Team Pages/SEC/Florida
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SEC • 2026 SEASON

Florida

Record 41-21vs line 4–16 ATSLast L 2–10 vs TroyPostseason Regional
#9
BBMI rank
+2.38
Rating
+2.3
Run margin
#12
RPI

Next game

Game Picks →
Florida logo
Florida
#9 • +2.38 • SEC
SUN MAR 1 • 12:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Miami (FL)
#26 • +1.91 • home
Miami (FL) logo
—
Model run line
-1.5
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
UAB logovs UAB
W 11–0#787.0–5.764%
Feb 14
UAB logovs UAB
W 6–1#787.3–6.065%
Feb 17
Stetson logoat Stetson
W 12–2#1396.2–6.250%
Feb 18
Stetson logovs Stetson
W 9–3#1397.1–5.864%
Feb 20
Kennesaw State logovs Kennesaw State
W 9–3#1327.4–5.769%
Feb 21
Kennesaw State logovs Kennesaw State
W 11–0#1327.4–5.769%
Feb 22
Kennesaw State logovs Kennesaw State
W 12–9#1327.4–5.769%
Feb 24
F
vs FIU
W 17–11#1787.5–5.869%
Feb 25
F
vs FIU
W 11–4#1787.5–5.869%
Feb 27
Miami (FL) logoat Miami (FL)
W 7–2#266.1–6.743%
Feb 28
Miami (FL) logoat Miami (FL)
W 8–4#266.1–6.743%
Mar 1
Miami (FL) logoat Miami (FL)
—#26
Mar 3
F
vs FAU
W 4–0#1477.4–5.769%
Mar 4
Florida A&M logovs Florida A&M
W 7–5#1777.4–6.065%
Mar 6
High Point logovs High Point
L 2–7#507.0–6.260%
Mar 7
High Point logovs High Point
L 2–6#507.0–6.260%
Mar 8
High Point logovs High Point
W 12–11#507.0–6.260%
Mar 10
Florida State logovs Florida State
W 6–3#296.6–5.859%
Mar 13
South Carolina logovs South Carolina
W 1–0#736.7–5.366%
Mar 14
South Carolina logovs South Carolina
W 3–0#736.7–5.366%
Mar 15
South Carolina logovs South Carolina
W 13–3#736.7–5.366%
Mar 17
Stetson logovs Stetson
W 10–1#1397.1–5.864%
Mar 20
Alabama logoat Alabama
L 0–6#186.0–6.445%
Mar 21
Alabama logoat Alabama
L 4–8#185.9–6.247%
Mar 22
Alabama logoat Alabama
L 7–14#186.0–6.445%
Mar 24
Florida State logovs Florida State
W 5–0#296.3–5.460%
Mar 27
Arkansas logoat Arkansas
W 9–4#145.3–5.844%
Mar 28
Arkansas logoat Arkansas
W 7–4#145.3–5.645%
Mar 29
Arkansas logoat Arkansas
W 7–6#145.3–5.645%
Mar 31
Jacksonville logovs Jacksonville
L 3–4#1377.2–5.964%
Apr 2
Ole Miss logovs Ole Miss
L 4–6#157.1–6.260%
Apr 3
Ole Miss logovs Ole Miss
W 2–0#156.8–6.158%
Apr 4
Ole Miss logovs Ole Miss
L 2–5#156.7–5.960%
Apr 7
Florida State logoat Florida State
W 4–3#296.1–6.645%
Apr 10
Georgia logoat Georgia
W 8–2#36.6–7.243%
Apr 11
Georgia logoat Georgia
L 1–5#36.6–7.343%
Apr 12
Georgia logoat Georgia
W 13–7#36.8–7.345%
Apr 14
Bethune-Cookman logovs Bethune-Cookman
L 7–13#1497.5–6.659%
Apr 16
Auburn logovs Auburn
W 6–3#66.3–6.054%
Apr 17
Auburn logovs Auburn
L 3–5#66.6–6.056%
Apr 18
Auburn logovs Auburn
L 5–8#66.4–6.054%
Apr 21
Jacksonville logovs Jacksonville
L 5–7#1377.2–5.964%
Apr 24
Texas A&M logovs Texas A&M
W 9–2#106.9–6.456%
Apr 25
Texas A&M logovs Texas A&M
L 4–8#106.9–6.356%
Apr 26
Texas A&M logovs Texas A&M
L 1–5#106.9–6.356%
May 1
Oklahoma logoat Oklahoma
L 3–4#125.9–6.445%
May 2
Oklahoma logoat Oklahoma
W 10–5#125.9–6.445%
May 3
Oklahoma logoat Oklahoma
W 13–2#125.9–6.445%
May 5
North Florida logovs North Florida
W 11–1#1207.1–5.963%
May 8
Kentucky logovs Kentucky
W 7–6#216.7–6.059%
May 9
Kentucky logovs Kentucky
L 2–4#216.7–6.059%
May 10
Kentucky logovs Kentucky
W 9–6#216.7–6.059%
May 14
LSU logoat LSU
W 11–8#275.7–6.046%
May 15
LSU logoat LSU
W 11–1#275.7–6.046%
May 16
LSU logoat LSU
W 15–11#275.7–6.046%
May 20
Vanderbilt logovs Vanderbilt
W 8–3#286.5–5.759%
May 21
Alabama logoat Alabama
W 13–3#185.6–6.045%
May 23
Georgia logoat Georgia
L 7–8#35.8–6.838%
May 29
Rider logovs Rider
W 8–7#1727.0–5.764%
May 30
Miami (FL) logovs Miami (FL)
W 22–10#266.3–6.054%
May 31
Troy logovs Troy
L 11–16#426.5–5.660%
Jun 1
Troy logovs Troy
L 2–10#427.3–5.866%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#2#5#8#11#13
#9
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
1
Regional seed
8
National seed
Regional
Gainesville Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game7.4#61
Runs allowed per game5.1#34
Starter FIP3.22#15
Team OPS.879#53
Team wOBA.382#74
Run margin+2.3#28
Strength of schedule#5
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Florida

2026 • ATS
2–6
Picks on Florida
2–10
Picks against
-12.4u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 20 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.