Team Pages/Big 12/Arizona
Arizona logo
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON

Arizona

Record 19-34vs line 17–7 ATSLast L 5–7 at Oklahoma StatePostseason did not qualify
#101
BBMI rank
+0.55
Rating
-1.1
Run margin
#189
RPI

Last game

Game Picks →
Arizona logo
Arizona
#101 • +0.55 • Smith Bailey
SAT MAY 16 • 12:00 PM CT
5 – 7
final score
Oklahoma State
#67 • +1.06 • home • Mario Pesca
Oklahoma State logo
+2.5
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
41%
Win probability
Arizona 41%Oklahoma State 59%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 6–7#415.4–6.537%
Feb 15
Michigan logoat Michigan
L 1–4#765.3–6.042%
Feb 17
Omaha logovs Omaha
L 1–3#2446.9–6.060%
Feb 19
C
vs Connecticut
L 4–6#816.3–6.252%
Feb 20
C
vs Connecticut
L 0–4#816.3–6.252%
Feb 21
C
vs Connecticut
W 5–4#816.3–6.252%
Feb 22
C
vs Connecticut
L 2–11#816.3–6.252%
Feb 27
Oregon logoat Oregon
L 2–7#85.5–6.836%
Feb 28
Vanderbilt logoat Vanderbilt
W 5–1#285.8–6.938%
Mar 1
UC Irvine logovs UC Irvine
W 7–1#996.4–6.055%
Mar 3
Grand Canyon logovs Grand Canyon
L 5–7#1486.6–5.858%
Mar 6
Fresno State logovs Fresno State
W 6–0#2737.5–5.868%
Mar 7
Fresno State logovs Fresno State
W 9–5#2737.5–5.868%
Mar 8
Fresno State logovs Fresno State
W 14–4#2737.5–5.868%
Mar 10
Arizona State logoat Arizona State
L 4–10#556.0–7.040%
Mar 13
Utah logoat Utah
W 8–6#1275.4–5.943%
Mar 14
Utah logoat Utah
L 6–7#1275.4–5.943%
Mar 15
Utah logoat Utah
L 7–8#1275.4–5.943%
Mar 17
New Mexico logovs New Mexico
L 3–6#2096.8–6.257%
Mar 20
Texas Tech logovs Texas Tech
L 5–9#1126.8–6.555%
Mar 21
Texas Tech logovs Texas Tech
W 14–6#1126.8–6.455%
Mar 22
Texas Tech logovs Texas Tech
L 10–12#1127.0–6.753%
Mar 24
Grand Canyon logovs Grand Canyon
W 5–4#1486.7–6.059%
Mar 27
UCF logoat UCF
L 6–11#355.0–6.038%
Mar 28
UCF logoat UCF
L 3–13#355.2–6.338%
Mar 29
UCF logoat UCF
L 2–3#355.2–6.536%
Mar 31
West Virginia logovs West Virginia
L 4–7#75.9–6.246%
Apr 2
Arizona State logovs Arizona State
L 4–6#556.7–6.355%
Apr 3
Arizona State logovs Arizona State
W 7–4#556.6–6.353%
Apr 4
Arizona State logovs Arizona State
L 6–15#556.6–6.552%
Apr 8
New Mexico State logovs New Mexico State
W 13–3#2457.8–6.168%
Apr 10
TCU logoat TCU
W 4–3#476.6–7.639%
Apr 11
TCU logoat TCU
L 0–5#476.4–7.439%
Apr 11
TCU logoat TCU
L 0–5#476.1–7.139%
Apr 13
Arizona State logoat Arizona State
W 5–3#556.0–7.040%
Apr 17
Kansas State logovs Kansas State
L 1–2#686.8–6.256%
Apr 18
Kansas State logovs Kansas State
L 1–11#686.8–6.356%
Apr 19
Kansas State logovs Kansas State
W 11–7#686.8–6.356%
Apr 23
BYU logovs BYU
W 6–0#1176.6–5.958%
Apr 24
BYU logovs BYU
L 1–5#1176.6–6.058%
Apr 25
BYU logovs BYU
L 4–8#1176.5–5.858%
Apr 28
Grand Canyon logoat Grand Canyon
L 8–9#1486.1–6.645%
May 1
Kansas logoat Kansas
L 2–4#376.1–7.238%
May 2
Kansas logoat Kansas
L 2–7#376.1–7.238%
May 3
Kansas logoat Kansas
L 5–11#376.1–7.238%
May 6
New Mexico State logovs New Mexico State
W 8–6#2457.7–6.068%
May 8
Houston logovs Houston
L 4–7#696.4–5.956%
May 9
Houston logovs Houston
L 5–7#696.4–5.956%
May 10
Houston logovs Houston
W 6–5#696.2–5.756%
May 14
Oklahoma State logoat Oklahoma State
W 7–4#676.2–6.941%
May 15
Oklahoma State logoat Oklahoma State
L 1–13#676.2–6.941%
May 16
Oklahoma State logoat Oklahoma State
L 5–7#676.2–6.941%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#80#92#104#116#127
#101
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game5.1#279
Runs allowed per game6.2#125
Starter FIP4.75#127
Team OPS.738#273
Team wOBA.326#274
Run margin-1.1#219
Strength of schedule#69
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Arizona

2026 • ATS
10–4
Picks on Arizona
7–3
Picks against
+8.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 24 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.