
SOUTHERN • 2026 SEASON
Mercer
#36
BBMI rank
+1.68
Rating
+2.8
Run margin
#27
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →The Citadel
FRI MAY 22 • 8:00 AM CT
14 – 4
final score
Mercer
-3.5
Model run line
-1.5
Market run line
+2.0
Edge · ATS
63%
Win probability
Mercer 63%The Citadel 37%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs TroyW 17–5#426.4–5.759%
Feb 14
vs TroyL 3–19#426.7–6.059%
Feb 18
vs Georgia StateW 8–0#1537.4–5.966%
Mar 4
at Florida StateL 5–22#296.9–7.543%
Mar 10
at Georgia StateW 16–6#1537.7–7.254%
Mar 24
at West GeorgiaW 13–9#2597.8–6.761%
Mar 27
at Oregon StateL 5–7#416.6–7.243%
Mar 28
at Oregon StateL 2–19#416.7–7.245%
Mar 29
at Oregon StateL 1–3#416.6–7.243%
Mar 31
vs Kennesaw StateW 14–4#1327.9–6.366%
Apr 7
vs West GeorgiaW 12–1#2597.9–5.772%
Apr 14
at Kennesaw StateL 9–12#1326.5–6.253%
Apr 17
vs TowsonW 9–1#2397.7–6.166%
Apr 18
vs TowsonW 6–4#2397.6–6.265%
Apr 19
vs TowsonW 8–6#2397.4–6.065%
Apr 29
vs Georgia SouthernW 10–9#2128.1–5.972%
May 6
at Georgia SouthernW 10–7#2129.2–7.962%
May 12
at Georgia TechW 12–9#17.5–8.936%
May 21
vs The CitadelL 2–9#466.9–5.863%
May 21
vs WoffordW 9–8#516.8–6.257%
May 22
vs The CitadelL 4–14#467.0–5.863%
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 308#32#49#66#83#98
#36
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game9.0#5
Runs allowed per game6.2#121
Starter FIP4.48#103
Team OPS1.019#3
Team wOBA.436#5
Run margin+2.8#18
Strength of schedule#120
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Mercer
2026 • ATS2–3
Picks on Mercer
0–0
Picks against
-1.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 5 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.