AMERICAN • 2026 SEASON
Memphis
#111
BBMI rank
+0.43
Rating
-1.3
Run margin
#112
RPI
Next game
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Arkansas-Pine Bluff
WED MAR 11 • 4:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Memphis
—
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs ToledoW 5–4#1047.2–7.250%
vs ToledoFeb 15vs ToledoW 6–4#1047.2–7.250%
vs ToledoFeb 17
vs Little RockL 11–12#897.2–6.855%
vs Little RockFeb 20
vs Ohio StateL 5–12#1157.6–7.056%
vs Ohio StateFeb 21
vs Louisiana TechL 5–8#526.8–6.752%
vs Louisiana TechFeb 22vs Ohio StateL 2–8#1157.6–7.056%
vs Ohio StateFeb 24at Little RockW 24–5#896.1–6.842%
at Little RockFeb 27
vs Jacksonville StateL 1–10#666.8–6.950%
vs Jacksonville StateFeb 28vs Jacksonville StateL 4–9#666.8–6.950%
vs Jacksonville StateMar 1vs Jacksonville StateL 1–7#666.8–6.950%
vs Jacksonville StateMar 3
at Ole MissL 1–7#156.2–7.634%
at Ole MissMar 6
at Missouri StateL 5–12#726.9–7.840%
at Missouri StateMar 7at Missouri StateL 5–14#726.9–7.840%
at Missouri StateMar 8at Missouri StateL 12–13#726.9–7.840%
at Missouri StateMar 10
vs LipscombW 5–2#1897.5–6.857%
vs LipscombMar 11vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff—#231
vs Arkansas-Pine BluffMar 13
vs Eastern IllinoisW 14–2#1647.9–7.158%
vs Eastern IllinoisMar 14vs Eastern IllinoisL 7–12#1647.9–7.158%
vs Eastern IllinoisMar 15vs Eastern IllinoisL 14–25#1647.9–7.158%
vs Eastern IllinoisMar 20
at TulaneW 7–6#1195.6–6.342%
at TulaneMar 21at TulaneL 6–11#1195.9–6.840%
at TulaneMar 22at TulaneL 2–12#1195.6–6.342%
at TulaneMar 24vs Ole MissW 6–2#157.1–7.546%
vs Ole MissMar 27
vs Wichita StateL 3–7#847.2–7.151%
vs Wichita StateMar 28vs Wichita StateW 11–1#846.9–7.049%
vs Wichita StateMar 29vs Wichita StateL 3–7#846.9–6.851%
vs Wichita StateMar 31
vs Arkansas StateW 11–9#597.4–7.253%
vs Arkansas StateApr 2
at South FloridaL 1–10#1076.1–6.743%
at South FloridaApr 3at South FloridaW 7–4#1076.3–7.340%
at South FloridaApr 4at South FloridaL 0–5#1076.0–6.741%
at South FloridaApr 7at Arkansas StateL 2–12#596.4–7.539%
at Arkansas StateApr 10L 4–17#1478.0–7.060%
F
vs FAUApr 11L 4–6#1477.6–6.760%
F
vs FAUApr 12W 11–6#1477.6–6.760%
F
vs FAUApr 14
vs Mississippi Valley StateW 11–3#3047.2–6.953%
vs Mississippi Valley StateApr 17
at RiceW 4–1#916.3–7.043%
at RiceApr 19at RiceW 7–5#916.0–6.741%
at RiceApr 19at RiceW 6–5#915.6–6.441%
at RiceApr 21
at Mississippi StateL 2–6#116.6–8.233%
at Mississippi StateApr 24
at UABL 6–7#787.0–7.842%
at UABApr 25at UABW 13–9#787.0–7.842%
at UABApr 26at UABL 2–11#787.0–7.842%
at UABApr 28
at Murray StateL 5–9#2436.8–7.147%
at Murray StateMay 1
vs East CarolinaL 0–12#176.7–6.948%
vs East CarolinaMay 2vs East CarolinaW 5–3#176.7–6.948%
vs East CarolinaMay 3vs East CarolinaW 9–4#176.7–6.948%
vs East CarolinaMay 5
vs Central ArkansasW 8–3#2257.9–6.862%
vs Central ArkansasMay 8W 6–4#437.2–7.348%
U
vs UTSAMay 9L 2–9#437.2–7.348%
U
vs UTSAMay 10W 10–5#437.2–7.348%
U
vs UTSAMay 12
at Middle TennesseeL 9–10#1986.5–6.946%
at Middle TennesseeMay 14
at CharlotteW 9–4#636.0–6.940%
at CharlotteMay 15at CharlotteL 2–8#636.0–6.940%
at CharlotteMay 16at CharlotteL 7–8#636.0–6.940%
at CharlotteMay 20vs CharlotteW 13–9#636.6–6.551%
vs CharlotteMay 21at UABW 7–3#786.4–7.340%
at UABMay 22L 0–4#435.7–7.333%
U
at UTSARanking over time
weekly · place of 308#94#109#124#139#153
#111
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.2#189
Runs allowed per game7.6#229
Starter FIP5.27#176
Team OPS.779#213
Team wOBA.345#219
Run margin-1.3#227
Strength of schedule#39
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Memphis
2026 • ATS5–2
Picks on Memphis
1–1
Picks against
+2.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 9 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.