.68
Rating
+2.8
Run margin
#27
RPI
The Citadel logo
The Citadel
#46 • +1.42 • Will Holmes
FRI MAY 22 • 8:00 AM CT
14 4
final score
Mercer
#36 • +1.68home • Garrett Lambert
Mercer logo
-3.5
Model run line
-1.5
Market run line
+2.0
Edge · ATS
63%
Win probability
Mercer 63%The Citadel 37%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Troy logovs Troy
W 17–5#426.4–5.759%
Feb 14
Troy logovs Troy
L 3–19#426.7–6.059%
Feb 18
Georgia State logovs Georgia State
W 8–0#1537.4–5.966%
Mar 4
Florida State logoat Florida State
L 5–22#296.9–7.543%
Mar 10
Georgia State logoat Georgia State
W 16–6#1537.7–7.254%
Mar 24
West Georgia logoat West Georgia
W 13–9#2597.8–6.761%
Mar 27
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 5–7#416.6–7.243%
Mar 28
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 2–19#416.7–7.245%
Mar 29
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 1–3#416.6–7.243%
Mar 31
Kennesaw State logovs Kennesaw State
W 14–4#1327.9–6.366%
Apr 7
West Georgia logovs West Georgia
W 12–1#2597.9–5.772%
Apr 14
Kennesaw State logoat Kennesaw State
L 9–12#1326.5–6.253%
Apr 17
Towson logovs Towson
W 9–1#2397.7–6.166%
Apr 18
Towson logovs Towson
W 6–4#2397.6–6.265%
Apr 19
Towson logovs Towson
W 8–6#2397.4–6.065%
Apr 29
Georgia Southern logovs Georgia Southern
W 10–9#2128.1–5.972%
May 6
Georgia Southern logoat Georgia Southern
W 10–7#2129.2–7.962%
May 12
Georgia Tech logoat Georgia Tech
W 12–9#17.5–8.936%
May 21
The Citadel logovs The Citadel
L 2–9#466.9–5.863%
May 21
Wofford logovs Wofford
W 9–8#516.8–6.257%
May 22
The Citadel logovs The Citadel
L 4–14#467.0–5.863%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#32#49#66#83#98
#36
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game9.0#5
Runs allowed per game6.2#121
Starter FIP4.48#103
Team OPS1.019#3
Team wOBA.436#5
Run margin+2.8#18
Strength of schedule#120
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Mercer

2026 • ATS
23
Picks on Mercer
00
Picks against
-1.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 5 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.