BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON
Arizona State
#55
BBMI rank
+1.25
Rating
+2.7
Run margin
#42
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Arizona State
TUE MAY 5 • 6:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Missouri
—
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs OmahaW 11–5#2447.8–6.663%
vs OmahaFeb 15vs OmahaW 6–4#2447.8–6.663%
vs OmahaFeb 17
vs ConnecticutW 17–7#817.2–6.855%
vs ConnecticutFeb 20W 9–1#1467.8–6.563%
SJ
vs Saint John'sFeb 21W 3–1#1467.8–6.563%
SJ
vs Saint John'sFeb 22W 16–6#1467.8–6.563%
SJ
vs Saint John'sFeb 24
at OklahomaW 15–3#126.2–7.040%
at OklahomaFeb 25at OklahomaL 3–4#126.2–7.040%
at OklahomaFeb 27
at Mississippi StateL 4–8#115.7–6.739%
at Mississippi StateFeb 28
vs TennesseeL 3–5#166.2–5.954%
vs TennesseeMar 1
at Texas A&ML 3–9#105.9–6.839%
at Texas A&MMar 6W 12–4#2855.1–4.361%
L
vs Loyola-MarymountMar 7W 9–1#2855.1–4.361%
L
vs Loyola-MarymountMar 8W 29–4#2855.1–4.361%
L
vs Loyola-MarymountMar 10
vs ArizonaW 10–4#1017.0–6.060%
vs ArizonaMar 13
vs TCUL 4–5#477.1–6.557%
vs TCUMar 14vs TCUW 15–8#477.1–6.557%
vs TCUMar 15vs TCUW 4–0#477.1–6.557%
vs TCUMar 17
vs Grand CanyonW 4–3#1487.5–6.461%
vs Grand CanyonMar 20
at Kansas StateW 5–4#686.7–7.245%
at Kansas StateMar 21at Kansas StateW 18–12#686.8–7.246%
at Kansas StateMar 22at Kansas StateL 1–12#686.8–7.048%
at Kansas StateMar 23
at UNLVW 12–11#2087.0–7.247%
at UNLVMar 25
vs New Mexico StateW 10–4#2458.8–6.770%
vs New Mexico StateMar 27
vs West VirginiaW 14–4#76.8–7.048%
vs West VirginiaMar 28vs West VirginiaL 7–13#76.8–6.950%
vs West VirginiaMar 29vs West VirginiaL 5–9#77.0–6.852%
vs West VirginiaMar 30
vs San Diego StateW 6–2#1587.7–6.662%
vs San Diego StateApr 2at ArizonaW 6–4#1016.3–6.745%
at ArizonaApr 3at ArizonaL 4–7#1016.3–6.647%
at ArizonaApr 4at ArizonaW 15–6#1016.5–6.648%
at ArizonaApr 7at Grand CanyonW 12–8#1487.0–7.148%
at Grand CanyonApr 8vs UNLVL 5–7#2088.1–7.160%
vs UNLVApr 10
vs UtahL 4–10#1277.6–6.760%
vs UtahApr 11vs UtahW 14–13#1277.6–6.759%
vs UtahApr 12vs UtahW 5–2#1277.6–6.760%
vs UtahApr 13vs ArizonaL 3–5#1017.0–6.060%
vs ArizonaApr 16
at BYUL 9–19#1176.7–6.848%
at BYUApr 17at BYUW 13–0#1176.5–6.946%
at BYUApr 18at BYUW 12–8#1176.7–6.948%
at BYUApr 22vs New Mexico StateL 9–10#2458.7–6.670%
vs New Mexico StateApr 24
vs BaylorW 11–2#757.3–6.559%
vs BaylorApr 25vs BaylorW 4–2#757.3–6.558%
vs BaylorApr 26vs BaylorW 11–4#757.2–6.458%
vs BaylorMay 1
at UCFW 9–4#355.6–6.341%
at UCFMay 3at UCFL 1–1#355.4–6.141%
at UCFMay 3at UCFL 2–4#355.1–5.841%
at UCFMay 5at Missouri—#56
at MissouriMay 8
vs Oklahoma StateL 6–9#677.8–7.058%
vs Oklahoma StateMay 9vs Oklahoma StateL 6–13#677.8–7.058%
vs Oklahoma StateMay 10vs Oklahoma StateW 11–7#677.8–7.158%
vs Oklahoma StateMay 12at Grand Canyon—#148
at Grand CanyonMay 14
at HoustonW 4–3#696.4–6.845%
at HoustonMay 15at HoustonL 3–5#696.4–6.845%
at HoustonMay 16at HoustonW 8–3#696.3–6.745%
at HoustonMay 21
vs CincinnatiW 10–2#206.4–6.351%
vs CincinnatiMay 22at West VirginiaL 3–7#75.8–6.641%
at West VirginiaMay 29
vs Ole MissL 6–7#155.5–5.846%
vs Ole MissMay 30
vs South Dakota StateW 17–0#2827.3–6.262%
vs South Dakota StateMay 31
vs NebraskaW 11–8#195.5–6.143%
vs NebraskaMay 31vs Ole MissL 4–5#155.5–6.044%
vs Ole MissRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#30#40#50#60
#55
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
3
Regional seed
—
National seed
Regional
Lincoln Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game8.4#19
Runs allowed per game5.7#80
Starter FIP5.70#194
Team OPS.914#19
Team wOBA.432#6
Run margin+2.7#21
Strength of schedule#65
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Arizona State
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on Arizona State
11–8
Picks against
+2.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 19 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.