
BIG WEST • 2026 SEASON
Hawaii
#77
BBMI rank
+0.89
Rating
+0.2
Run margin
#133
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →Cal State Fullerton
WED MAY 20 • 8:00 PM CT
5 – 1
final score
Hawaii
-2.5
Model run line
-1.5
Market run line
+1.0
Edge
60%
Win probability
Hawaii 60%Cal State Fullerton 40%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs GonzagaW 5–3#945.5–5.056%
Feb 15
vs GonzagaL 2–7#945.5–5.056%
Feb 16
vs GonzagaW 4–3#945.5–5.056%
Feb 19
vs Wichita StateW 7–6#845.5–4.957%
Feb 20
vs Wichita StateW 4–2#845.5–4.957%
Feb 22
vs Wichita StateL 3–13#845.1–4.558%
Feb 22
vs Wichita StateL 1–7#845.3–4.857%
Feb 26
vs Ball StateW 6–1#2486.3–4.768%
Feb 27
vs Ball StateW 12–0#2486.3–4.768%
Feb 28
vs Ball StateL 0–1#2486.3–4.768%
Mar 1
vs Ball StateW 6–0#2486.3–4.768%
Mar 6
vs Cal PolyL 2–6#905.3–4.857%
Mar 7
vs Cal PolyL 7–10#905.3–4.857%
Mar 8
vs Cal PolyL 3–7#905.3–4.857%
Mar 11W 15–04.4–3.859%
C
vs ChaminadeMar 13
at Long Beach StateW 11–1#2135.8–5.257%
Mar 14
at Long Beach StateL 6–7#2135.8–5.257%
Mar 15
at Long Beach StateL 1–2#2135.8–5.257%
Mar 20
at UC Santa BarbaraW 2–1#304.4–5.140%
Mar 21
at UC Santa BarbaraW 3–1#304.3–5.140%
Mar 22
at UC Santa BarbaraL 1–5#304.4–5.140%
Mar 26W 4–15.4–4.561%
HPS
vs Hawai'i Pacific SeaMar 28
vs Cal State FullertonL 0–2#865.5–4.761%
Mar 29
vs Cal State FullertonW 6–2#865.5–4.662%
Mar 29
vs Cal State FullertonW 6–2#865.3–4.362%
Apr 2
at UC San DiegoL 9–10#1286.3–6.548%
Apr 3
at UC San DiegoW 6–3#1286.3–6.548%
Apr 4
at UC San DiegoL 0–8#1286.4–6.548%
Apr 11
vs UC IrvineW 14–6#995.6–4.859%
Apr 12
vs UC IrvineW 3–0#995.4–4.759%
Apr 12
vs UC IrvineW 3–0#995.2–4.460%
Apr 17
at Cal State BakersfieldL 0–2#2576.6–5.958%
Apr 18
at Cal State BakersfieldW 5–3#2576.7–6.058%
Apr 19
at Cal State BakersfieldW 14–5#2576.8–6.158%
Apr 21
at UCLAL 7–12#45.5–6.637%
Apr 24
at Oregon StateL 4–12#415.5–6.341%
Apr 25
at Oregon StateL 1–8#415.4–6.141%
Apr 26
at Oregon StateL 1–3#415.4–6.141%
Apr 30W 11–35.5–4.859%
HH
vs Hawaiʻi HiloMay 2
vs UC RiversideW 1–0#2536.0–4.371%
May 3
vs UC RiversideW 9–1#2535.9–4.271%
May 3
vs UC RiversideW 9–1#2535.6–3.971%
May 8
at UC DavisW 4–1#1214.4–4.449%
May 9
at UC DavisL 2–4#1214.4–4.449%
May 10
at UC DavisL 1–3#1214.4–4.449%
May 14
vs Cal State NorthridgeW 4–0#1855.7–4.565%
May 15
vs Cal State NorthridgeW 7–0#1855.7–4.565%
May 16
vs Cal State NorthridgeL 1–8#1855.7–4.565%
May 20
vs Cal State FullertonL 1–5#865.5–4.860%
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 308#42#57#72#87#102
#77
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game4.7#297
Runs allowed per game4.2#7
Starter FIP2.52#1
Team OPS.683#304
Team wOBA.309#298
Run margin+0.2#140
Strength of schedule#113
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Hawaii
2026 • ATS7–0
Picks on Hawaii
2–1
Picks against
+7.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 10 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.