Team Pages/Sun Belt/Georgia State
Georgia State logo
SUN BELT • 2026 SEASON

Georgia State

Record 27-30vs line 3–9 ATSLast L 4–7 at South AlabamaPostseason did not qualify
#153
BBMI rank
-0.17
Rating
-0.4
Run margin
#132
RPI
Last updated: (data published)
Georgia State logo
Georgia State
#153 • -0.17 • Sun Belt
TUE APR 28 • 6:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Alabama State
#260 • -1.61 • home
Alabama State logo
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
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Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
New Orleans logovs New Orleans
W 12–4#1606.9–6.555%
Feb 14
New Orleans logovs New Orleans
W 5–4#1607.3–6.855%
Feb 17
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
L 2–3#664.8–6.234%
Feb 18
Mercer logoat Mercer
L 0–8#365.9–7.434%
Feb 20
Bellarmine logovs Bellarmine
W 14–1#2767.9–7.159%
Feb 21
Bellarmine logovs Bellarmine
W 9–3#2767.9–7.159%
Feb 22
Bellarmine logovs Bellarmine
W 18–8#2767.9–7.159%
Feb 24
Georgia Tech logoat Georgia Tech
W 9–4#16.5–9.126%
Feb 27
Belmont logoat Belmont
W 4–1#2265.3–5.943%
Feb 28
Belmont logoat Belmont
L 7–8#2264.9–5.543%
Feb 28
Belmont logoat Belmont
L 3–16#2265.2–5.743%
Mar 1
Belmont logoat Belmont
W 4–2#2265.3–5.943%
Mar 3
Georgia Tech logovs Georgia Tech
L 1–4#16.9–8.139%
Mar 6
Charleston Southern logovs Charleston Southern
L 7–15#1627.7–7.553%
Mar 7
Charleston Southern logovs Charleston Southern
W 5–2#1627.2–6.953%
Mar 7
Charleston Southern logovs Charleston Southern
L 1–9#1627.5–7.253%
Mar 10
Mercer logovs Mercer
L 6–16#367.2–7.746%
Mar 13
Marshall logoat Marshall
L 2–5#1706.0–7.237%
Mar 14
Marshall logoat Marshall
L 2–4#1706.0–7.237%
Mar 15
Marshall logoat Marshall
L 7–13#1706.0–7.237%
Mar 17
West Georgia logoat West Georgia
W 8–2#2597.1–7.051%
Mar 20
Arkansas State logovs Arkansas State
W 5–2#597.0–7.050%
Mar 21
Arkansas State logovs Arkansas State
L 5–13#597.0–7.050%
Mar 22
Arkansas State logovs Arkansas State
W 9–5#597.0–7.050%
Mar 24
Alabama State logovs Alabama State
L 4–7#2607.7–6.958%
Mar 27
Texas State logovs Texas State
L 6–18#927.6–7.552%
Mar 28
Texas State logovs Texas State
L 0–1#927.1–7.052%
Mar 29
Texas State logovs Texas State
L 3–12#927.2–7.053%
Mar 31
Georgia logoat Georgia
L 9–14#36.5–8.629%
Apr 2
U
at ULM
W 10–7#1425.3–6.338%
Apr 3
U
at ULM
L 9–10#1425.4–6.340%
Apr 7
Wofford logovs Wofford
L 4–7#516.8–7.543%
Apr 10
James Madison logovs James Madison
W 10–5#1417.3–7.053%
Apr 11
James Madison logovs James Madison
W 10–0#1417.4–7.153%
Apr 12
James Madison logovs James Madison
W 5–4#1417.3–7.053%
Apr 14
West Georgia logovs West Georgia
W 5–2#2598.1–6.764%
Apr 17
Coastal Carolina logoat Coastal Carolina
L 7–15#325.6–7.332%
Apr 18
Coastal Carolina logoat Coastal Carolina
L 2–7#325.9–7.533%
Apr 19
Coastal Carolina logoat Coastal Carolina
W 11–5#325.6–7.133%
Apr 24
Old Dominion logovs Old Dominion
L 2–10#1027.0–7.051%
Apr 25
Old Dominion logovs Old Dominion
W 10–4#1027.0–7.051%
Apr 26
Old Dominion logovs Old Dominion
W 8–7#1027.0–7.051%
Apr 28
Alabama State logoat Alabama State
—#260
Apr 29
Alcorn State logoat Alcorn State
—#308
May 2
Louisiana logoat Louisiana
L 1–14#404.3–5.535%
May 2
Louisiana logoat Louisiana
L 1–14#404.0–5.235%
May 3
Louisiana logoat Louisiana
L 3–4#404.4–5.635%
May 5
Kennesaw State logoat Kennesaw State
L 9–10#1325.7–6.343%
May 8
Georgia Southern logoat Georgia Southern
W 5–1#2128.0–7.951%
May 8
Georgia Southern logoat Georgia Southern
W 5–1#2127.5–7.550%
May 9
Georgia Southern logoat Georgia Southern
L 5–6#2128.2–8.151%
May 14
Appalachian State logovs Appalachian State
L 2–12#1227.1–7.150%
May 15
Appalachian State logovs Appalachian State
W 4–2#1227.1–7.150%
May 16
Appalachian State logovs Appalachian State
W 3–2#1227.1–7.150%
May 19
Old Dominion logoat Old Dominion
W 17–1#1025.8–7.037%
May 20
Southern Miss logoat Southern Miss
L 6–7#445.5–7.034%
May 21
South Alabama logoat South Alabama
L 4–7#645.7–7.035%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#150#160
#152
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game6.2#191
Runs allowed per game6.5#149
Starter FIP6.50#241
Team OPS.786#197
Team wOBA.357#162
Run margin-0.4#182
Strength of schedule#100
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Georgia State

2026 • ATS
1–3
Picks on Georgia State
2–6
Picks against
-6.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 12 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.