SUN BELT • 2026 SEASON
Arkansas State
#59
BBMI rank
+1.18
Rating
+1.9
Run margin
#58
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Arkansas State
TUE MAR 17 • 3:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Missouri State
—
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 15
vs Stony BrookW 12–5#1387.0–6.259%
vs Stony BrookFeb 17
at Ole MissL 6–7#156.1–7.138%
at Ole MissFeb 20
vs Eastern IllinoisL 2–3#1647.5–6.462%
vs Eastern IllinoisFeb 21vs Eastern IllinoisW 11–3#1647.5–6.462%
vs Eastern IllinoisFeb 22vs Eastern IllinoisW 9–2#1647.5–6.462%
vs Eastern IllinoisFeb 24
at ArkansasW 12–4#145.2–6.139%
at ArkansasFeb 25at ArkansasL 0–1#145.2–6.139%
at ArkansasFeb 27
vs Arkansas-Pine BluffW 11–3#2314.7–3.961%
vs Arkansas-Pine BluffFeb 28vs Arkansas-Pine BluffW 10–0#2314.7–3.961%
vs Arkansas-Pine BluffMar 1vs Arkansas-Pine BluffW 7–2#2314.7–3.961%
vs Arkansas-Pine BluffMar 3
at Louisiana TechW 10–2#525.3–5.843%
at Louisiana TechMar 4at Louisiana TechW 8–2#525.3–5.843%
at Louisiana TechMar 7
at Oral RobertsL 2–3#1715.0–5.346%
at Oral RobertsMar 7at Oral RobertsL 3–4#1715.2–5.546%
at Oral RobertsMar 8at Oral RobertsW 7–0#1715.4–5.746%
at Oral RobertsMar 10
at Little RockW 12–5#896.0–6.346%
at Little RockMar 13
vs Southern MissW 8–5#446.4–6.055%
vs Southern MissMar 14vs Southern MissL 1–7#446.4–6.055%
vs Southern MissMar 15vs Southern MissW 5–2#446.4–6.055%
vs Southern MissMar 17at Missouri State—#72
at Missouri StateMar 20
at Georgia StateL 2–5#1537.0–7.050%
at Georgia StateMar 21at Georgia StateW 13–5#1537.0–7.050%
at Georgia StateMar 22at Georgia StateL 5–9#1537.0–7.050%
at Georgia StateMar 27
vs James MadisonW 11–9#1417.3–6.460%
vs James MadisonMar 28vs James MadisonL 10–11#1416.9–6.160%
vs James MadisonMar 29vs James MadisonW 2–1#1416.9–6.160%
vs James MadisonMar 31
at MemphisL 9–11#1117.2–7.447%
at MemphisApr 2
at TroyL 4–6#426.8–7.741%
at TroyApr 3at TroyW 6–4#426.5–7.243%
at TroyApr 4at TroyL 4–6#426.8–7.641%
at TroyApr 7vs MemphisW 12–2#1117.5–6.461%
vs MemphisApr 10
vs Coastal CarolinaL 7–10#327.0–6.654%
vs Coastal CarolinaApr 11vs Coastal CarolinaL 3–4#327.0–6.654%
vs Coastal CarolinaApr 12vs Coastal CarolinaW 6–3#326.8–6.454%
vs Coastal CarolinaApr 14
at Southern IllinoisW 11–5#2477.1–6.852%
at Southern IllinoisApr 17W 3–2#1425.5–6.044%
U
at ULMApr 18L 2–3#1425.3–5.745%
U
at ULMApr 19W 4–1#1425.1–5.545%
U
at ULMApr 21
vs Central ArkansasW 20–10#2257.5–6.066%
vs Central ArkansasApr 24
vs LouisianaL 2–3#406.7–6.355%
vs LouisianaApr 25vs LouisianaL 5–11#406.4–6.055%
vs LouisianaApr 26vs LouisianaW 8–3#406.4–6.055%
vs LouisianaApr 28vs Little Rock—#89
vs Little RockMay 1
at Old DominionL 0–8#1025.3–5.745%
at Old DominionMay 1at Old DominionL 0–8#1025.0–5.445%
at Old DominionMay 3at Old DominionL 4–5#1025.5–5.846%
at Old DominionMay 5at Little RockW 12–0#896.0–6.346%
at Little RockMay 8
vs Texas StateL 2–6#927.0–6.160%
vs Texas StateMay 9vs Texas StateL 3–8#927.0–6.160%
vs Texas StateMay 10vs Texas StateL 9–15#927.0–6.160%
vs Texas StateMay 12at Arkansas-Pine Bluff—#231
at Arkansas-Pine BluffMay 14
at South AlabamaW 10–0#645.5–6.142%
at South AlabamaMay 15at South AlabamaL 2–7#645.5–6.142%
at South AlabamaMay 16at South AlabamaL 2–6#645.5–6.142%
at South AlabamaRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#29#39#49#59#69#70
#58
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.6#139
Runs allowed per game4.7#16
Starter FIP4.70#123
Team OPS.806#158
Team wOBA.369#118
Run margin+1.9#46
Strength of schedule#52
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Arkansas State
2026 • ATS3–3
Picks on Arkansas State
3–2
Picks against
+0.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 11 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.