Team Pages/Big West/Hawaii
Hawaii logo
BIG WEST • 2026 SEASON

Hawaii

Record 24-23vs line 9–1 ATSLast L 1–5 vs Cal State FullertonPostseason did not qualify
#77
BBMI rank
+0.89
Rating
+0.2
Run margin
#133
RPI
Cal State Fullerton logo
Cal State Fullerton
#86 • +0.81 • Big West
WED MAY 20 • 8:00 PM CT
5 1
final score
Hawaii
#77 • +0.89home
Hawaii logo
-2.5
Model run line
-1.5
Market run line
+1.0
Edge
60%
Win probability
Hawaii 60%Cal State Fullerton 40%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Gonzaga logovs Gonzaga
W 5–3#945.5–5.056%
Feb 15
Gonzaga logovs Gonzaga
L 2–7#945.5–5.056%
Feb 16
Gonzaga logovs Gonzaga
W 4–3#945.5–5.056%
Feb 19
Wichita State logovs Wichita State
W 7–6#845.5–4.957%
Feb 20
Wichita State logovs Wichita State
W 4–2#845.5–4.957%
Feb 22
Wichita State logovs Wichita State
L 3–13#845.1–4.558%
Feb 22
Wichita State logovs Wichita State
L 1–7#845.3–4.857%
Feb 26
Ball State logovs Ball State
W 6–1#2486.3–4.768%
Feb 27
Ball State logovs Ball State
W 12–0#2486.3–4.768%
Feb 28
Ball State logovs Ball State
L 0–1#2486.3–4.768%
Mar 1
Ball State logovs Ball State
W 6–0#2486.3–4.768%
Mar 6
Cal Poly logovs Cal Poly
L 2–6#905.3–4.857%
Mar 7
Cal Poly logovs Cal Poly
L 7–10#905.3–4.857%
Mar 8
Cal Poly logovs Cal Poly
L 3–7#905.3–4.857%
Mar 11
C
vs Chaminade
W 15–04.4–3.859%
Mar 13
Long Beach State logoat Long Beach State
W 11–1#2135.8–5.257%
Mar 14
Long Beach State logoat Long Beach State
L 6–7#2135.8–5.257%
Mar 15
Long Beach State logoat Long Beach State
L 1–2#2135.8–5.257%
Mar 20
UC Santa Barbara logoat UC Santa Barbara
W 2–1#304.4–5.140%
Mar 21
UC Santa Barbara logoat UC Santa Barbara
W 3–1#304.3–5.140%
Mar 22
UC Santa Barbara logoat UC Santa Barbara
L 1–5#304.4–5.140%
Mar 26
HPS
vs Hawai'i Pacific Sea
W 4–15.4–4.561%
Mar 28
Cal State Fullerton logovs Cal State Fullerton
L 0–2#865.5–4.761%
Mar 29
Cal State Fullerton logovs Cal State Fullerton
W 6–2#865.5–4.662%
Mar 29
Cal State Fullerton logovs Cal State Fullerton
W 6–2#865.3–4.362%
Apr 2
UC San Diego logoat UC San Diego
L 9–10#1286.3–6.548%
Apr 3
UC San Diego logoat UC San Diego
W 6–3#1286.3–6.548%
Apr 4
UC San Diego logoat UC San Diego
L 0–8#1286.4–6.548%
Apr 11
UC Irvine logovs UC Irvine
W 14–6#995.6–4.859%
Apr 12
UC Irvine logovs UC Irvine
W 3–0#995.4–4.759%
Apr 12
UC Irvine logovs UC Irvine
W 3–0#995.2–4.460%
Apr 17
Cal State Bakersfield logoat Cal State Bakersfield
L 0–2#2576.6–5.958%
Apr 18
Cal State Bakersfield logoat Cal State Bakersfield
W 5–3#2576.7–6.058%
Apr 19
Cal State Bakersfield logoat Cal State Bakersfield
W 14–5#2576.8–6.158%
Apr 21
UCLA logoat UCLA
L 7–12#45.5–6.637%
Apr 24
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 4–12#415.5–6.341%
Apr 25
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 1–8#415.4–6.141%
Apr 26
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 1–3#415.4–6.141%
Apr 30
HH
vs Hawaiʻi Hilo
W 11–35.5–4.859%
May 2
UC Riverside logovs UC Riverside
W 1–0#2536.0–4.371%
May 3
UC Riverside logovs UC Riverside
W 9–1#2535.9–4.271%
May 3
UC Riverside logovs UC Riverside
W 9–1#2535.6–3.971%
May 8
UC Davis logoat UC Davis
W 4–1#1214.4–4.449%
May 9
UC Davis logoat UC Davis
L 2–4#1214.4–4.449%
May 10
UC Davis logoat UC Davis
L 1–3#1214.4–4.449%
May 14
Cal State Northridge logovs Cal State Northridge
W 4–0#1855.7–4.565%
May 15
Cal State Northridge logovs Cal State Northridge
W 7–0#1855.7–4.565%
May 16
Cal State Northridge logovs Cal State Northridge
L 1–8#1855.7–4.565%
May 20
Cal State Fullerton logovs Cal State Fullerton
L 1–5#865.5–4.860%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#42#57#72#87#102
#77
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game4.7#297
Runs allowed per game4.2#7
Starter FIP2.52#1
Team OPS.683#304
Team wOBA.309#298
Run margin+0.2#140
Strength of schedule#113
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Hawaii

2026 • ATS
70
Picks on Hawaii
21
Picks against
+7.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 10 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.