BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON
Baylor
#75
BBMI rank
+0.93
Rating
-0.2
Run margin
#66
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →Baylor
THU MAY 21 • 3:25 PM CT
7 – 8
final score
Kansas
+4.5
Model run line
+2.5
Market run line
-2.0
Edge · ATS
36%
Win probability
Baylor 36%Kansas 64%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs New Mexico StateW 5–2#2457.3–5.668%
vs New Mexico StateFeb 15vs New Mexico StateW 7–3#2457.3–5.668%
vs New Mexico StateFeb 17
vs Texas StateW 14–4#926.4–5.758%
vs Texas StateFeb 20
vs Oregon StateL 1–3#416.7–6.553%
vs Oregon StateFeb 21
at PurdueL 5–6#546.3–7.141%
at PurdueFeb 22
vs Southern MissL 1–5#446.6–6.354%
vs Southern MissFeb 24
vs Stephen F. AustinW 9–8#2176.8–5.663%
vs Stephen F. AustinFeb 27
at Ole MissW 6–5#155.7–6.838%
at Ole MissFeb 28
at TexasL 2–5#25.7–7.233%
at TexasMar 1L 6–11#436.9–6.852%
U
vs UTSAMar 3
at Tarleton StateL 5–6#1166.8–7.146%
at Tarleton StateMar 6
vs Air ForceW 7–0#1336.6–6.156%
vs Air ForceMar 8vs Air ForceW 5–4#1336.1–5.656%
vs Air ForceMar 8vs Air ForceW 6–1#1336.4–5.956%
vs Air ForceMar 10
vs Sam Houston StateW 13–5#1806.5–5.463%
vs Sam Houston StateMar 13
vs West VirginiaW 7–6#75.6–5.848%
vs West VirginiaMar 14vs West VirginiaL 2–13#75.6–5.848%
vs West VirginiaMar 15vs West VirginiaL 0–8#75.6–5.848%
vs West VirginiaMar 17
vs Kansas StateL 3–13#686.4–5.857%
vs Kansas StateMar 20
at Oklahoma StateW 6–4#676.9–7.445%
at Oklahoma StateMar 21at Oklahoma StateL 3–5#677.0–7.445%
at Oklahoma StateMar 22at Oklahoma StateL 6–13#676.8–7.642%
at Oklahoma StateMar 24
vs Incarnate WordW 16–7#2407.7–6.166%
vs Incarnate WordMar 27
at HoustonW 6–2#696.5–7.143%
at HoustonMar 28at HoustonW 10–3#696.2–6.744%
at HoustonMar 29at HoustonW 14–7#696.2–6.942%
at HoustonMar 31vs Tarleton StateL 1–5#1166.7–5.959%
vs Tarleton StateApr 2
vs BYUW 12–5#1176.7–5.861%
vs BYUApr 3vs BYUL 4–10#1176.7–5.859%
vs BYUApr 4vs BYUW 3–1#1176.6–5.959%
vs BYUApr 7W 5–2#1796.6–6.748%
U
at UTAApr 10
at CincinnatiL 1–11#205.8–7.037%
at CincinnatiApr 11at CincinnatiL 0–8#205.8–6.937%
at CincinnatiApr 12at CincinnatiW 8–3#206.1–7.436%
at CincinnatiApr 14W 10–9#436.7–6.552%
U
vs UTSAApr 17
vs TCUW 11–4#476.6–6.057%
vs TCUApr 19vs TCUL 4–5#475.8–5.455%
vs TCUApr 19vs TCUL 4–5#475.5–5.155%
vs TCUApr 21at Sam Houston StateL 5–7#1806.0–6.051%
at Sam Houston StateApr 24
at Arizona StateL 2–11#556.5–7.341%
at Arizona StateApr 25at Arizona StateL 2–4#556.5–7.342%
at Arizona StateApr 26at Arizona StateL 4–11#556.4–7.242%
at Arizona StateApr 28W 6–2#1796.3–5.559%
U
vs UTAMay 2
vs Texas TechW 8–1#1126.3–5.856%
vs Texas TechMay 2vs Texas TechW 8–1#1126.0–5.556%
vs Texas TechMay 3vs Texas TechL 3–8#1126.4–5.956%
vs Texas TechMay 5at Texas StateL 6–9#926.6–7.145%
at Texas StateMay 8
vs UCFL 0–8#355.8–5.553%
vs UCFMay 9vs UCFL 3–19#355.8–5.553%
vs UCFMay 10vs UCFW 8–7#355.8–5.553%
vs UCFMay 14
at UtahL 7–8#1275.5–6.045%
at UtahMay 15at UtahW 10–3#1275.5–6.045%
at UtahMay 16at UtahW 11–10#1275.5–6.045%
at UtahMay 20vs BYUW 13–9#1176.7–5.959%
vs BYUMay 21at KansasL 7–8#375.5–6.836%
at KansasRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#37#48#59#70#79
#75
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.2#186
Runs allowed per game6.4#136
Starter FIP5.69#193
Team OPS.814#139
Team wOBA.358#158
Run margin-0.2#170
Strength of schedule#28
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Baylor
2026 • ATS7–4
Picks on Baylor
1–2
Picks against
+1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 14 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.