ACC • 2026 SEASON
California
#38
BBMI rank
+1.58
Rating
+0.1
Run margin
#60
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →California
SUN FEB 15 • 2:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Santa Clara
—
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14vs Santa ClaraW 5–4#1245.3–4.757%
vs Santa ClaraFeb 14vs Santa ClaraW 4–3#1245.5–5.057%
vs Santa ClaraFeb 15at Santa Clara—#124
at Santa ClaraFeb 16at Santa ClaraL 4–10#1245.7–6.243%
at Santa ClaraFeb 20
at UC IrvineL 3–5#995.6–6.243%
at UC IrvineFeb 21at UC IrvineW 11–2#995.6–6.243%
at UC IrvineFeb 22at UC IrvineW 4–2#995.6–6.243%
at UC IrvineFeb 24
vs UC Davis—#121
vs UC DavisFeb 25at UC DavisW 7–2#1214.8–5.047%
at UC DavisFeb 27
vs Sacramento StateW 5–4#1086.2–5.459%
vs Sacramento StateFeb 28at Sacramento StateW 8–2#1086.4–6.746%
at Sacramento StateMar 1vs Sacramento StateW 3–2#1086.2–5.459%
vs Sacramento StateMar 4
vs Cal State BakersfieldW 15–6#2576.8–5.467%
vs Cal State BakersfieldMar 6
vs San DiegoW 11–1#1906.2–5.360%
vs San DiegoMar 7vs San DiegoW 15–9#1905.8–4.960%
vs San DiegoMar 7vs San DiegoW 9–1#1906.0–5.260%
vs San DiegoMar 8vs San DiegoW 5–2#1906.2–5.360%
vs San DiegoMar 10
at San Jose StateL 2–3#2156.4–6.252%
at San Jose StateMar 13
vs North CarolinaL 1–8#55.4–5.549%
vs North CarolinaMar 14vs North CarolinaL 2–6#55.4–5.549%
vs North CarolinaMar 15vs North CarolinaL 2–10#55.4–5.549%
vs North CarolinaMar 17L 3–9#815.9–5.654%
C
vs ConnecticutMar 20
at Boston CollegeL 3–4#346.1–7.040%
at Boston CollegeMar 21at Boston CollegeL 6–9#345.7–6.541%
at Boston CollegeMar 22at Boston CollegeL 2–3#346.0–6.940%
at Boston CollegeMar 28
at Wake ForestW 5–4#135.7–7.036%
at Wake ForestMar 28at Wake ForestL 1–4#135.4–6.736%
at Wake ForestMar 29at Wake ForestW 5–3#135.9–7.236%
at Wake ForestMar 31—#151
SMC
vs Saint Mary's CollegeApr 2
vs Georgia TechL 2–17#15.9–6.246%
vs Georgia TechApr 3vs Georgia TechL 2–7#16.0–6.348%
vs Georgia TechApr 4vs Georgia TechL 3–9#15.9–6.346%
vs Georgia TechApr 6
at San FranciscoW 8–0#1995.0–5.050%
at San FranciscoApr 10
at PittsburghW 12–1#336.3–7.142%
at PittsburghApr 11at PittsburghW 14–6#336.2–6.942%
at PittsburghApr 12at PittsburghW 13–2#336.2–6.942%
at PittsburghApr 15vs San Jose StateL 7–10#2156.8–5.465%
vs San Jose StateApr 17
vs LouisvilleW 8–5#456.5–6.056%
vs LouisvilleApr 18vs LouisvilleW 6–5#456.1–5.755%
vs LouisvilleApr 19vs LouisvilleL 5–8#456.0–5.755%
vs LouisvilleApr 22vs San FranciscoW 4–3#1996.3–5.263%
vs San FranciscoApr 24
at Miami (FL)W 9–2#266.1–7.436%
at Miami (FL)Apr 25at Miami (FL)L 3–4#265.8–7.037%
at Miami (FL)Apr 26at Miami (FL)L 1–4#265.8–7.037%
at Miami (FL)Apr 28W 6–5#1516.3–6.449%
SMC
at Saint Mary's CollegeApr 29vs UC DavisL 1–6#1215.9–5.160%
vs UC DavisMay 1
vs Virginia TechL 1–9#605.8–5.357%
vs Virginia TechMay 2vs Virginia TechL 2–6#605.8–5.357%
vs Virginia TechMay 3vs Virginia TechW 9–4#605.8–5.357%
vs Virginia TechMay 5
at PacificW 2–1#2246.1–6.249%
at PacificMay 8
at VirginiaW 7–4#256.4–7.538%
at VirginiaMay 9at VirginiaL 1–2#256.4–7.538%
at VirginiaMay 10at VirginiaW 8–7#256.4–7.538%
at VirginiaMay 14
vs StanfordL 6–7#935.8–5.158%
vs StanfordMay 15vs StanfordW 4–3#935.8–5.158%
vs StanfordMay 16vs StanfordW 2–1#935.8–5.158%
vs StanfordMay 19at StanfordL 4–11#936.0–6.247%
at StanfordRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#34#54#74#94#113
#41
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game5.3#269
Runs allowed per game5.2#46
Starter FIP3.77#46
Team OPS.792#186
Team wOBA.347#204
Run margin+0.1#148
Strength of schedule#36
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on California
2026 • ATS2–5
Picks on California
3–7
Picks against
-7.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 17 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.