Team Pages/SWAC/Alabama State
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SWAC • 2026 SEASON

Alabama State

Record 34-23vs line 3–0 ATSLast L 7–8 vs Oklahoma StatePostseason Regional
#260
BBMI rank
-1.61
Rating
-0.4
Run margin
#172
RPI

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Last updated: (data published)
Georgia State logo
Georgia State
#153 • -0.17 • Sun Belt
TUE APR 28 • 6:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Alabama State
#260 • -1.61 • home
Alabama State logo
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Model run line
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Market run line
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Edge
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Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Eastern Kentucky logovs Eastern Kentucky
W 13–0#2677.2–6.261%
Feb 14
Eastern Kentucky logovs Eastern Kentucky
L 7–14#2677.5–6.561%
Feb 18
Alabama logoat Alabama
L 1–2#185.8–7.531%
Feb 24
UAB logoat UAB
L 5–10#786.9–8.337%
Mar 4
Alabama logovs Alabama
L 4–13#186.6–7.244%
Mar 17
Troy logovs Troy
L 2–11#426.7–7.146%
Mar 24
Georgia State logoat Georgia State
W 7–4#1536.9–7.742%
Mar 31
Troy logoat Troy
L 2–14#426.8–8.533%
Apr 8
South Alabama logovs South Alabama
W 7–5#647.0–7.446%
Apr 14
Auburn logoat Auburn
L 0–13#66.0–8.426%
Apr 28
Georgia State logovs Georgia State
—#153
May 5
South Alabama logoat South Alabama
—#64
May 20
Grambling State logovs Grambling State
W 10–0#2746.5–6.550%
May 22
Arkansas-Pine Bluff logovs Arkansas-Pine Bluff
W 8–7#2316.5–6.254%
May 23
Arkansas-Pine Bluff logovs Arkansas-Pine Bluff
W 8–5#2316.5–6.550%
May 24
Florida A&M logovs Florida A&M
W 8–6#1777.0–7.050%
May 29
Alabama logoat Alabama
L 3–21#185.4–6.933%
May 30
Oklahoma State logovs Oklahoma State
L 7–8#676.3–7.339%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#260#270#280
#260
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
4
Regional seed
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National seed
Regional
Tuscaloosa Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game6.6#148
Runs allowed per game7.0#201
Starter FIP7.00#256
Team OPS.809#151
Team wOBA.370#117
Run margin-0.4#187
Strength of schedule#261
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Alabama State

2026 • ATS
3–0
Picks on Alabama State
0–0
Picks against
+2.7u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 3 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.