ACC • 2026 SEASON
Florida State
#29
BBMI rank
+1.85
Rating
+2.7
Run margin
#16
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
James Madison
SUN FEB 15 • 10:00 AM CT
not projected
projected runs
Florida State
—
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14vs James MadisonW 16–5#1417.5–6.165%
vs James MadisonFeb 15vs James Madison—#141
vs James MadisonFeb 17
at JacksonvilleW 13–3#1375.4–5.549%
at JacksonvilleFeb 20
vs MichiganW 6–1#766.0–5.261%
vs MichiganFeb 21
at AuburnL 5–8#65.1–6.039%
at AuburnFeb 22
vs NebraskaL 1–10#196.0–5.555%
vs NebraskaFeb 25
vs North FloridaW 14–9#1207.2–6.261%
vs North FloridaFeb 28
vs The CitadelW 6–2#466.6–5.859%
vs The CitadelFeb 28vs The CitadelW 2–1#466.9–6.159%
vs The CitadelMar 1vs The CitadelW 2–0#467.1–6.359%
vs The CitadelMar 3vs JacksonvilleW 7–6#1377.3–6.163%
vs JacksonvilleMar 4
vs MercerW 22–5#367.5–6.957%
vs MercerMar 6
vs Northern KentuckyW 7–3#2918.7–6.572%
vs Northern KentuckyMar 7vs Northern KentuckyW 13–3#2918.7–6.572%
vs Northern KentuckyMar 8vs Northern KentuckyW 17–3#2918.7–6.572%
vs Northern KentuckyMar 10
at FloridaL 3–6#95.8–6.641%
at FloridaMar 13
at Wake ForestW 10–0#136.3–7.340%
at Wake ForestMar 14at Wake ForestW 2–0#136.3–7.340%
at Wake ForestMar 15at Wake ForestW 12–6#136.3–7.340%
at Wake ForestMar 17
vs Bethune-CookmanW 12–1#1497.5–6.858%
vs Bethune-CookmanMar 20L 4–6#627.4–6.559%
NCS
vs North Carolina StateMar 21W 11–5#627.3–6.658%
NCS
vs North Carolina StateMar 22W 15–5#627.7–6.860%
NCS
vs North Carolina StateMar 24at FloridaL 0–5#95.4–6.340%
at FloridaMar 27
vs DukeW 3–1#577.5–6.461%
vs DukeMar 28vs DukeW 12–11#577.8–6.761%
vs DukeMar 29vs DukeL 4–11#577.8–6.563%
vs DukeMar 31
at StetsonW 6–3#1396.6–6.848%
at StetsonApr 2
at VirginiaL 3–4#257.0–7.743%
at VirginiaApr 3at VirginiaW 5–2#257.4–8.142%
at VirginiaApr 4at VirginiaW 9–3#256.9–7.643%
at VirginiaApr 7vs FloridaL 3–4#96.6–6.155%
vs FloridaApr 9
at Georgia TechL 3–4#16.7–8.136%
at Georgia TechApr 10at Georgia TechL 3–8#16.7–8.136%
at Georgia TechApr 11at Georgia TechL 3–17#16.8–8.236%
at Georgia TechApr 14vs StetsonW 9–2#1397.3–6.262%
vs StetsonApr 17
vs Notre DameW 11–0#487.2–6.656%
vs Notre DameApr 18vs Notre DameW 9–7#487.2–6.558%
vs Notre DameApr 19vs Notre DameW 6–4#487.2–6.558%
vs Notre DameApr 21at North FloridaW 4–1#1206.3–6.547%
at North FloridaApr 24
at StanfordL 3–4#937.3–7.449%
at StanfordApr 25at StanfordL 7–8#937.0–7.149%
at StanfordApr 26at StanfordL 4–7#937.0–7.149%
at StanfordApr 29
vs South FloridaW 9–1#1077.2–6.163%
vs South FloridaMay 1
vs Pittsburgh—#33
vs PittsburghMay 2vs PittsburghW 10–1#337.2–6.359%
vs PittsburghMay 2vs PittsburghW 10–1#336.8–6.059%
vs PittsburghMay 3vs PittsburghW 6–4#337.4–6.559%
vs PittsburghMay 5vs JacksonvilleW 5–2#1377.3–6.163%
vs JacksonvilleMay 8
at ClemsonW 8–4#225.7–6.343%
at ClemsonMay 9at ClemsonL 3–4#225.7–6.343%
at ClemsonMay 10at ClemsonW 6–3#225.7–6.343%
at ClemsonMay 14
vs Miami (FL)W 7–6#266.6–6.255%
vs Miami (FL)May 15vs Miami (FL)W 11–1#266.6–6.255%
vs Miami (FL)May 16vs Miami (FL)L 4–7#266.6–6.255%
vs Miami (FL)May 22vs PittsburghL 6–8#336.9–5.961%
vs PittsburghMay 29L 5–6#1467.0–5.765%
SJ
vs Saint John'sMay 31
vs Coastal CarolinaW 2–1#326.5–6.255%
vs Coastal CarolinaMay 31
vs Northern IllinoisW 7–4#1816.8–6.553%
vs Northern IllinoisJun 1L 4–5#1467.0–6.357%
SJ
vs Saint John'sRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#1#10#20#30
#29
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
1
Regional seed
10
National seed
Regional
Tallahassee Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game7.0#99
Runs allowed per game4.3#8
Starter FIP4.30#90
Team OPS.831#111
Team wOBA.383#70
Run margin+2.7#19
Strength of schedule#10
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Florida State
2026 • ATS0–1
Picks on Florida State
9–7
Picks against
+0.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 17 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.