
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON
Houston
#69
BBMI rank
+1.02
Rating
-0.7
Run margin
#108
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →Arizona State
SAT MAY 16 • 1:00 PM CT
8 – 3
final score
Houston
-1.5
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
55%
Win probability
Houston 55%Arizona State 45%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
at Boston CollegeW 5–1#344.9–5.839%
Feb 15
vs ManhattanW 4–2#2647.8–6.564%
Feb 16
at WashingtonW 8–7#955.0–5.643%
Feb 20W 11–3#1134.9–4.753%
U
vs UTRGVFeb 21L 6–10#1134.9–4.753%
U
vs UTRGVFeb 22L 4–8#1134.9–4.753%
U
vs UTRGVFeb 24
at Sam Houston StateW 5–4#1805.7–5.650%
Feb 27
at Oregon StateL 1–2#416.0–7.038%
Feb 28
vs IowaL 4–6#396.8–6.653%
Mar 1
at AlabamaW 8–2#185.7–6.738%
Mar 3
vs Sam Houston StateL 2–5#1807.2–6.064%
Mar 6
vs Arkansas-Pine BluffW 13–9#2314.9–4.753%
Mar 7
vs Arkansas-Pine BluffW 6–5#2314.9–4.753%
Mar 8
vs Arkansas-Pine BluffW 10–0#2314.9–4.753%
Mar 10
vs RiceW 13–1#916.7–6.058%
Mar 13
vs Kansas StateL 8–20#687.1–6.457%
Mar 14
vs Kansas StateL 1–16#687.1–6.457%
Mar 15
vs Kansas StateW 16–6#687.1–6.457%
Mar 18
vs LouisianaL 3–6#406.5–6.253%
Mar 20
at KansasL 10–12#376.4–7.439%
Mar 21
at KansasL 8–9#376.5–7.539%
Mar 22
at KansasL 4–8#376.3–7.339%
Mar 24
vs TexasW 9–7#26.6–7.046%
Mar 27
vs BaylorL 2–6#757.1–6.557%
Mar 28
vs BaylorL 3–10#756.7–6.256%
Mar 29
vs BaylorL 7–14#756.9–6.258%
Apr 2
at Texas TechW 8–6#1127.7–8.542%
Apr 3
at Texas TechW 13–10#1127.7–8.542%
Apr 4
at Texas TechL 2–11#1127.5–8.342%
Apr 7
at Sam Houston StateW 5–4#1805.7–5.650%
Apr 9
vs BYUL 2–3#1177.4–6.559%
Apr 10
vs BYUL 2–6#1177.3–6.559%
Apr 11
vs BYUL 1–6#1177.3–6.559%
Apr 14
at Texas A&ML 2–10#106.2–7.436%
Apr 17
at West VirginiaW 10–7#74.8–6.035%
Apr 18
at West VirginiaL 1–7#74.8–6.035%
Apr 19
at West VirginiaL 3–7#74.6–5.835%
Apr 21
at RiceW 4–3#916.1–6.644%
Apr 24
at TCUL 3–8#476.5–7.441%
Apr 25
at TCUL 2–4#476.4–7.341%
Apr 26
at TCUL 2–14#476.4–7.341%
Apr 28
at Stephen F. AustinL 2–5#2176.9–6.850%
Apr 29
vs McNeeseW 4–2#746.9–6.555%
May 2
vs CincinnatiL 2–3#206.3–6.351%
May 2
vs CincinnatiL 2–3#206.0–6.051%
May 3
vs CincinnatiL 3–4#206.5–6.550%
May 5W 10–1#2117.5–6.165%
TAC
vs Texas A&M-Corpus ChristiMay 8
at ArizonaW 7–4#1015.9–6.444%
May 9
at ArizonaW 7–5#1015.9–6.444%
May 10
at ArizonaL 5–6#1015.7–6.244%
May 12
vs RiceW 14–3#916.8–6.158%
May 14
vs Arizona StateL 3–4#556.8–6.455%
May 15
vs Arizona StateW 5–3#556.8–6.455%
May 16
vs Arizona StateL 3–8#556.7–6.355%
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 308#53#62#71#80#87
#68
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game5.5#255
Runs allowed per game6.2#124
Starter FIP4.31#93
Team OPS.795#178
Team wOBA.350#195
Run margin-0.7#199
Strength of schedule#44
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Houston
2026 • ATS5–3
Picks on Houston
1–1
Picks against
+1.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 10 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.