ASUN • 2026 SEASON
Lipscomb
#189
BBMI rank
-0.61
Rating
-1.0
Run margin
#153
RPI
Next game
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Villanova
SUN FEB 22 • 1:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Lipscomb
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
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Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs DaytonL 1–3#1527.1–6.853%
vs DaytonFeb 15vs DaytonW 9–6#1527.1–6.853%
vs DaytonFeb 17
at Tennessee TechL 5–7#2327.3–7.448%
at Tennessee TechFeb 20vs VillanovaL 5–11#2297.0–6.258%
vs VillanovaFeb 21vs VillanovaW 9–8#2297.0–6.258%
vs VillanovaFeb 22vs Villanova—#229
vs VillanovaFeb 24
vs BelmontW 8–2#2267.0–6.259%
vs BelmontFeb 27
vs ToledoL 1–5#1046.5–6.649%
vs ToledoFeb 28vs ToledoL 7–10#1046.5–6.649%
vs ToledoMar 1vs ToledoW 9–7#1046.5–6.649%
vs ToledoMar 2vs ToledoW 13–5#1046.5–6.649%
vs ToledoMar 5
at Mississippi StateL 3–8#116.5–8.233%
at Mississippi StateMar 6at Mississippi StateL 4–9#116.5–8.233%
at Mississippi StateMar 7at Mississippi StateL 0–26#116.5–8.233%
at Mississippi StateMar 10
at MemphisL 2–5#1116.8–7.543%
at MemphisMar 13
vs North AlabamaW 6–3#1827.1–6.358%
vs North AlabamaMar 14vs North AlabamaW 7–5#1827.1–6.358%
vs North AlabamaMar 15vs North AlabamaL 7–13#1827.1–6.358%
vs North AlabamaMar 17
at Evansville—#195
at EvansvilleMar 20
at Austin PeayW 11–8#1547.4–8.439%
at Austin PeayMar 21at Austin PeayL 8–12#1547.1–7.941%
at Austin PeayMar 22at Austin PeayW 19–5#1547.1–8.240%
at Austin PeayMar 24at BelmontW 4–1#2265.8–6.146%
at BelmontMar 27
vs Eastern KentuckyW 3–2#2677.8–6.564%
vs Eastern KentuckyMar 28vs Eastern KentuckyL 3–15#2677.5–6.065%
vs Eastern KentuckyMar 29vs Eastern KentuckyW 9–2#2677.6–6.265%
vs Eastern KentuckyApr 2
at BellarmineW 9–4#2767.2–7.447%
at BellarmineApr 3at BellarmineL 10–17#2767.3–7.448%
at BellarmineApr 3at BellarmineL 10–17#2766.9–7.048%
at BellarmineApr 7
at Middle TennesseeL 3–5#1986.8–7.245%
at Middle TennesseeApr 10
vs Central ArkansasL 6–12#2257.2–6.261%
vs Central ArkansasApr 11vs Central ArkansasL 5–10#2257.6–6.561%
vs Central ArkansasApr 12vs Central ArkansasW 6–5#2257.3–6.459%
vs Central ArkansasApr 14
vs VanderbiltL 1–15#287.3–7.449%
vs VanderbiltApr 17at North AlabamaW 6–4#1827.7–8.245%
at North AlabamaApr 18at North AlabamaL 2–6#1827.5–8.045%
at North AlabamaApr 19at North AlabamaW 6–0#1827.0–7.545%
at North AlabamaApr 21
at TennesseeL 4–14#165.6–6.936%
at TennesseeApr 24vs Austin PeayW 6–5#1547.2–6.855%
vs Austin PeayApr 25vs Austin PeayW 11–10#1546.9–6.455%
vs Austin PeayApr 26vs Austin PeayL 2–6#1546.9–6.455%
vs Austin PeayApr 28vs Tennessee TechL 5–15#2327.3–6.361%
vs Tennessee TechMay 1at Eastern KentuckyW 9–3#2678.0–7.753%
at Eastern KentuckyMay 2at Eastern KentuckyL 0–2#2678.0–7.753%
at Eastern KentuckyMay 3at Eastern KentuckyW 10–5#2678.0–7.753%
at Eastern KentuckyMay 5vs Middle Tennessee—#198
vs Middle TennesseeMay 7vs BellarmineW 5–4#2767.4–6.361%
vs BellarmineMay 8vs BellarmineW 6–4#2767.4–6.361%
vs BellarmineMay 9vs BellarmineW 2–1#2767.4–6.361%
vs BellarmineMay 14at Central ArkansasL 1–4#2256.1–6.348%
at Central ArkansasMay 15at Central ArkansasW 16–5#2256.1–6.348%
at Central ArkansasMay 16at Central ArkansasW 7–4#2256.1–6.348%
at Central ArkansasMay 21W 4–1#1266.0–6.149%
F
vs FGCUMay 22vs North AlabamaW 4–3#1826.8–5.861%
vs North AlabamaMay 23vs North AlabamaW 5–4#1826.7–6.256%
vs North AlabamaMay 29at Mississippi StateL 1–10#115.8–8.226%
at Mississippi StateMay 30
vs LouisianaL 4–10#406.3–7.339%
vs LouisianaRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#102#130#158#186#212
#189
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →4
Regional seed
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National seed
Regional
Starkville Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game5.9#225
Runs allowed per game6.9#192
Starter FIP4.86#137
Team OPS.791#189
Team wOBA.348#202
Run margin-1.0#215
Strength of schedule#186
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Lipscomb
2026 • ATS1–0
Picks on Lipscomb
0–0
Picks against
+0.9u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 1 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.