Team Pages/Mountain West/Fresno State
Fresno State logo
MOUNTAIN WEST • 2026 SEASON

Fresno State

Record 14-38-1vs line 7–4 ATSLast L 10–15 vs Cal PolyPostseason did not qualify
#273
BBMI rank
-1.85
Rating
-2.1
Run margin
#288
RPI

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Last updated: (data published)
Utah logo
Utah
#127 • +0.25 • Big 12
MON FEB 16 • 4:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Fresno State
#273 • -1.85 • home
Fresno State logo
—
Model run line
-1.5
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Utah logovs Utah
L 4–5#1277.0–7.645%
Feb 15
Utah logovs Utah
W 14–8#1277.0–7.645%
Feb 16
Utah logovs Utah
—#127
Feb 27
Stanford logoat Stanford
L 5–6#936.9–8.732%
Feb 28
Stanford logoat Stanford
W 15–4#936.9–8.732%
Mar 1
Stanford logoat Stanford
W 11–8#936.9–8.732%
Mar 6
Arizona logoat Arizona
L 0–6#1015.8–7.532%
Mar 7
Arizona logoat Arizona
L 5–9#1015.8–7.532%
Mar 8
Arizona logoat Arizona
L 4–14#1015.8–7.532%
Mar 10
Cal Poly logoat Cal Poly
L 3–13#905.7–7.729%
Mar 17
Cal State Northridge logovs Cal State Northridge
L 9–11#1857.1–7.250%
Mar 23
Long Beach State logovs Long Beach State
W 8–1#2137.7–7.355%
Mar 31
Cal Poly logovs Cal Poly
L 4–10#906.8–7.841%
Apr 14
Cal State Bakersfield logovs Cal State Bakersfield
W 10–6#2578.0–7.655%
Apr 20
UC Davis logovs UC Davis
L 4–8#1216.6–6.947%
Apr 21
Long Beach State logoat Long Beach State
W 5–2#2136.4–7.241%
Apr 29
Cal State Northridge logoat Cal State Northridge
L 4–7#1857.2–8.636%
May 5
Cal State Bakersfield logoat Cal State Bakersfield
L 2–6#2577.0–7.842%
May 12
Cal Poly logovs Cal Poly
L 10–15#906.7–7.641%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#240#250#260#270
#273
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game6.1#211
Runs allowed per game8.2#271
Starter FIP8.20#289
Team OPS.785#202
Team wOBA.355#179
Run margin-2.1#265
Strength of schedule#206
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Fresno State

2026 • ATS
0–0
Picks on Fresno State
7–4
Picks against
+2.4u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 11 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.