Team Pages/Big West/Cal Poly
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BIG WEST • 2026 SEASON

Cal Poly

Record 39-24vs line 14–17 ATSLast L 1–17 vs West VirginiaPostseason Super regional
#90
BBMI rank
+0.74
Rating
+1.0
Run margin
#62
RPI

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Cal Poly logo
Cal Poly
#90 • +0.74 • Big West
TUE FEB 17 • 3:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
San Jose State
#215 • -1.06 • home
San Jose State logo
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
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Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Campbell logoat Campbell
W 16–5#495.7–6.639%
Feb 14
Campbell logoat Campbell
W 4–3#496.0–7.039%
Feb 17
San Jose State logoat San Jose State
—#215
Feb 20
Washington State logovs Washington State
W 9–0#1357.2–5.964%
Feb 21
Washington State logovs Washington State
W 3–2#1357.2–5.964%
Feb 22
Washington State logovs Washington State
L 3–8#1357.2–5.964%
Feb 23
Washington State logovs Washington State
L 4–5#1357.2–5.964%
Feb 26
USC logovs USC
L 0–4#246.5–6.155%
Feb 27
USC logovs USC
L 0–6#246.5–6.155%
Feb 28
USC logovs USC
L 2–16#246.5–6.155%
Mar 1
USC logovs USC
L 6–8#246.5–6.155%
Mar 3
Pepperdine logovs Pepperdine
W 12–2#1766.8–5.465%
Mar 6
Hawaii logoat Hawaii
W 6–2#774.8–5.343%
Mar 7
Hawaii logoat Hawaii
W 10–7#774.8–5.343%
Mar 8
Hawaii logoat Hawaii
W 7–3#774.8–5.343%
Mar 10
Fresno State logovs Fresno State
W 13–3#2737.7–5.771%
Mar 13
Cal State Bakersfield logovs Cal State Bakersfield
W 8–4#2577.4–5.669%
Mar 14
Cal State Bakersfield logovs Cal State Bakersfield
W 6–2#2577.4–5.669%
Mar 15
Cal State Bakersfield logovs Cal State Bakersfield
W 6–3#2577.4–5.669%
Mar 21
UC Davis logovs UC Davis
W 12–11#1216.7–5.663%
Mar 22
UC Davis logovs UC Davis
W 5–4#1217.0–5.863%
Mar 23
UC Davis logovs UC Davis
L 2–8#1216.5–5.463%
Mar 25
L
at Loyola-Marymount
L 7–8#2856.2–6.348%
Mar 27
UC Riverside logoat UC Riverside
W 22–4#2537.1–6.260%
Mar 28
UC Riverside logoat UC Riverside
L 4–10#2537.2–6.260%
Mar 29
UC Riverside logoat UC Riverside
W 12–8#2537.2–6.458%
Mar 31
Fresno State logoat Fresno State
W 10–4#2737.8–6.859%
Apr 2
UC Santa Barbara logovs UC Santa Barbara
L 0–6#305.8–5.554%
Apr 3
UC Santa Barbara logovs UC Santa Barbara
L 2–4#306.2–5.954%
Apr 4
UC Santa Barbara logovs UC Santa Barbara
L 4–12#306.2–6.152%
Apr 7
San Jose State logovs San Jose State
W 11–4#2157.7–6.068%
Apr 10
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 3–6#416.0–6.841%
Apr 11
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 6–11#416.0–6.841%
Apr 12
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 2–3#416.1–7.039%
Apr 14
Pepperdine logovs Pepperdine
W 7–3#1767.0–5.665%
Apr 17
UC San Diego logoat UC San Diego
W 11–3#1286.8–7.047%
Apr 18
UC San Diego logoat UC San Diego
W 5–3#1286.5–6.747%
Apr 19
UC San Diego logoat UC San Diego
L 15–16#1286.5–6.747%
Apr 21
Pepperdine logoat Pepperdine
L 3–6#1766.0–5.852%
Apr 24
Cal State Northridge logovs Cal State Northridge
W 8–5#1857.2–5.865%
Apr 25
Cal State Northridge logovs Cal State Northridge
W 5–4#1856.9–5.665%
Apr 26
Cal State Northridge logovs Cal State Northridge
W 5–2#1856.9–5.665%
Apr 28
Santa Clara logovs Santa Clara
W 7–0#1246.4–5.659%
May 1
UC Irvine logoat UC Irvine
L 4–11#995.5–5.945%
May 2
UC Irvine logoat UC Irvine
W 11–2#995.5–5.945%
May 3
UC Irvine logoat UC Irvine
W 8–6#995.5–5.945%
May 5
Santa Clara logoat Santa Clara
L 4–11#1245.8–6.245%
May 8
Cal State Fullerton logoat Cal State Fullerton
L 3–4#865.1–5.446%
May 9
Cal State Fullerton logoat Cal State Fullerton
W 7–6#865.1–5.446%
May 10
Cal State Fullerton logoat Cal State Fullerton
W 6–2#865.1–5.446%
May 12
Fresno State logoat Fresno State
W 15–10#2737.6–6.759%
May 14
Long Beach State logovs Long Beach State
W 11–3#2136.8–5.169%
May 15
Long Beach State logovs Long Beach State
W 6–2#2136.8–5.169%
May 16
Long Beach State logovs Long Beach State
W 8–3#2136.8–5.169%
May 21
UC San Diego logovs UC San Diego
W 1–0#1286.5–5.562%
May 22
UC Santa Barbara logoat UC Santa Barbara
W 4–2#304.6–6.033%
May 23
UC San Diego logovs UC San Diego
W 12–2#1286.4–5.462%
May 24
UC San Diego logovs UC San Diego
W 4–3#1286.6–5.760%
May 29
Virginia Tech logovs Virginia Tech
W 6–2#606.0–6.049%
May 30
SMC
vs Saint Mary's College
W 14–1#1515.8–5.554%
May 31
SMC
vs Saint Mary's College
L 2–5#1515.8–5.554%
Jun 5
West Virginia logoat West Virginia
L 2–12#75.1–5.940%
Jun 6
West Virginia logovs West Virginia
L 1–17#74.8–5.839%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#34#52#70#88#106
#90
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
3
Regional seed
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National seed
Super regional
Los Angeles Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game6.5#153
Runs allowed per game5.5#72
Starter FIP4.11#71
Team OPS.841#99
Team wOBA.365#133
Run margin+1.0#88
Strength of schedule#107
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Cal Poly

2026 • ATS
8–11
Picks on Cal Poly
6–6
Picks against
-4.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 31 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.