AMERICAN • 2026 SEASON
East Carolina
#17
BBMI rank
+2.22
Rating
+2.4
Run margin
#36
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Campbell
TUE MAY 12 • 5:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
East Carolina
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
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Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs XavierL 3–9#1106.0–4.766%
vs XavierFeb 14vs XavierW 12–5#1106.3–4.966%
vs XavierFeb 17at CampbellL 1–2#496.4–7.142%
at CampbellFeb 18
vs Northern IllinoisW 11–5#1816.7–5.366%
vs Northern IllinoisFeb 20
vs North CarolinaL 0–10#55.9–5.654%
vs North CarolinaFeb 21at North CarolinaW 10–3#56.1–6.941%
at North CarolinaFeb 22at North CarolinaL 3–3#55.4–6.141%
at North CarolinaFeb 25
vs CharlestonW 8–7#1926.5–5.067%
vs CharlestonFeb 27
vs RutgersW 14–2#966.3–5.263%
vs RutgersFeb 28
vs TroyW 5–2#426.1–5.261%
vs TroyMar 1
vs Western CarolinaL 0–2#1036.4–5.363%
vs Western CarolinaMar 4W 5–3#614.3–4.548%
U
at UNCWMar 6
at Coastal CarolinaL 6–10#325.8–6.245%
at Coastal CarolinaMar 7at Coastal CarolinaL 1–7#325.8–6.245%
at Coastal CarolinaMar 8at Coastal CarolinaW 10–4#325.8–6.245%
at Coastal CarolinaMar 10
vs Old DominionW 11–0#1026.2–5.163%
vs Old DominionMar 11
at William & MaryW 24–3#1848.3–7.954%
at William & MaryMar 13W 17–3#1454.7–4.059%
P
vs PennMar 14L 0–1#1454.7–4.059%
P
vs PennMar 15W 8–7#1454.7–4.059%
P
vs PennMar 17
vs ElonW 4–3#1876.4–5.165%
vs ElonMar 20
vs UABW 3–2#786.5–5.562%
vs UABMar 21vs UABW 18–1#786.6–5.563%
vs UABMar 22vs UABL 4–11#786.8–5.664%
vs UABMar 24
at DukeL 8–9#576.3–6.350%
at DukeMar 27
at UTSAW 3–0#436.9–7.642%
at UTSAMar 28at UTSAL 1–6#436.7–7.145%
at UTSAMar 29at UTSAL 7–8#436.5–7.144%
at UTSAMar 31W 14–8#616.0–5.359%
U
vs UNCWApr 2
vs CharlotteW 12–2#636.7–5.860%
vs CharlotteApr 3vs CharlotteW 12–9#636.6–5.662%
vs CharlotteApr 4vs CharlotteW 15–5#636.8–5.663%
vs CharlotteApr 7vs DukeW 8–6#576.5–5.463%
vs DukeApr 10
at TulaneL 1–4#1196.0–5.950%
at TulaneApr 11at TulaneW 9–6#1196.0–5.950%
at TulaneApr 12at TulaneL 3–6#1195.7–5.750%
at TulaneApr 14L 3–10#626.5–5.760%
NCS
vs North Carolina StateApr 17
vs Wichita StateW 7–1#846.1–5.458%
vs Wichita StateApr 18vs Wichita StateW 7–1#846.2–5.360%
vs Wichita StateApr 19vs Wichita StateL 1–13#846.0–5.260%
vs Wichita StateApr 21at Old DominionW 19–9#1025.5–5.550%
at Old DominionApr 24
vs South FloridaW 11–1#1076.3–5.263%
vs South FloridaApr 25vs South FloridaW 12–4#1076.0–4.963%
vs South FloridaApr 26vs South FloridaW 12–4#1076.2–5.163%
vs South FloridaApr 28L 2–12#626.7–6.947%
NCS
at North Carolina StateMay 1
at MemphisW 12–0#1116.9–6.752%
at MemphisMay 2at MemphisL 3–5#1116.9–6.752%
at MemphisMay 3at MemphisL 4–9#1116.9–6.752%
at MemphisMay 8
vs RiceL 5–10#916.1–5.063%
vs RiceMay 9vs RiceL 3–5#916.1–5.063%
vs RiceMay 10vs RiceW 3–0#916.1–5.063%
vs RiceMay 12vs Campbell—#49
vs CampbellMay 14W 7–5#1476.4–6.055%
F
at FAUMay 15W 6–1#1476.4–6.055%
F
at FAUMay 16W 13–2#1476.4–6.055%
F
at FAUMay 22vs RiceW 4–3#916.4–5.363%
vs RiceMay 23at UTSAL 2–4#436.1–6.249%
at UTSAMay 23vs Wichita StateW 11–3#846.4–5.164%
vs Wichita StateMay 24vs UTSAW 1–0#436.1–6.348%
vs UTSAMay 29
vs TennesseeW 7–3#165.2–5.448%
vs TennesseeMay 30vs North CarolinaL 5–7#55.2–5.350%
vs North CarolinaMay 31
vs VCUW 10–0#535.5–5.353%
vs VCUMay 31at North CarolinaL 3–9#55.3–5.943%
at North CarolinaRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#15#20#25
#17
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
3
Regional seed
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National seed
Regional
Chapel Hill Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game7.1#88
Runs allowed per game4.7#15
Starter FIP2.96#7
Team OPS.844#96
Team wOBA.368#123
Run margin+2.4#26
Strength of schedule#33
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on East Carolina
2026 • ATS9–4
Picks on East Carolina
4–6
Picks against
+1.8u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 23 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.