BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON
Illinois
#71
BBMI rank
+0.98
Rating
+0.9
Run margin
#102
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Illinois
SAT FEB 21 • 3:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Coastal Carolina
—
Model run line
+3.5
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
at South FloridaW 4–2#1076.1–6.446%
at South FloridaFeb 15at South FloridaL 10–11#1076.1–6.446%
at South FloridaFeb 17
vs ButlerL 8–10#2507.6–6.166%
vs ButlerFeb 20
at VCUW 9–4#536.1–6.842%
at VCUFeb 21vs VCUL 2–3#536.7–6.355%
vs VCUFeb 21at Coastal Carolina—#32
at Coastal CarolinaFeb 22at Coastal CarolinaW 14–5#325.9–6.741%
at Coastal CarolinaFeb 25
vs LindenwoodW 13–9#1506.8–6.059%
vs LindenwoodFeb 27
at Michigan StateW 5–4#1066.5–6.649%
at Michigan StateFeb 28
vs CharlestonW 5–0#1927.4–6.164%
vs CharlestonMar 1
at AlbanyW 14–6#2894.5–4.747%
at AlbanyMar 3
vs Eastern Illinois—#164
vs Eastern IllinoisMar 6
at USCL 0–4#244.5–5.241%
at USCMar 7at USCL 0–4#244.5–5.241%
at USCMar 8at USCL 3–5#244.5–5.241%
at USCMar 10
vs Western IllinoisW 21–8#2667.9–6.069%
vs Western IllinoisMar 13
vs MinnesotaW 2–1#236.4–6.253%
vs MinnesotaMar 14vs MinnesotaL 0–1#236.0–5.753%
vs MinnesotaMar 14vs MinnesotaW 4–2#236.3–6.053%
vs MinnesotaMar 18
at Indiana StateL 3–4#2047.1–7.051%
at Indiana StateMar 20
vs RutgersW 13–7#966.9–6.160%
vs RutgersMar 21vs RutgersW 12–6#966.7–5.959%
vs RutgersMar 22vs RutgersL 3–8#966.6–6.058%
vs RutgersMar 24
vs MissouriW 5–1#566.5–5.958%
vs MissouriMar 27
at Penn StateL 8–9#1977.2–6.656%
at Penn StateMar 28at Penn StateW 16–5#1976.8–6.256%
at Penn StateMar 29at Penn StateW 6–0#1976.8–6.355%
at Penn StateMar 31
at Illinois StateL 1–4#2357.2–7.250%
at Illinois StateApr 3
at PurdueL 1–6#547.2–8.042%
at PurdueApr 4at PurdueW 7–5#547.2–7.942%
at PurdueApr 5at PurdueL 5–10#546.9–7.742%
at PurdueApr 7vs Indiana StateW 7–3#2047.2–6.063%
vs Indiana StateApr 10
vs New OrleansW 13–1#1607.5–6.363%
vs New OrleansApr 11vs New OrleansW 4–3#1607.3–6.163%
vs New OrleansApr 12vs New OrleansL 7–8#1607.3–6.263%
vs New OrleansApr 14W 16–4#1316.8–5.763%
S
vs SIUEApr 17
vs OregonL 6–16#86.7–6.751%
vs OregonApr 18vs OregonW 16–13#86.5–6.353%
vs OregonApr 19vs OregonL 5–11#86.2–6.053%
vs OregonApr 21vs Illinois StateL 6–13#2357.5–6.363%
vs Illinois StateApr 24
vs NebraskaW 10–5#196.7–6.553%
vs NebraskaApr 25vs NebraskaL 5–12#196.4–6.253%
vs NebraskaApr 26vs NebraskaL 0–3#196.4–6.253%
vs NebraskaApr 28W 11–76.9–5.961%
R
vs ROOSEVELTMay 1
at IowaL 3–9#396.4–7.242%
at IowaMay 2at IowaL 5–6#396.4–7.242%
at IowaMay 3at IowaW 6–2#396.4–7.242%
at IowaMay 6
vs BradleyW 10–2#2997.8–5.870%
vs BradleyMay 8
vs NorthwesternW 12–0#1697.2–5.766%
vs NorthwesternMay 9vs NorthwesternW 4–3#1697.2–5.766%
vs NorthwesternMay 10vs NorthwesternW 10–3#1697.2–5.766%
vs NorthwesternMay 14
at IndianaL 4–10#796.2–6.546%
at IndianaMay 15at IndianaW 9–7#796.2–6.546%
at IndianaMay 16at IndianaL 2–11#796.2–6.646%
at IndianaMay 19at IowaL 6–10#396.0–7.039%
at IowaMay 20at PurdueL 1–3#546.0–6.940%
at PurdueRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#40#50#60#70
#71
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.8#117
Runs allowed per game5.8#89
Starter FIP4.93#143
Team OPS.812#144
Team wOBA.358#157
Run margin+0.9#98
Strength of schedule#80
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Illinois
2026 • ATS5–5
Picks on Illinois
4–1
Picks against
+2.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 15 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.