SEC • 2026 SEASON
Kentucky
#21
BBMI rank
+2.08
Rating
+1.2
Run margin
#32
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →
Marshall
TUE MAR 17 • 1:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Kentucky
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Model run line
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Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14W 11–3#1634.6–4.550%
U
at UNCGFeb 14W 10–6#1634.6–4.550%
U
at UNCGFeb 17
vs Morehead StateL 6–8#2227.8–6.168%
vs Morehead StateFeb 20
at EvansvilleW 9–2#1954.6–4.550%
at EvansvilleFeb 21at EvansvilleW 5–3#1954.6–4.550%
at EvansvilleFeb 21at EvansvilleL 0–1#1954.6–4.550%
at EvansvilleFeb 25
vs Western KentuckyW 13–9#1366.9–5.664%
vs Western KentuckyFeb 27W 3–1#1467.2–5.766%
SJ
vs Saint John'sFeb 28W 3–0#1467.2–5.766%
SJ
vs Saint John'sMar 1W 3–1#1467.2–5.766%
SJ
vs Saint John'sMar 3
at Eastern KentuckyW 10–0#2678.7–7.462%
at Eastern KentuckyMar 4vs Eastern KentuckyW 8–4#2677.8–5.772%
vs Eastern KentuckyMar 6
vs The CitadelW 10–5#466.7–5.959%
vs The CitadelMar 7vs The CitadelW 12–7#466.7–5.959%
vs The CitadelMar 8vs The CitadelW 13–5#466.7–5.959%
vs The CitadelMar 10
vs Ball StateW 10–3#2487.7–5.869%
vs Ball StateMar 13
vs AlabamaW 7–4#186.2–5.657%
vs AlabamaMar 14vs AlabamaW 8–7#186.2–5.657%
vs AlabamaMar 15vs AlabamaW 6–4#186.2–5.657%
vs AlabamaMar 17vs Marshall—#170
vs MarshallMar 19
at Ole MissL 0–5#156.3–7.042%
at Ole MissMar 20at Ole MissW 3–1#156.6–7.342%
at Ole MissMar 21at Ole MissL 9–12#156.5–7.144%
at Ole MissMar 24
vs Murray StateW 14–4#2437.1–5.667%
vs Murray StateMar 27
at LSUW 7–4#276.4–6.945%
at LSUMar 28at LSUL 0–7#276.0–6.545%
at LSUMar 29at LSUL 10–17#276.0–6.545%
at LSUMar 31
vs Miami (OH)W 14–11#657.5–7.056%
vs Miami (OH)Apr 3
vs MissouriL 4–5#566.9–5.961%
vs MissouriApr 4vs MissouriW 9–2#567.0–5.962%
vs MissouriApr 5vs MissouriL 2–5#566.6–5.761%
vs MissouriApr 7
vs LouisvilleW 4–2#456.8–6.059%
vs LouisvilleApr 10
at AuburnL 5–12#66.1–7.139%
at AuburnApr 11at AuburnW 5–4#65.8–6.839%
at AuburnApr 12at AuburnL 0–11#65.8–6.839%
at AuburnApr 17
vs VanderbiltW 5–2#286.6–6.058%
vs VanderbiltApr 18vs VanderbiltL 7–8#287.0–6.358%
vs VanderbiltApr 19vs VanderbiltL 6–13#286.5–5.858%
vs VanderbiltApr 21at LouisvilleL 10–14#457.8–8.246%
at LouisvilleApr 24
at South CarolinaL 9–10#735.6–5.550%
at South CarolinaApr 25at South CarolinaL 4–9#735.5–5.550%
at South CarolinaApr 26at South CarolinaW 9–5#735.5–5.550%
at South CarolinaMay 1
vs TennesseeW 9–2#166.2–5.757%
vs TennesseeMay 2vs TennesseeW 12–2#166.3–5.757%
vs TennesseeMay 3vs TennesseeL 9–10#166.3–5.757%
vs TennesseeMay 8
at FloridaL 6–7#96.0–6.741%
at FloridaMay 9at FloridaW 4–2#96.0–6.741%
at FloridaMay 10at FloridaL 6–9#96.0–6.741%
at FloridaMay 12
vs Northern Kentucky—#291
vs Northern KentuckyMay 14
vs ArkansasW 4–3#146.0–5.656%
vs ArkansasMay 15vs ArkansasL 4–5#146.1–5.656%
vs ArkansasMay 16vs ArkansasL 12–16#146.1–5.656%
vs ArkansasMay 19at VanderbiltL 5–8#286.0–6.644%
at VanderbiltMay 29
vs Wake ForestW 6–5#135.7–5.157%
vs Wake ForestMay 30
vs West VirginiaW 11–9#74.8–5.344%
vs West VirginiaMay 31vs West VirginiaL 9–11#75.1–5.051%
vs West VirginiaJun 1at West VirginiaL 5–6#75.1–5.644%
at West VirginiaRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#15#21#27#33#37
#21
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →3
Regional seed
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National seed
Regional
Morgantown Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game7.1#89
Runs allowed per game5.9#94
Starter FIP4.23#80
Team OPS.856#76
Team wOBA.375#99
Run margin+1.2#76
Strength of schedule#21
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Kentucky
2026 • ATS7–1
Picks on Kentucky
3–1
Picks against
+7.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 12 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.