Team Pages/Southern/East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State logo
SOUTHERN • 2026 SEASON

East Tennessee State

Record 30-23vs line 1–0 ATSLast L 5–6 vs UNCGPostseason did not qualify
#97
BBMI rank
+0.64
Rating
+2.0
Run margin
#104
RPI
Last updated: (data published)
U
UNCG
#163 • -0.36 • Southern
WED MAY 20 • 12:20 PM CT
6 – 5
final score
East Tennessee State
#97 • +0.64 • home
East Tennessee State logo
-4.5
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
66%
Win probability
East Tennessee State 66%UNCG 34%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 17
Virginia Tech logoat Virginia Tech
L 5–7#606.7–7.145%
Feb 25
Appalachian State logovs Appalachian State
L 5–8#1227.5–6.659%
Mar 3
Tennessee logoat Tennessee
L 1–7#165.9–6.741%
Mar 7
James Madison logoat James Madison
L 1–11#1415.7–5.848%
Mar 7
James Madison logoat James Madison
L 4–6#1416.0–6.149%
Mar 8
James Madison logoat James Madison
W 13–0#1416.2–6.349%
Mar 24
Virginia Tech logovs Virginia Tech
W 9–4#607.3–6.559%
Apr 14
Georgia logoat Georgia
L 10–12#37.1–8.239%
Apr 21
Appalachian State logoat Appalachian State
L 1–3#1226.8–7.246%
May 1
Connecticut logoat Connecticut
W 14–7#816.2–6.942%
May 2
Connecticut logoat Connecticut
W 6–1#816.2–6.942%
May 3
Connecticut logoat Connecticut
L 3–4#816.2–6.942%
May 20
U
vs UNCG
L 5–6#1637.5–5.966%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#90#100#110#120
#97
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game7.7#45
Runs allowed per game5.7#83
Starter FIP5.23#172
Team OPS.884#46
Team wOBA.385#64
Run margin+2.0#42
Strength of schedule#146
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on East Tennessee State

2026 • ATS
0–0
Picks on East Tennessee State
1–0
Picks against
+0.9u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 1 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.