SEC • 2026 SEASON
Alabama
#18
BBMI rank
+2.15
Rating
+1.4
Run margin
#6
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
SJ
Saint John's
MON JUN 8 • 1:00 PM CT • GAME 1 OF THE SERIES
not projected
projected runs
Alabama
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Model run line
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Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs Washington StateW 8–1#1356.6–5.266%
vs Washington StateFeb 14vs Washington StateW 11–1#1356.9–5.566%
vs Washington StateFeb 17
at SamfordW 3–2#876.7–6.749%
at SamfordFeb 18
vs Alabama StateW 2–1#2607.5–5.869%
vs Alabama StateFeb 20
vs Rhode IslandW 19–4#1187.1–5.964%
vs Rhode IslandFeb 21vs Rhode IslandW 8–5#1186.6–5.463%
vs Rhode IslandFeb 21vs Rhode IslandW 11–1#1186.9–5.763%
vs Rhode IslandFeb 24
at Southern MissL 4–14#445.7–6.244%
at Southern MissFeb 27
at IowaW 12–2#396.4–6.944%
at IowaFeb 28
at Oregon StateW 8–7#416.1–6.743%
at Oregon StateMar 1
vs HoustonL 2–8#696.7–5.762%
vs HoustonMar 3
vs Jacksonville StateW 6–5#666.4–5.857%
vs Jacksonville StateMar 4at Alabama StateW 13–4#2607.2–6.656%
at Alabama StateMar 6
vs North FloridaW 7–2#1206.7–5.860%
vs North FloridaMar 7vs North FloridaW 9–3#1206.7–5.860%
vs North FloridaMar 8vs North FloridaW 12–2#1206.7–5.860%
vs North FloridaMar 10
vs TroyW 7–3#426.6–5.860%
vs TroyMar 13
at KentuckyL 4–7#215.6–6.243%
at KentuckyMar 14at KentuckyL 7–8#215.6–6.243%
at KentuckyMar 15at KentuckyL 4–6#215.6–6.243%
at KentuckyMar 17
at South AlabamaL 3–6#645.9–6.246%
at South AlabamaMar 20
vs FloridaW 6–0#96.4–6.055%
vs FloridaMar 21vs FloridaW 8–4#96.2–5.953%
vs FloridaMar 22vs FloridaW 14–7#96.4–6.055%
vs FloridaMar 24
vs Austin PeayW 6–2#1547.7–6.463%
vs Austin PeayMar 27
vs AuburnW 11–1#66.4–6.054%
vs AuburnMar 28vs AuburnW 3–2#65.9–5.852%
vs AuburnMar 29vs AuburnW 3–1#65.8–5.652%
vs AuburnMar 31at Jacksonville StateW 4–3#665.5–6.044%
at Jacksonville StateApr 2
at OklahomaW 10–7#126.4–6.944%
at OklahomaApr 3at OklahomaL 2–4#125.9–6.741%
at OklahomaApr 4at OklahomaW 3–2#125.9–6.444%
at OklahomaApr 7vs SamfordW 16–2#876.9–5.862%
vs SamfordApr 10
vs ArkansasL 5–7#146.2–5.855%
vs ArkansasApr 11vs ArkansasL 6–15#146.3–5.855%
vs ArkansasApr 12vs ArkansasL 2–3#146.4–5.857%
vs ArkansasApr 14
at UABW 12–6#786.8–6.849%
at UABApr 17
at TexasL 2–10#25.1–5.940%
at TexasApr 18at TexasL 1–3#24.8–5.838%
at TexasApr 19at TexasW 2–1#24.6–5.538%
at TexasApr 21vs UABL 2–11#787.2–6.162%
vs UABApr 23
at TennesseeW 12–8#165.4–6.043%
at TennesseeApr 24at TennesseeL 1–11#165.5–6.143%
at TennesseeApr 24at TennesseeL 4–11#165.2–5.842%
at TennesseeApr 30
vs VanderbiltW 5–4#286.5–5.858%
vs VanderbiltMay 1vs VanderbiltW 5–0#286.5–5.858%
vs VanderbiltMay 2vs VanderbiltW 8–5#286.5–5.858%
vs VanderbiltMay 5at TroyL 1–6#426.6–6.946%
at TroyMay 8
at South CarolinaW 8–3#735.3–5.350%
at South CarolinaMay 9at South CarolinaW 9–6#735.3–5.350%
at South CarolinaMay 10at South CarolinaW 7–6#735.3–5.350%
at South CarolinaMay 14
vs Ole MissW 5–4#155.9–5.556%
vs Ole MissMay 15vs Ole MissL 0–9#155.9–5.556%
vs Ole MissMay 16vs Ole MissW 6–2#155.9–5.556%
vs Ole MissMay 21vs FloridaL 3–13#96.0–5.655%
vs FloridaMay 29vs Alabama StateW 21–3#2606.9–5.467%
vs Alabama StateMay 30W 7–5#836.3–6.053%
SCU
vs South Carolina UpstateMay 31
vs Oklahoma StateW 9–7#676.1–5.754%
vs Oklahoma StateJun 6W 8–0#146
SJ
vs Saint John'sJun 8W 7–2#1466.6–5.858%
SJ
vs Saint John'sJun 8—#146
SJ
vs Saint John'sJun 13vs OklahomaL 0–9#126.0–6.051%
vs OklahomaJun 15vs TexasL 2–14#25.7–6.243%
vs TexasRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#5#10#15#20
#18
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
1
Regional seed
7
National seed
College World Series
Tuscaloosa Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.5#149
Runs allowed per game5.0#29
Starter FIP4.04#66
Team OPS.806#157
Team wOBA.357#161
Run margin+1.4#66
Strength of schedule#4
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Alabama
2026 • ATS7–1
Picks on Alabama
4–0
Picks against
+9.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 12 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.