BIG EAST • 2026 SEASON
Connecticut
#81
BBMI rank
+0.84
Rating
+1.4
Run margin
#100
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Xavier
THU MAY 21 • 3:00 PM CT
5 – 1
final score
Connecticut
-4.5
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
65%
Win probability
Connecticut 65%Xavier 35%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
at Kansas StateL 3–7#687.0–7.248%
at Kansas StateFeb 15
vs Air ForceL 6–12#1337.0–6.259%
vs Air ForceFeb 17
at Arizona StateL 7–17#556.8–7.245%
at Arizona StateFeb 19
at ArizonaW 6–4#1016.2–6.348%
at ArizonaFeb 20at ArizonaW 4–0#1016.2–6.348%
at ArizonaFeb 21at ArizonaL 4–5#1016.2–6.348%
at ArizonaFeb 22at ArizonaW 11–2#1016.2–6.348%
at ArizonaFeb 27W 5–2#614.2–4.941%
U
at UNCWFeb 28L 1–2#614.2–4.941%
U
at UNCWMar 1L 2–7#614.2–4.941%
U
at UNCWMar 4
vs New HavenW 9–4#2938.6–5.679%
vs New HavenMar 6
at Old DominionW 4–2#1025.7–5.848%
at Old DominionMar 7at Old DominionW 14–3#1025.7–5.848%
at Old DominionMar 8at Old DominionL 5–6#1025.7–5.848%
at Old DominionMar 10
vs Boston CollegeL 19–26#346.9–6.456%
vs Boston CollegeMar 14
at PortlandW 8–5#1145.1–5.347%
at PortlandMar 14at PortlandL 6–8#1145.4–5.647%
at PortlandMar 15at PortlandL 3–5#1145.6–5.848%
at PortlandMar 17
at CaliforniaW 9–3#385.6–5.946%
at CaliforniaMar 18
at Santa ClaraW 12–5#1245.9–6.247%
at Santa ClaraMar 20
at San Jose StateL 6–16#2156.8–6.454%
at San Jose StateMar 21
at San Diego StateL 4–6#1586.8–6.949%
at San Diego StateMar 22vs San Diego StateW 7–5#1587.0–5.864%
vs San Diego StateMar 22at San Jose StateW 8–0#2156.9–6.257%
at San Jose StateMar 25
vs QuinnipiacL 3–8#2036.8–5.763%
vs QuinnipiacMar 27vs XavierW 3–1#1106.9–5.863%
vs XavierMar 28vs XavierW 8–0#1106.8–5.763%
vs XavierMar 29vs XavierL 1–6#1106.9–5.566%
vs XavierMar 31
at NortheasternW 21–5#586.2–6.942%
at NortheasternApr 2
vs CreightonL 1–3#857.0–6.259%
vs CreightonApr 3vs CreightonW 11–2#857.1–6.359%
vs CreightonApr 4vs CreightonW 11–9#857.3–6.162%
vs CreightonApr 7
at BryantW 6–2#1686.6–6.947%
at BryantApr 10
at ButlerL 4–5#2507.3–6.756%
at ButlerApr 11at ButlerW 3–1#2506.9–6.356%
at ButlerApr 12at ButlerW 13–0#2507.3–6.756%
at ButlerApr 15at Boston CollegeL 5–8#346.6–7.342%
at Boston CollegeApr 17L 0–4#1467.5–6.264%
SJ
vs Saint John'sApr 18L 5–6#1466.9–5.566%
SJ
vs Saint John'sApr 18W 10–0#1467.3–5.866%
SJ
vs Saint John'sApr 21
vs Rhode IslandW 9–5#1187.2–6.063%
vs Rhode IslandApr 24
at GeorgetownW 14–2#2026.8–6.849%
at GeorgetownApr 25at GeorgetownW 22–4#2026.4–6.549%
at GeorgetownApr 26at GeorgetownW 3–2#2026.4–6.549%
at GeorgetownApr 28
at RutgersW 5–4#966.0–6.148%
at RutgersMay 1
vs East Tennessee StateL 7–14#976.9–6.258%
vs East Tennessee StateMay 2vs East Tennessee StateL 1–6#976.9–6.258%
vs East Tennessee StateMay 3vs East Tennessee StateW 4–3#976.9–6.258%
vs East Tennessee StateMay 8
at Seton HallW 4–3#2375.6–5.453%
at Seton HallMay 9at Seton HallW 13–1#2375.6–5.453%
at Seton HallMay 10at Seton HallW 7–3#2375.6–5.453%
at Seton HallMay 12vs NortheasternL 6–10#586.9–6.456%
vs NortheasternMay 14
vs VillanovaW 6–5#2297.1–5.766%
vs VillanovaMay 15vs VillanovaW 8–0#2297.1–5.766%
vs VillanovaMay 16vs VillanovaL 6–9#2297.1–5.766%
vs VillanovaMay 21vs XavierL 1–5#1106.9–5.665%
vs XavierRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#70#80#90#100#110
#81
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.7#127
Runs allowed per game5.3#56
Starter FIP4.24#82
Team OPS.821#129
Team wOBA.361#148
Run margin+1.4#70
Strength of schedule#142
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Connecticut
2026 • ATS1–0
Picks on Connecticut
2–3
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.