Team Pages/Missouri Valley/Illinois State
Illinois State logo
MISSOURI VALLEY • 2026 SEASON

Illinois State

Record 33-24vs line 3–1 ATSLast L 3–6 at EvansvillePostseason did not qualify
#235
BBMI rank
-1.22
Rating
+0.6
Run margin
#155
RPI

Last game

Game Picks →
Illinois State logo
Illinois State
#235 • -1.22 • Missouri Valley
THU MAY 21 • 10:00 AM CT
3 – 6
final score
Evansville
#195 • -0.67 • home
Evansville logo
+3.5
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
39%
Win probability
Illinois State 39%Evansville 61%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 27
Middle Tennessee logoat Middle Tennessee
L 3–13#1986.5–7.044%
Feb 28
Middle Tennessee logoat Middle Tennessee
L 2–8#1986.5–7.044%
Mar 1
Middle Tennessee logoat Middle Tennessee
W 14–7#1986.5–7.044%
Mar 6
Eastern Kentucky logoat Eastern Kentucky
W 7–2#2678.1–7.952%
Mar 7
Eastern Kentucky logoat Eastern Kentucky
L 4–8#2678.1–7.952%
Mar 8
Eastern Kentucky logoat Eastern Kentucky
L 6–10#2678.1–7.952%
Mar 24
Iowa logovs Iowa
L 0–11#396.9–7.048%
Mar 31
Illinois logovs Illinois
W 4–1#717.2–7.250%
Apr 21
Illinois logoat Illinois
W 13–6#716.3–7.537%
Apr 28
Iowa logoat Iowa
W 13–6#396.4–7.836%
May 5
Northwestern logoat Northwestern
L 1–7#1696.8–7.246%
May 8
U
at UIC
L 2–10#2416.0–6.743%
May 14
Michigan State logoat Michigan State
L 0–10#1066.3–7.042%
May 15
Michigan State logoat Michigan State
W 6–3#1066.3–7.042%
May 16
Michigan State logoat Michigan State
L 8–18#1066.3–7.042%
May 20
Murray State logoat Murray State
L 4–6#2436.5–7.045%
May 21
Evansville logoat Evansville
L 3–6#1956.0–6.939%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#185#199#213#227#239
#235
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game6.5#159
Runs allowed per game5.9#100
Starter FIP5.90#209
Team OPS.816#135
Team wOBA.370#114
Run margin+0.6#122
Strength of schedule#271
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Illinois State

2026 • ATS
0–0
Picks on Illinois State
3–1
Picks against
+1.7u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 4 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.