SEC • 2026 SEASON
Arkansas
#14
BBMI rank
+2.27
Rating
+2.0
Run margin
#21
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Northwestern State
TUE APR 28 • 6:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Arkansas
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
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Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
at TCUL 4–5#475.7–5.947%
at TCUFeb 15
vs Texas TechW 6–5#1126.7–5.761%
vs Texas TechFeb 16
at Tarleton StateW 3–1#1166.3–6.152%
at Tarleton StateFeb 20
vs XavierW 5–2#1106.5–5.265%
vs XavierFeb 21vs XavierW 7–6#1106.5–5.265%
vs XavierFeb 22vs XavierW 11–0#1106.5–5.265%
vs XavierFeb 24
vs Arkansas StateL 4–12#596.1–5.261%
vs Arkansas StateFeb 25vs Arkansas StateW 1–0#596.1–5.261%
vs Arkansas StateFeb 27L 3–4#1794.9–4.061%
U
vs UTAFeb 28W 9–0#1794.9–4.061%
U
vs UTAMar 1W 11–1#1794.9–4.061%
U
vs UTAMar 3
vs Oral RobertsW 10–2#1716.4–5.263%
vs Oral RobertsMar 6
vs StetsonW 7–1#1396.3–5.262%
vs StetsonMar 7vs StetsonW 13–1#1396.3–5.262%
vs StetsonMar 8vs StetsonL 1–4#1396.3–5.262%
vs StetsonMar 9vs StetsonL 4–6#1396.3–5.262%
vs StetsonMar 13
vs Mississippi StateW 5–4#115.9–5.455%
vs Mississippi StateMar 14vs Mississippi StateL 2–7#115.4–5.056%
vs Mississippi StateMar 14vs Mississippi StateW 7–3#115.7–5.356%
vs Mississippi StateMar 17
vs Northern ColoradoW 13–2#2987.5–5.274%
vs Northern ColoradoMar 18vs Northern ColoradoW 9–4#2987.5–5.274%
vs Northern ColoradoMar 20
at South CarolinaW 22–6#735.5–5.351%
at South CarolinaMar 21at South CarolinaW 3–2#735.6–5.650%
at South CarolinaMar 22at South CarolinaL 4–9#735.6–5.650%
at South CarolinaMar 24
vs Central ArkansasW 15–2#2257.2–5.569%
vs Central ArkansasMar 27
vs FloridaL 4–9#95.8–5.356%
vs FloridaMar 28vs FloridaL 4–7#95.6–5.355%
vs FloridaMar 29vs FloridaL 6–7#95.6–5.355%
vs FloridaMar 31
at Missouri StateL 14–15#727.8–7.751%
at Missouri StateApr 2
at AuburnL 2–10#66.2–7.041%
at AuburnApr 3at AuburnW 3–2#65.8–6.740%
at AuburnApr 4at AuburnL 3–8#66.0–7.138%
at AuburnApr 7
vs Little RockW 7–0#896.5–5.363%
vs Little RockApr 10
at AlabamaW 7–5#185.8–6.245%
at AlabamaApr 11at AlabamaW 15–6#185.8–6.345%
at AlabamaApr 12at AlabamaW 3–2#185.8–6.443%
at AlabamaApr 14
vs Arkansas-Pine BluffW 12–2#2317.3–5.866%
vs Arkansas-Pine BluffApr 16
vs GeorgiaW 6–3#36.5–6.056%
vs GeorgiaApr 17vs GeorgiaL 3–5#36.4–6.054%
vs GeorgiaApr 18vs GeorgiaL 14–26#36.1–5.656%
vs GeorgiaApr 21vs Missouri StateW 12–4#726.8–5.762%
vs Missouri StateApr 23
at MissouriW 5–4#566.3–6.448%
at MissouriApr 24at MissouriW 6–0#566.2–6.348%
at MissouriApr 25at MissouriL 1–6#565.9–6.048%
at MissouriApr 28vs Northwestern State—#173
vs Northwestern StateApr 29vs Northwestern StateW 5–2#1736.4–5.066%
vs Northwestern StateMay 1
vs Ole MissW 12–2#155.7–5.257%
vs Ole MissMay 2vs Ole MissL 4–11#155.7–5.257%
vs Ole MissMay 3vs Ole MissW 5–4#155.7–5.257%
vs Ole MissMay 8
vs OklahomaW 12–2#125.9–5.357%
vs OklahomaMay 9vs OklahomaW 12–8#125.9–5.357%
vs OklahomaMay 10vs OklahomaL 10–15#125.9–5.357%
vs OklahomaMay 14
at KentuckyL 3–4#215.6–6.044%
at KentuckyMay 15at KentuckyW 5–4#215.6–6.144%
at KentuckyMay 16at KentuckyW 16–12#215.6–6.144%
at KentuckyMay 20
vs TennesseeW 8–4#166.3–5.757%
vs TennesseeMay 22
at TexasW 8–1#25.2–6.634%
at TexasMay 23at AuburnW 2–1#65.4–6.042%
at AuburnMay 24vs GeorgiaL 1–11#36.1–6.447%
vs GeorgiaMay 29vs Missouri StateW 9–5#727.2–6.656%
vs Missouri StateMay 30
at KansasL 3–5#375.9–6.443%
at KansasMay 31
vs NortheasternW 10–9#586.4–6.647%
vs NortheasternMay 31vs KansasL 10–13#376.9–6.259%
vs KansasRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#10#15#20#25#30
#13
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
2
Regional seed
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National seed
Regional
Lawrence Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game7.2#78
Runs allowed per game5.2#43
Starter FIP3.22#16
Team OPS.863#71
Team wOBA.377#93
Run margin+2.0#38
Strength of schedule#11
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Arkansas
2026 • ATS3–3
Picks on Arkansas
9–3
Picks against
+4.9u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 18 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.