SEC • 2026 SEASON
Auburn
#6
BBMI rank
+2.68
Rating
+2.9
Run margin
#8
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Auburn
SAT JUN 6 • 4:00 PM CT
3 – 5
final score
Ole Miss
-2.5
Model run line
-1.5
Market run line
+1.0
Edge
56%
Win probability
Auburn 56%Ole Miss 44%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs Youngstown StateW 2–1#2967.6–4.879%
vs Youngstown StateFeb 14vs Youngstown StateW 17–2#2968.0–5.179%
vs Youngstown StateFeb 17
vs CincinnatiL 0–8#206.7–5.860%
vs CincinnatiFeb 20
at Kansas StateW 5–1#686.1–5.853%
at Kansas StateFeb 21
vs Florida StateW 8–5#296.0–5.161%
vs Florida StateFeb 22
at LouisvilleW 10–6#456.0–6.050%
at LouisvilleFeb 25
vs West GeorgiaW 4–3#2598.2–5.477%
vs West GeorgiaFeb 27
vs NebraskaL 8–9#196.6–5.760%
vs NebraskaFeb 28vs NebraskaW 15–4#196.6–5.760%
vs NebraskaMar 1vs NebraskaW 12–3#196.6–5.760%
vs NebraskaMar 3
vs SamfordW 6–2#877.3–5.767%
vs SamfordMar 6
vs WinthropW 10–0#1097.1–5.864%
vs WinthropMar 7vs WinthropW 6–0#1096.6–5.464%
vs WinthropMar 7vs WinthropW 8–1#1096.9–5.664%
vs WinthropMar 10
vs UABW 17–2#787.5–5.967%
vs UABMar 13
at MissouriW 2–0#565.9–5.751%
at MissouriMar 14at MissouriW 4–3#565.4–5.351%
at MissouriMar 14at MissouriW 9–2#565.7–5.651%
at MissouriMar 17
vs Georgia TechW 9–2#16.7–6.454%
vs Georgia TechMar 20
vs TexasW 4–3#26.4–6.154%
vs TexasMar 21vs TexasL 6–7#27.0–6.556%
vs TexasMar 22vs TexasL 0–5#26.7–6.057%
vs TexasMar 24
vs South AlabamaW 10–0#646.9–5.764%
vs South AlabamaMar 27
at AlabamaL 1–11#186.0–6.446%
at AlabamaMar 28at AlabamaL 2–3#185.8–5.948%
at AlabamaMar 29at AlabamaL 1–3#185.6–5.848%
at AlabamaMar 31at Georgia TechL 3–13#17.2–8.240%
at Georgia TechApr 2
vs ArkansasW 10–2#147.0–6.259%
vs ArkansasApr 3vs ArkansasL 2–3#146.7–5.860%
vs ArkansasApr 4vs ArkansasW 8–3#147.1–6.062%
vs ArkansasApr 7
vs Jacksonville StateL 4–15#666.8–5.762%
vs Jacksonville StateApr 10
vs KentuckyW 12–5#217.1–6.161%
vs KentuckyApr 11vs KentuckyL 4–5#216.8–5.861%
vs KentuckyApr 12vs KentuckyW 11–0#216.8–5.861%
vs KentuckyApr 14
vs Alabama StateW 13–0#2608.4–6.074%
vs Alabama StateApr 16
at FloridaL 3–6#96.0–6.346%
at FloridaApr 17at FloridaW 5–3#96.0–6.644%
at FloridaApr 18at FloridaW 8–5#96.0–6.446%
at FloridaApr 21at SamfordW 14–2#877.0–6.455%
at SamfordApr 24
vs OklahomaW 6–4#127.0–6.061%
vs OklahomaApr 25vs OklahomaL 1–2#126.6–5.761%
vs OklahomaApr 26vs OklahomaW 14–4#126.6–5.761%
vs OklahomaMay 2
at Texas A&MW 18–5#105.9–6.345%
at Texas A&MMay 2at Texas A&MW 18–5#105.6–6.045%
at Texas A&MMay 3at Texas A&ML 3–4#106.0–6.445%
at Texas A&MMay 5at UABW 10–2#787.3–6.954%
at UABMay 7
at Mississippi StateL 3–10#116.5–6.945%
at Mississippi StateMay 8at Mississippi StateW 5–4#116.5–6.945%
at Mississippi StateMay 9at Mississippi StateW 13–2#116.5–6.945%
at Mississippi StateMay 12at Jacksonville StateL 1–4#665.3–5.449%
at Jacksonville StateMay 14
vs GeorgiaL 1–2#36.8–6.059%
vs GeorgiaMay 15vs GeorgiaL 7–9#36.8–6.059%
vs GeorgiaMay 16vs GeorgiaW 14–4#36.8–6.059%
vs GeorgiaMay 20
vs LSUW 3–1#276.6–5.563%
vs LSUMay 22at Texas A&MW 7–0#106.0–6.347%
at Texas A&MMay 23vs ArkansasL 1–2#146.0–5.458%
vs ArkansasMay 29
vs MilwaukeeL 8–13#2557.2–5.371%
vs MilwaukeeMay 30W 17–13#626.1–6.347%
NCS
at North Carolina StateMay 31
vs UCFW 9–3#356.6–5.464%
vs UCFJun 1vs MilwaukeeW 8–3#2557.7–5.671%
vs MilwaukeeJun 5vs Ole MissL 4–6#15
vs Ole MissJun 6vs Ole MissL 3–5#156.1–5.556%
vs Ole MissRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#2#4#6#8
#6
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
1
Regional seed
4
National seed
Super regional
Auburn Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.9#106
Runs allowed per game4.0#4
Starter FIP3.31#21
Team OPS.867#64
Team wOBA.379#83
Run margin+2.9#15
Strength of schedule#1
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Auburn
2026 • ATS11–3
Picks on Auburn
6–5
Picks against
+7.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 25 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.