SEC • 2026 SEASON
LSU
#27
BBMI rank
+1.91
Rating
+1.4
Run margin
#61
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →LSU
WED MAY 20 • 8:00 PM CT
1 – 3
final score
Auburn
+3.5
Model run line
+2.5
Market run line
-1.0
Edge
37%
Win probability
LSU 37%Auburn 63%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs MilwaukeeW 5–3#2557.5–6.265%
vs MilwaukeeFeb 15vs MilwaukeeW 21–7#2557.5–6.265%
vs MilwaukeeFeb 16
vs Kent StateW 10–7#1307.0–6.359%
vs Kent StateFeb 18
vs NichollsW 12–1#886.9–6.060%
vs NichollsFeb 20
at IndianaW 14–7#796.2–6.348%
at IndianaFeb 21
vs Notre DameW 9–4#486.6–6.057%
vs Notre DameFeb 22
at UCFW 11–0#355.7–6.343%
at UCFFeb 24
vs McNeeseL 6–7#746.8–6.058%
vs McNeeseFeb 27
vs DartmouthW 5–2#2105.1–4.557%
vs DartmouthFeb 28
vs NortheasternW 3–1#587.0–6.555%
vs NortheasternMar 1vs DartmouthW 3–0#2105.1–4.557%
vs DartmouthMar 2vs NortheasternL 10–13#587.0–6.555%
vs NortheasternMar 4
at LouisianaL 2–7#404.9–5.444%
at LouisianaMar 6
vs Sacramento StateW 15–4#1087.0–6.062%
vs Sacramento StateMar 7vs Sacramento StateL 4–5#1087.0–6.062%
vs Sacramento StateMar 8vs Sacramento StateL 1–6#1087.0–6.062%
vs Sacramento StateMar 10
vs CreightonW 8–4#857.0–6.160%
vs CreightonMar 13
at VanderbiltL 12–13#286.7–7.343%
at VanderbiltMar 14at VanderbiltL 3–11#286.7–7.343%
at VanderbiltMar 15at VanderbiltW 16–9#286.7–7.343%
at VanderbiltMar 17
vs Grambling StateW 7–1#2745.1–4.557%
vs Grambling StateMar 19
vs OklahomaW 7–1#126.4–6.055%
vs OklahomaMar 20vs OklahomaL 2–4#126.8–6.355%
vs OklahomaMar 21vs OklahomaL 3–4#126.6–6.057%
vs OklahomaMar 24
vs Louisiana TechW 15–5#526.9–6.259%
vs Louisiana TechMar 27
vs KentuckyL 4–7#216.9–6.455%
vs KentuckyMar 28vs KentuckyW 7–0#216.5–6.055%
vs KentuckyMar 29vs KentuckyW 17–10#216.5–6.055%
vs KentuckyMar 31
vs SouthernW 16–6#2718.4–6.569%
vs SouthernApr 3
at TennesseeW 7–5#166.0–6.742%
at TennesseeApr 4at TennesseeL 1–4#166.2–6.743%
at TennesseeApr 5at TennesseeW 16–6#165.8–6.542%
at TennesseeApr 7
vs Bethune-CookmanL 7–10#1497.1–6.556%
vs Bethune-CookmanApr 10
at Ole MissL 3–6#156.3–7.141%
at Ole MissApr 11at Ole MissL 2–12#156.3–7.141%
at Ole MissApr 12at Ole MissL 7–8#156.5–7.242%
at Ole MissApr 14
vs Northwestern StateW 4–2#1737.5–6.165%
vs Northwestern StateApr 17
vs Texas A&ML 4–10#107.2–6.855%
vs Texas A&MApr 18vs Texas A&ML 2–7#106.7–6.453%
vs Texas A&MApr 19vs Texas A&ML 2–5#106.6–6.353%
vs Texas A&MApr 21
vs New OrleansW 10–7#1607.7–6.364%
vs New OrleansApr 24
at Mississippi StateL 8–10#117.0–8.039%
at Mississippi StateApr 25at Mississippi StateL 8–9#116.5–7.539%
at Mississippi StateApr 26at Mississippi StateL 8–13#116.5–7.539%
at Mississippi StateApr 28
vs Southeastern LouisianaW 12–4#1256.9–5.565%
vs Southeastern LouisianaMay 2
vs South CarolinaW 6–1#736.3–5.262%
vs South CarolinaMay 2vs South CarolinaW 6–1#736.0–4.962%
vs South CarolinaMay 3vs South CarolinaW 7–0#736.4–5.462%
vs South CarolinaMay 5
vs TulaneW 13–6#1196.8–5.861%
vs TulaneMay 8
at GeorgiaL 8–11#36.7–7.640%
at GeorgiaMay 9at GeorgiaL 8–13#36.7–7.640%
at GeorgiaMay 10at GeorgiaL 1–12#36.7–7.640%
at GeorgiaMay 14
vs FloridaL 8–11#96.0–5.754%
vs FloridaMay 15vs FloridaL 1–11#96.0–5.754%
vs FloridaMay 16vs FloridaL 11–15#96.0–5.754%
vs FloridaMay 19at OklahomaW 6–2#126.0–6.642%
at OklahomaMay 20at AuburnL 1–3#65.5–6.637%
at AuburnRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#16#26#36#46#56
#27
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game7.6#50
Runs allowed per game6.2#120
Starter FIP4.99#149
Team OPS.879#54
Team wOBA.384#66
Run margin+1.4#67
Strength of schedule#12
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on LSU
2026 • ATS0–6
Picks on LSU
11–7
Picks against
-3.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 24 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.