Team Pages/Missouri Valley/Indiana State
Indiana State logo
MISSOURI VALLEY • 2026 SEASON

Indiana State

Record 30-27vs line 3–3 ATSLast L 5–7 vs Southern IllinoisPostseason did not qualify
#204
BBMI rank
-0.87
Rating
+0.3
Run margin
#162
RPI

Last game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Southern Illinois logo
Southern Illinois
#247 • -1.37 • Troy Shepard
SAT MAY 23 • 3:00 PM CT
7 – 5
final score
Indiana State
#204 • -0.87 • home • Jack Armstrong
Indiana State logo
-2.5
Model run line
-1.5
Market run line
+1.0
Edge
58%
Win probability
Indiana State 58%Southern Illinois 42%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
NCS
at North Carolina State
L 4–10#625.6–6.737%
Feb 15
Wake Forest logovs Wake Forest
L 1–10#135.7–6.344%
Feb 18
Miami (FL) logoat Miami (FL)
L 2–6#266.3–8.132%
Feb 24
F
at FGCU
L 1–17#1266.3–7.835%
Feb 25
F
at FGCU
W 5–4#1266.3–7.835%
Feb 27
Penn State logoat Penn State
W 8–5#1977.3–7.349%
Feb 28
Penn State logovs Penn State
W 2–1#1977.8–6.762%
Mar 1
Penn State logoat Penn State
L 8–9#1977.3–7.349%
Mar 6
Western Kentucky logoat Western Kentucky
L 5–6#1365.8–6.642%
Mar 7
Western Kentucky logoat Western Kentucky
W 11–6#1365.8–6.642%
Mar 8
Western Kentucky logoat Western Kentucky
L 4–7#1365.8–6.642%
Mar 10
Vanderbilt logoat Vanderbilt
L 6–14#286.7–8.234%
Mar 18
Illinois logovs Illinois
W 4–3#717.0–7.149%
Mar 24
Indiana logoat Indiana
W 5–4#796.5–7.539%
Mar 31
Purdue logovs Purdue
W 12–4#547.7–7.848%
Apr 7
Illinois logoat Illinois
L 3–7#716.0–7.237%
Apr 14
Indiana logovs Indiana
L 12–17#797.3–7.252%
Apr 21
Purdue logoat Purdue
W 6–5#547.4–8.935%
May 21
Murray State logovs Murray State
L 2–3#2437.3–6.657%
May 23
Southern Illinois logovs Southern Illinois
L 5–7#2476.8–6.158%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#200#220#240
#204
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game7.2#85
Runs allowed per game6.9#194
Starter FIP6.90#255
Team OPS.845#95
Team wOBA.391#48
Run margin+0.3#137
Strength of schedule#204
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Indiana State

2026 • ATS
1–1
Picks on Indiana State
2–2
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.