
SUN BELT • 2026 SEASON
Louisiana
#40
BBMI rank
+1.57
Rating
+0.6
Run margin
#35
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
McNeese
WED MAR 11 • 3:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Louisiana
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
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Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs Missouri StateL 12–13#725.5–4.859%
Feb 15
vs Missouri StateW 9–7#725.5–4.859%
Feb 17
at RiceW 3–0#915.7–5.948%
Feb 20
vs MarylandW 7–6#705.8–5.059%
Feb 21
vs MarylandW 9–1#705.8–5.059%
Feb 22
vs MarylandW 6–5#705.8–5.059%
Feb 24
vs Kansas StateW 1–0#685.7–5.060%
Feb 25
vs Kansas StateW 3–2#685.7–5.060%
Feb 27
vs UC San DiegoL 3–7#1285.4–4.661%
Feb 28
vs UC San DiegoW 8–0#1285.4–4.661%
Mar 1
vs UC San DiegoW 4–3#1285.4–4.661%
Mar 4
vs LSUW 7–2#275.4–4.956%
Mar 6W 6–5#828.3–8.547%
DB
at Dallas BaptistMar 7W 11–6#828.3–8.547%
DB
at Dallas BaptistMar 8L 1–12#828.3–8.547%
DB
at Dallas BaptistMar 10W 11–7#1134.6–4.256%
U
vs UTRGVMar 11
vs McNeese—#74
Mar 13
vs South AlabamaL 2–3#645.1–4.558%
Mar 14
vs South AlabamaW 4–3#645.1–4.558%
Mar 15
vs South AlabamaW 3–1#645.1–4.558%
Mar 18
at HoustonW 6–3#696.2–6.547%
Mar 20
at Texas StateL 1–4#926.5–6.648%
Mar 21
at Texas StateL 4–11#926.6–6.947%
Mar 22
at Texas StateL 6–16#926.7–6.750%
Mar 24
vs Southeastern LouisianaW 9–3#1255.2–4.362%
Mar 27L 3–5#1425.8–5.060%
U
vs ULMMar 28L 3–7#1425.6–4.860%
U
vs ULMMar 29W 4–0#1425.6–4.761%
U
vs ULMMar 31
at McNeeseL 7–10#745.1–5.545%
Apr 2
at James MadisonW 5–4#1416.2–6.150%
Apr 3
at James MadisonL 5–6#1416.2–6.348%
Apr 4
at James MadisonL 1–5#1416.0–5.950%
Apr 8
at Southeastern LouisianaL 6–7#1256.1–6.447%
Apr 10
vs Southern MissL 1–8#445.3–4.856%
Apr 11
vs Southern MissW 8–4#445.0–4.656%
Apr 12
vs Southern MissW 6–5#445.0–4.656%
Apr 17
at TroyL 6–7#426.8–7.345%
Apr 18
at TroyW 7–6#426.4–6.845%
Apr 19
at TroyL 11–15#426.3–6.845%
Apr 21
vs Grambling StateW 15–7#2745.2–4.756%
Apr 24
at Arkansas StateW 3–2#596.3–6.745%
Apr 25
at Arkansas StateW 11–5#596.0–6.445%
Apr 26
at Arkansas StateL 3–8#596.0–6.445%
Apr 28
vs SouthernW 15–5#2716.2–4.767%
Apr 29
vs NichollsW 7–1#885.3–4.659%
May 2
vs Georgia StateW 14–1#1535.5–4.365%
May 2
vs Georgia StateW 14–1#1535.2–4.065%
May 3
vs Georgia StateW 4–3#1535.6–4.465%
May 5
vs New OrleansL 6–9#1605.7–4.663%
May 8
at Appalachian StateW 5–4#1226.5–6.747%
May 9
at Appalachian StateL 2–7#1226.5–6.747%
May 10
at Appalachian StateW 12–3#1226.5–6.747%
May 14
vs Coastal CarolinaW 7–2#325.0–4.556%
May 15
vs Coastal CarolinaL 0–6#325.0–4.556%
May 16
vs Coastal CarolinaW 3–2#325.0–4.556%
May 19
vs MarshallW 11–1#1707.0–5.566%
May 20
at Coastal CarolinaW 12–11#325.8–6.343%
May 21
at Texas StateL 3–4#926.2–6.249%
May 22
at Coastal CarolinaW 5–4#325.8–6.146%
May 23
at Texas StateW 12–6#926.0–6.544%
May 23
vs Texas StateL 4–7#926.7–5.959%
May 24
vs Southern MissL 7–11#445.8–6.740%
May 29
vs CincinnatiL 2–12#206.6–6.452%
May 30
vs LipscombW 10–4#1897.3–6.361%
May 31
vs CincinnatiW 8–6#206.6–7.343%
May 31
vs Mississippi StateL 5–19#116.2–7.438%
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 308#40#50#60#70
#40
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
3
Regional seed
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National seed
Regional
Starkville Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.1#198
Runs allowed per game5.5#70
Starter FIP4.59#111
Team OPS.787#193
Team wOBA.347#205
Run margin+0.6#109
Strength of schedule#37
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Louisiana
2026 • ATS9–5
Picks on Louisiana
5–2
Picks against
+5.7u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 21 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.