Team Pages/Ohio Valley/Little Rock
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OHIO VALLEY • 2026 SEASON

Little Rock

Record 39-28vs line —Last L 2–7 vs TroyPostseason Super regional
#89
BBMI rank
+0.76
Rating
+0.3
Run margin
#74
RPI

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Last updated: (data published)
Little Rock logo
Little Rock
#89 • +0.76 • Ohio Valley
TUE APR 28 • 6:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Arkansas State
#59 • +1.18 • home
Arkansas State logo
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
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Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 17
Memphis logoat Memphis
W 12–11#1116.8–7.245%
Feb 20
West Georgia logovs West Georgia
W 6–5#2597.3–5.668%
Feb 21
West Georgia logovs West Georgia
W 4–3#2597.3–5.668%
Feb 22
West Georgia logovs West Georgia
W 6–1#2597.3–5.668%
Feb 24
Memphis logovs Memphis
L 5–24#1116.8–6.158%
Feb 27
Missouri State logoat Missouri State
L 5–8#726.8–7.642%
Feb 28
Missouri State logoat Missouri State
L 5–7#726.3–7.141%
Feb 28
Missouri State logoat Missouri State
L 4–9#726.6–7.442%
Mar 6
Central Arkansas logoat Central Arkansas
L 1–7#2255.8–5.849%
Mar 6
Central Arkansas logoat Central Arkansas
W 8–2#2256.5–6.550%
Mar 8
Central Arkansas logovs Central Arkansas
W 7–2#2257.0–5.863%
Mar 10
Arkansas State logovs Arkansas State
L 5–12#596.3–6.054%
Mar 31
Ole Miss logoat Ole Miss
L 4–7#156.7–8.136%
Apr 7
Arkansas logoat Arkansas
L 0–7#145.3–6.537%
Apr 14
Louisiana Tech logoat Louisiana Tech
L 3–9#525.6–6.540%
Apr 28
Arkansas State logoat Arkansas State
—#59
May 5
Arkansas State logovs Arkansas State
L 0–12#596.3–6.054%
May 20
Southern Indiana logovs Southern Indiana
W 7–3#2076.4–5.659%
May 21
S
at SIUE
L 3–4#1315.8–6.245%
May 21
Lindenwood logovs Lindenwood
W 4–3#1506.4–5.659%
May 22
Southern Indiana logovs Southern Indiana
W 7–2#2076.5–5.363%
May 23
S
at SIUE
W 7–5#1315.8–6.542%
May 23
Eastern Illinois logoat Eastern Illinois
W 4–3#1645.7–6.937%
May 24
Eastern Illinois logovs Eastern Illinois
W 10–6#1647.5–6.560%
May 29
Southern Miss logoat Southern Miss
W 7–4#445.2–5.941%
May 30
Jacksonville State logovs Jacksonville State
W 8–6#665.6–6.044%
May 31
Jacksonville State logovs Jacksonville State
W 6–3#665.7–5.848%
Jun 5
Troy logoat Troy
L 2–12#426.1–6.644%
Jun 6
Troy logovs Troy
L 2–7#426.4–6.748%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#100#125#150#175
#89
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
4
Regional seed
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National seed
Super regional
Hattiesburg Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game5.9#223
Runs allowed per game5.6#76
Starter FIP3.28#20
Team OPS.796#176
Team wOBA.350#196
Run margin+0.3#133
Strength of schedule#102
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Little Rock

2026 • ATS
0–0
Picks on Little Rock
0–0
Picks against
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Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 0 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.