Team Pages/Big 12/Cincinnati
Cincinnati logo
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON

Cincinnati

Record 38-22vs line 13–4 ATSLast L 6–8 at LouisianaPostseason Regional
#20
BBMI rank
+2.09
Rating
+1.9
Run margin
#23
RPI
Last updated: (data published)
Bowling Green logo
Bowling Green
#156 • -0.25 • Mid-American
TUE FEB 24 • 3:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Cincinnati
#20 • +2.09 • home
Cincinnati logo
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Model run line
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Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
W 6–5#665.5–5.846%
Feb 15
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
L 0–1#665.5–5.846%
Feb 17
Auburn logoat Auburn
W 8–0#65.8–6.740%
Feb 19
UAB logoat UAB
L 11–12#787.5–7.351%
Feb 20
UAB logoat UAB
L 3–8#787.5–7.351%
Feb 21
UAB logoat UAB
W 8–4#787.5–7.351%
Feb 22
UAB logoat UAB
W 8–6#787.5–7.351%
Feb 24
Bowling Green logovs Bowling Green
—#156
Feb 25
Bowling Green logovs Bowling Green
W 11–1#1567.3–5.866%
Feb 27
Austin Peay logovs Austin Peay
W 5–4#1547.5–6.264%
Feb 28
Austin Peay logovs Austin Peay
L 1–7#1547.0–5.764%
Feb 28
Austin Peay logovs Austin Peay
W 3–0#1547.3–6.064%
Mar 3
Western Kentucky logoat Western Kentucky
W 5–2#1366.2–5.953%
Mar 5
UC San Diego logovs UC San Diego
W 9–5#1287.3–6.064%
Mar 6
UC San Diego logovs UC San Diego
W 16–1#1286.8–5.664%
Mar 6
UC San Diego logovs UC San Diego
W 13–3#1287.1–5.964%
Mar 8
UC San Diego logovs UC San Diego
W 9–8#1287.3–6.064%
Mar 10
Evansville logovs Evansville
W 13–11#1955.0–4.360%
Mar 12
BYU logoat BYU
L 2–5#1176.8–6.652%
Mar 13
BYU logoat BYU
W 9–7#1176.8–6.652%
Mar 14
BYU logoat BYU
L 9–10#1176.8–6.652%
Mar 16
Utah Valley logoat Utah Valley
W 11–1#2198.7–8.155%
Mar 17
Utah Valley logoat Utah Valley
W 6–3#2198.7–8.155%
Mar 20
Utah logovs Utah
W 13–4#1277.7–6.464%
Mar 21
Utah logovs Utah
W 20–10#1277.3–6.064%
Mar 22
Utah logovs Utah
L 11–13#1277.3–6.164%
Mar 24
Xavier logoat Xavier
L 3–4#1107.4–7.054%
Mar 27
Kansas logovs Kansas
W 5–0#377.1–6.260%
Mar 28
Kansas logovs Kansas
L 2–8#376.7–5.960%
Mar 29
Kansas logovs Kansas
L 6–13#376.7–5.960%
Mar 31
Wright State logovs Wright State
W 8–5#1748.1–6.566%
Apr 3
Oklahoma State logoat Oklahoma State
L 9–12#677.3–7.251%
Apr 4
Oklahoma State logoat Oklahoma State
L 3–11#677.0–7.049%
Apr 5
Oklahoma State logoat Oklahoma State
L 4–10#677.0–7.149%
Apr 10
Baylor logovs Baylor
W 11–1#757.0–5.863%
Apr 11
Baylor logovs Baylor
W 8–0#756.9–5.863%
Apr 12
Baylor logovs Baylor
L 3–8#757.4–6.164%
Apr 14
Xavier logovs Xavier
W 15–5#1108.0–6.367%
Apr 17
UCF logoat UCF
L 1–7#355.7–6.145%
Apr 18
UCF logoat UCF
W 9–3#355.7–6.045%
Apr 19
UCF logoat UCF
W 11–9#355.7–6.045%
Apr 21
Wright State logoat Wright State
L 7–12#1747.2–6.953%
Apr 25
West Virginia logovs West Virginia
L 5–5#76.3–5.954%
Apr 25
West Virginia logovs West Virginia
L 5–9#76.0–5.655%
Apr 26
West Virginia logovs West Virginia
W 7–5#76.4–6.154%
May 2
Houston logoat Houston
W 3–2#696.3–6.349%
May 2
Houston logoat Houston
W 3–2#696.0–6.049%
May 3
Houston logoat Houston
W 4–3#696.5–6.550%
May 5
Oral Roberts logoat Oral Roberts
W 15–4#1716.0–5.851%
May 8
Kansas State logoat Kansas State
W 4–2#686.7–6.650%
May 9
Kansas State logoat Kansas State
W 5–3#686.7–6.650%
May 10
Kansas State logoat Kansas State
L 2–5#686.7–6.650%
May 14
Texas Tech logovs Texas Tech
W 13–1#1127.2–6.162%
May 15
Texas Tech logovs Texas Tech
L 5–6#1127.2–6.162%
May 15
Texas Tech logovs Texas Tech
W 8–7#1126.8–5.862%
May 21
Arizona State logoat Arizona State
L 2–10#556.3–6.449%
May 29
Louisiana logovs Louisiana
W 12–2#406.4–6.648%
May 30
Mississippi State logoat Mississippi State
L 5–10#116.3–6.844%
May 31
Louisiana logovs Louisiana
L 6–8#407.3–6.657%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#10#20#30
#19
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
2
Regional seed
—
National seed
Regional
Starkville Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game7.4#63
Runs allowed per game5.5#68
Starter FIP4.33#94
Team OPS.896#31
Team wOBA.389#51
Run margin+1.9#43
Strength of schedule#38
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Cincinnati

2026 • ATS
8–2
Picks on Cincinnati
5–2
Picks against
+7.8u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 17 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.