ATLANTIC 10 • 2026 SEASON
Dayton
#152
BBMI rank
-0.15
Rating
+1.0
Run margin
#182
RPI
Next game
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Eastern Kentucky
SUN FEB 22 • 11:00 AM CT
not projected
projected runs
Dayton
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
at LipscombW 3–1#1896.8–7.147%
at LipscombFeb 15at LipscombL 6–9#1896.8–7.147%
at LipscombFeb 21vs Eastern KentuckyW 17–7#2678.0–6.268%
vs Eastern KentuckyFeb 21vs Eastern KentuckyW 12–9#2678.4–6.569%
vs Eastern KentuckyFeb 21vs Eastern KentuckyW 3–1#2678.7–6.869%
vs Eastern KentuckyFeb 22vs Eastern Kentucky—#267
vs Eastern KentuckyApr 21
vs BellarmineL 6–8#2768.5–7.065%
vs BellarmineMay 12
at Notre DameL 6–16#487.0–8.040%
at Notre DameRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#149#159#169#179#188
#153
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game8.5#17
Runs allowed per game7.4#221
Starter FIP4.19#77
Team OPS.931#12
Team wOBA.404#23
Run margin+1.0#91
Strength of schedule#256
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Dayton
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on Dayton
0–0
Picks against
—
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 0 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.