Team Pages/Conference USA/Liberty
Liberty logo
CONFERENCE USA • 2026 SEASON

Liberty

Record 43-21vs line 7–8 ATSLast L 1–6 at GeorgiaPostseason Regional
#31
BBMI rank
+1.77
Rating
+2.0
Run margin
#29
RPI

Next game

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High Point
#50 • +1.36 • Big South
TUE FEB 24 • 3:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Liberty
#31 • +1.77 • home
Liberty logo
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
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Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
The Citadel logoat The Citadel
L 3–4#465.1–5.347%
Feb 15
The Citadel logoat The Citadel
W 5–4#465.1–5.347%
Feb 20
West Virginia logovs West Virginia
L 0–12#76.7–6.355%
Feb 21
West Virginia logovs West Virginia
L 0–2#76.2–5.855%
Feb 21
West Virginia logovs West Virginia
W 4–1#76.5–6.155%
Feb 24
High Point logovs High Point
—#50
Feb 25
High Point logovs High Point
W 9–3#507.0–6.160%
Feb 27
Hofstra logovs Hofstra
W 7–2#1297.4–5.966%
Feb 28
Hofstra logovs Hofstra
W 13–2#1297.4–5.966%
Mar 1
Hofstra logovs Hofstra
W 10–7#1297.4–5.966%
Mar 3
High Point logoat High Point
W 8–0#506.2–6.546%
Mar 6
Harvard logovs Harvard
W 9–3#2007.4–5.669%
Mar 7
Harvard logovs Harvard
W 11–7#2007.4–5.669%
Mar 8
Harvard logovs Harvard
W 5–4#2007.4–5.669%
Mar 10
U
at UNCG
W 12–10#1634.3–4.844%
Mar 13
Missouri State logovs Missouri State
L 3–4#727.4–6.263%
Mar 14
Missouri State logovs Missouri State
L 11–12#727.4–6.263%
Mar 15
Missouri State logovs Missouri State
W 9–3#727.4–6.263%
Mar 17
Wake Forest logoat Wake Forest
L 0–11#136.6–7.342%
Mar 18
Virginia logovs Virginia
L 12–14#257.0–6.359%
Mar 20
Kennesaw State logoat Kennesaw State
W 2–0#1326.0–5.555%
Mar 21
Kennesaw State logoat Kennesaw State
W 11–5#1326.1–5.656%
Mar 22
Kennesaw State logoat Kennesaw State
L 3–4#1326.1–5.656%
Mar 24
U
vs UNCG
L 6–7#1637.7–5.771%
Mar 27
F
vs FIU
W 4–3#1787.6–5.869%
Mar 28
F
vs FIU
W 7–1#1787.5–5.670%
Mar 29
F
vs FIU
W 13–0#1787.4–5.669%
Mar 31
NCS
at North Carolina State
W 7–5#626.9–7.346%
Apr 2
Western Kentucky logoat Western Kentucky
W 8–3#1366.3–6.053%
Apr 3
Western Kentucky logoat Western Kentucky
W 6–2#1366.2–5.755%
Apr 4
Western Kentucky logoat Western Kentucky
W 6–5#1366.1–5.755%
Apr 7
Virginia Tech logoat Virginia Tech
W 11–4#606.4–6.450%
Apr 10
Jacksonville State logovs Jacksonville State
L 4–8#666.8–6.060%
Apr 11
Jacksonville State logovs Jacksonville State
W 7–6#666.8–6.060%
Apr 12
Jacksonville State logovs Jacksonville State
W 4–2#667.0–6.061%
Apr 14
Duke logoat Duke
W 17–7#576.6–6.551%
Apr 17
DB
at Dallas Baptist
W 17–3#829.2–9.151%
Apr 18
DB
at Dallas Baptist
L 6–7#828.9–8.851%
Apr 19
DB
at Dallas Baptist
W 9–8#828.6–8.551%
Apr 21
Duke logovs Duke
W 13–10#577.5–6.164%
Apr 22
Virginia logoat Virginia
L 4–5#257.5–8.045%
Apr 24
Delaware logovs Delaware
L 4–5#2017.5–5.769%
Apr 25
Delaware logovs Delaware
W 11–5#2017.5–5.769%
Apr 26
Delaware logovs Delaware
W 14–4#2017.5–5.769%
Apr 28
Charlotte logovs Charlotte
W 12–2#637.1–5.963%
May 2
New Mexico State logoat New Mexico State
L 3–3#2457.2–6.162%
May 2
New Mexico State logoat New Mexico State
W 15–4#2457.6–6.462%
May 3
New Mexico State logoat New Mexico State
W 7–4#2457.8–6.663%
May 6
Virginia Tech logovs Virginia Tech
L 4–8#607.3–6.063%
May 8
Louisiana Tech logovs Louisiana Tech
L 3–9#526.8–5.762%
May 9
Louisiana Tech logovs Louisiana Tech
L 6–9#526.8–5.762%
May 10
Louisiana Tech logovs Louisiana Tech
W 3–2#526.8–5.762%
May 12
Wake Forest logovs Wake Forest
L 5–7#136.9–6.456%
May 14
Middle Tennessee logoat Middle Tennessee
L 1–8#1986.5–6.055%
May 15
Middle Tennessee logoat Middle Tennessee
W 10–2#1986.5–6.055%
May 16
Middle Tennessee logoat Middle Tennessee
W 8–7#1986.5–6.055%
May 21
Sam Houston State logoat Sam Houston State
W 10–4#1805.9–5.456%
May 22
Louisiana Tech logovs Louisiana Tech
W 6–0#525.5–4.859%
May 24
Missouri State logovs Missouri State
W 6–4#726.2–5.756%
May 24
Jacksonville State logovs Jacksonville State
L 0–10#665.5–5.550%
May 29
Boston College logovs Boston College
W 4–3#346.3–6.052%
May 30
Georgia logovs Georgia
L 2–6#36.4–6.747%
May 31
Boston College logovs Boston College
W 8–3#346.5–6.550%
May 31
Georgia logoat Georgia
L 1–6#36.0–7.336%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#14#21#28#35#42#43
#30
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
3
Regional seed
—
National seed
Regional
Athens Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game7.1#90
Runs allowed per game5.0#30
Starter FIP3.32#22
Team OPS.809#149
Team wOBA.360#151
Run margin+2.0#39
Strength of schedule#57
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Liberty

2026 • ATS
7–7
Picks on Liberty
0–1
Picks against
-1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 15 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.